Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 428

May 15, 201828 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 15, 2018, 1:51 PM CDT for 28 counties in Texas. It was in force for 114 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2018, 1:51 PM CDT (18:51 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2018, 3:45 PM CDT
In force
114 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 28 counties

Borden County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Hale County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Kent County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 53 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 474 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
474 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-320 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1762 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 14, 8:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChildress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Dickens, Foard, Hall and 5 more85 min
May 15, 2:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallam, Deaf Smith, Hartley, Oldham, Parmer118 min
May 15, 3:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFannin, Grayson, Lamar88 min
May 15, 5:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Cottle and 24 more8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.