Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 433

May 15, 20185 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2018, 8:41 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 94 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 15, 2018, 8:41 PM EDT (00:41 UTC)
Expired: May 15, 2018, 10:15 PM EDT
In force: 94 min
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center

All 33 counties

Kent County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Jefferson County, WV

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 653 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -189 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1220 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 136 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 148 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2018 Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2018 Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2018 Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.