Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253

July 1, 201855 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 1, 2018, 12:58 PM CDT for 55 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 1, 2018, 12:58 PM CDT (17:58 UTC)
Expired
Jul 1, 2018, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 60 counties

Bond County, IL, Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Coles County, IL, Cook County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McHenry County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Will County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Benton County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, Newton County, IN, Porter County, IN

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 6:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Macoupin, Madison, Montgomery42 min
Jul 1, 6:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXDeWitt, Logan3 hr
Jul 1, 7:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXShelby57 min
Jul 1, 7:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXBond, Fayette, Macoupin, Madison, Montgomery6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2018-07-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1834 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2018-07-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 123 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1834 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
867 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 1, 11:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Jo Daviess, McHenry, Stephenson, Winnebago83 min
Jul 1, 12:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Boone, Brown, Bureau, Carroll and 56 more97 min
Jul 1, 3:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Boone, Cass, Champaign, Christian, Clark and 46 more83 min
Jul 1, 6:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Clinton and 22 more114 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.