Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1722

December 21, 20184 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 21, 2018, 2:33 PM EST for 4 states. It was in force for 57 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 21, 2018, 2:33 PM EST (19:33 UTC)
Expired
Dec 21, 2018, 3:30 PM EST
In force
57 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
5%
All 89 counties

Alamance County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Dillon County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Albemarle County, VA, Amelia County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Richmond, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, Greensville County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Madison County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 250 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-12-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 91 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-12-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 224 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
91 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
533 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
93 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
224 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 20, 8:59 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Dare, Hyde, Jones and 2 more2 hr
Dec 21, 4:16 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArlington, Fairfax, Loudoun, City of Alexandria, City of Fairfax, City of Falls Church59 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.