Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1548

October 9, 201835 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 9, 2018, 10:19 AM CDT for 35 counties in Texas. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 9, 2018, 10:19 AM CDT (15:19 UTC)
Expired
Oct 9, 2018, 12:15 PM CDT
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 35 counties

Atascosa County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Comal County, TX, Coryell County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hays County, TX, Hill County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Medina County, TX, Milam County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Travis County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 290 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-10-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1064 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2018-10-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 164 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1064 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
621 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
164 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
4.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 8, 8:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Edwards, Irion, Pecos, Reagan, Schleicher and 3 more95 min
Oct 9, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett and 15 more6 hr
Oct 9, 3:40 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Coleman, Concho, Edwards, Kimble, Kinney and 7 more35 min
Oct 9, 5:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Coryell, Hamilton, Hood, Johnson, Lampasas and 3 more53 min
Oct 9, 9:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDelta, Fannin, Hopkins, Hunt, Lamar, Red River2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.