Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 236

June 28, 201824 counties in Alabama; 10 counties in Florida; 27 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 28, 2018, 4:59 PM CDT for 24 counties in Alabama; 10 counties in Florida; 27 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2018, 4:59 PM CDT (21:59 UTC)
Expired
Jun 28, 2018, 11:50 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 61 counties

Baldwin County, AL, Butler County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Coffee County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Dale County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Escambia County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Scott County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Winston County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBButler, Crenshaw46 min
Jun 28, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXGreene, Marengo, Pickens, Sumter37 min
Jun 28, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAECoffee, Dale, Henry46 min
Jun 28, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBButler, Conecuh, Monroe, Wilcox53 min
Jun 28, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAECoffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston48 min
Jun 28, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBButler, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Monroe62 min
Jun 28, 6:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBConecuh, Monroe41 min
Jun 28, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBConecuh, Covington, Escambia, Monroe43 min
Jun 28, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Monroe, Washington, Wilcox51 min
Jun 28, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBConecuh, Monroe30 min
Jun 28, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Escambia51 min
Jun 28, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEHouston51 min
Jun 28, 7:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBay, Walton, Washington40 min
Jun 28, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Clarke, Mobile, Washington45 min
Jun 28, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin41 min
Jun 28, 7:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBay, Walton25 min
Jun 28, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEBay, Calhoun, Gadsden, Gulf, Jackson, Liberty and 1 more34 min
Jun 28, 7:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin25 min
Jun 28, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJasper, Smith34 min
Jun 28, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBBaldwin, Mobile43 min
Jun 28, 8:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson56 min
Jun 28, 9:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2018-06-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1996 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2018-06-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1996 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
830 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 10:22 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Cherokee, Cleburne, DeKalb, Etowah, Jackson and 6 more113 min
Jun 28, 10:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAutauga, Barbour, Blount, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers and 32 more8 hr
Jun 28, 1:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler and 44 more113 min
Jun 28, 4:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Coffee and 21 more86 min
Jun 28, 6:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Columbia, Dixie and 17 more83 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Mississippi, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Alabama, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Florida, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.