Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1582

October 14, 201822 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 14, 2018, 6:05 PM CDT for 22 counties in Texas. It was in force for 115 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 14, 2018, 6:05 PM CDT (23:05 UTC)
Expired
Oct 14, 2018, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
115 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 22 counties

Anderson County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Camp County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Limestone County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 341 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2018-10-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2018-10-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 140 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
597 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
140 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
145 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 13, 7:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Brazos, Burleson, Grimes, Houston, Madison and 6 more64 min
Oct 14, 3:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Coleman, Comanche, Concho, Eastland, Erath and 5 more3 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.