Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 154

June 3, 2018Lea County, New Mexico; 39 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 3, 2018, 8:34 PM MDT for Lea County, New Mexico; 39 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 3, 2018, 8:34 PM MDT (02:34 UTC)
Expired
Jun 4, 2018, 4:00 AM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 40 counties

Lea County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crane County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, Loving County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terry County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 8:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler67 min
Jun 3, 8:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland47 min
Jun 3, 8:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea46 min
Jun 3, 9:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea50 min
Jun 3, 9:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving, Pecos, Reeves, Ward, Winkler46 min
Jun 3, 9:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Dawson, Howard, Martin44 min
Jun 3, 10:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Borden, Dawson, Gaines, Martin39 min
Jun 3, 10:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Ector, Pecos, Reeves, Ward, Winkler47 min
Jun 3, 10:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLynn, Terry, Yoakum57 min
Jun 3, 10:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos43 min
Jun 3, 10:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Dawson, Martin48 min
Jun 4, 12:19 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSterling41 min
Jun 4, 12:47 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Sterling58 min
Jun 4, 1:49 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTIrion, Tom Green56 min
Jun 4, 1:57 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Runnels63 min
Jun 4, 2:11 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Runnels, Tom Green64 min
Jun 4, 2:50 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTColeman, Concho, Runnels40 min
Jun 4, 3:10 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTColeman, Concho, McCulloch50 min
Jun 4, 3:20 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, McCulloch, Menard40 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 63 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2018-06-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1646 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2018-06-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1646 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-85 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2105 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
131 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
4.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 3, 7:39 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe, Lea, Lincoln and 2 more96 min
Jun 3, 10:21 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Dawson, Martin114 min
Jun 4, 1:50 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Blanco, Brown, Burnet, Callahan, Coke and 32 more85 min
Jun 4, 5:46 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Cherokee, Ellis, Freestone, Henderson and 14 more119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.