Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 12

March 18, 201818 parishes in Louisiana; 7 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 18, 2018, 9:11 PM CDT for 18 parishes in Louisiana; 7 counties in Texas. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 18, 2018, 9:11 PM CDT (02:11 UTC)
Expired
Mar 18, 2018, 11:56 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 25 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Newton County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Tyler County, TX

The radar

The Ft Polk radar (KPOE), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 9:21 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVNatchitoches, Sabine19 min
Mar 18, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSabine15 min
Mar 18, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHBeauregard, Vernon45 min
Mar 18, 10:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGrant, Natchitoches, Winn49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2018-03-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1159 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2018-03-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -31 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1159 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-77 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1060 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.1
Supercell composite
-1.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 18, 10:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Evangeline, Grant, LaSalle and 2 more95 min
Mar 18, 7:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Grimes, Hardin, Jasper, Montgomery, Nacogdoches and 7 more95 min
Mar 19, 1:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Cooke, Delta, Denton, Fannin, Grayson and 2 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2018Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2018Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.