Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 365

September 2, 201831 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 2, 2018, 4:58 PM CDT for 31 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 2, 2018, 4:58 PM CDT (21:58 UTC)
Expired
Sep 2, 2018, 8:56 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 31 counties

Barton County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Geary County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Saline County, KS, Smith County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Washington County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 2, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCPratt, Stafford26 min
Sep 2, 5:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, Lincoln54 min
Sep 2, 5:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOttawa63 min
Sep 2, 5:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPOttawa5 hr
Sep 2, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOttawa47 min
Sep 2, 6:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPClay, Marshall, Riley, Washington60 min
Sep 2, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOttawa61 min
Sep 2, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall, Washington47 min
Sep 2, 6:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPCloud, Ottawa5 hr
Sep 2, 7:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall53 min
Sep 2, 7:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPMarshall, Washington4 hr
Sep 2, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall31 min
Sep 2, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Trego62 min
Sep 2, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPMarshall60 min
Sep 2, 8:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPCloud, Washington3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2018-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 77 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2018-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 71 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
77 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1257 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 1, 9:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCloud, Ellis, Jewell, Lincoln, Marshall, Mitchell and 5 more96 min
Sep 2, 3:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Ellis, Ellsworth and 19 more115 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.