Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 331

August 5, 20189 counties in Illinois; 4 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 5, 2018, 7:58 PM CDT for 9 counties in Illinois; 4 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 83 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 5, 2018, 7:58 PM CDT (00:58 UTC)
Expired
Aug 5, 2018, 9:21 PM CDT
In force
83 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Boone County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Kane County, IL, Lake County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Kenosha County, WI, Racine County, WI, Rock County, WI, Walworth County, WI

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
40%

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2018-08-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1536 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2018-08-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 160 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1536 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-89 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1707 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
198 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
7.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

172 
WWUS20 KWNS 060055
SEL1  
SPC WW 060055
ILZ000-WIZ000-LMZ000-060600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 331
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
800 PM CDT Sun Aug 5 2018

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Illinois
  Southeast Wisconsin
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 800 PM
  until 100 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A cluster of thunderstorms over northwest Illinois will
persist for a few more hours, tracking across the watch area.  The
strongest storms may contain gusty/damaging winds and hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west southwest
of Rockford IL to 75 miles east of Rockford IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 330...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 6, 3:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Clay, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton and 19 more2 hr
Aug 6, 5:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, DeWitt, Ford, Iroquois, Kankakee, Livingston and 5 more114 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Wisconsin, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.