Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018
Mesoscale Discussion 1616
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 2, 2018, 3:47 PM EDT for 35 counties in North Carolina; 17 counties in South Carolina; 20 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 118 min.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 2, 2018, 3:47 PM EDT (19:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 2, 2018, 5:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 118 min
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Chance of a watch
- 20%
All 72 counties
Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Durham County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Union County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Calhoun County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Dillon County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Florence County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Lee County, SC, Lexington County, SC, Marion County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Richland County, SC, Sumter County, SC, Amelia County, VA, Appomattox County, VA, Bedford County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Campbell County, VA, Charlotte County, VA, City of Danville, VA, City of Lynchburg, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Franklin County, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA, Prince Edward County, VA
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 202 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 50 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -3 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 665 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 72 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 3 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 72 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 6:55 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Granville, Northampton, Vance, Warren | 95 min |
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.