Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 76

February 20, 20185 counties in Kansas; 12 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 20, 2018, 9:40 AM CST for 5 counties in Kansas; 12 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2018, 9:40 AM CST (15:40 UTC)
Expired
Feb 20, 2018, 1:15 PM CST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Chautauqua County, KS, Labette County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Cleveland County, OK, Creek County, OK, Grady County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, McClain County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 3.7 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2018-02-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1095 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2018-02-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 425 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1095 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
725 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
425 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
450 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.0
Supercell composite
15.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

151 
ACUS11 KWNS 201540
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 201540 
KSZ000-OKZ000-201915-

Mesoscale Discussion 0076
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0940 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

Areas affected...central into northeast OK...southeast KS

Concerning...Freezing rain 

Valid 201540Z - 201915Z

SUMMARY...Freezing rain rates ranging from 0.02-0.20 inch per hour
expected over the next several hours.  Areas in northeast OK and
southeast KS currently above freezing and reporting rain as of
930am, will likely transition to freezing rain later this morning.

DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic and NLDN lightning data indicate a shield
of convective precipitation from southwest OK northeast through
southeast KS as of mid morning.  A surface front is accelerating
southeast across the I-44 corridor in OK and southwest MO.  The 32
degree F demarcation is located in a wavy fashion from roughly
Chickasha, OK north-northeast to near Bartlesville, OK and northeast
to Bourbon County, KS.  The quickest translation of the front will
occur over central OK during the next few hours where northerly
surface winds behind the front are gusting to around 30 mph.

Rainfall observations from the OK Mesonet have indicated rainfall
amounts in areas below 32 deg F have ranged from a few hundredths to
around 0.40 inch during the 830-930am period.  Expecting convective
enhancement to the rainfall rates to continue during the morning
from central OK northeast into southeast KS.  As a result, freezing
rain rates will range from 0.02 inch-0.05 inch/hour but locally in
the 0.10-0.20 inch range in the heavier bursts.

..Smith.. 02/20/2018

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   34979842 37829563 37749501 37219488 35389677 34849761
            34779810 34979842

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 20, 4:21 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Chase, Harper, Harvey, Kingman, Lyon and 8 more3 hr
Feb 20, 8:52 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Johnston, Love, Marshall113 min
Feb 20, 11:11 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Jefferson, Love94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.