Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 305

July 22, 201821 counties in Nebraska; 23 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 22, 2018, 5:22 PM MDT for 21 counties in Nebraska; 23 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 22, 2018, 5:22 PM MDT (23:22 UTC)
Expired
Jul 22, 2018, 11:55 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 44 counties

Arthur County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Chase County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Custer County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Grant County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Holt County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keith County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, Loup County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Rock County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Beadle County, SD, Brown County, SD, Brule County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Campbell County, SD, Edmunds County, SD, Faulk County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Jones County, SD, Lyman County, SD, McPherson County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Potter County, SD, Spink County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Walworth County, SD

The radar

The Aberdeen radar (KABR), 187 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 5:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMellette, Todd64 min
Jul 22, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFArthur, Keith, Lincoln, McPherson46 min
Jul 22, 6:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeith, Perkins50 min
Jul 22, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMellette, Todd, Tripp62 min
Jul 22, 6:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFKeith, Perkins48 min
Jul 22, 7:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Lyman41 min
Jul 22, 7:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRJones, Lyman24 min
Jul 22, 7:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFChase, Hayes, Perkins39 min
Jul 22, 7:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMellette, Todd, Tripp53 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 327 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 266 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 170 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
266 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-337 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
938 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
170 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
255 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 22, 4:11 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Cherry, Hooker, Keith, McPherson, Thomas94 min
Jul 21, 8:40 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Custer, Fall River, Haakon, Harding, Jackson and 6 more65 min
Jul 22, 12:55 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Corson, Dewey, Edmunds, Faulk, Haakon and 10 more3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.