Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 441

May 17, 20184 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 17, 2018, 1:38 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 17, 2018, 1:38 PM MDT (19:38 UTC)
Expired
May 17, 2018, 3:45 PM MDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 65 counties

Baca County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Finney County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Moore County, TX, Motley County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 44 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-05-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 784 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-05-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 246 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
784 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-326 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1460 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
246 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
294 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 17, 2:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaca, Prowers6 hr
May 17, 4:19 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Logan, Morgan, Phillips, Sedgwick and 3 more116 min
May 17, 4:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCLogan, Phillips, Sedgwick6 hr
May 17, 9:32 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Hodgeman and 2 more2 hr
May 17, 5:44 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Roger Mills61 min
May 17, 3:39 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Borden, Crane, Crockett, Dawson, Ector and 10 more66 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.