Alert archive / Illinois / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1530

October 6, 201830 counties in Illinois; 27 counties in Indiana; 11 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 6, 2018, 12:39 PM CDT for 30 counties in Illinois; 27 counties in Indiana; 11 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 6, 2018, 12:39 PM CDT (17:39 UTC)
Expired
Oct 6, 2018, 2:45 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 68 counties

Bond County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Perry County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, Benton County, IN, Boone County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Howard County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Parke County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Warren County, IN, White County, IN, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dent County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Perry County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 311 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2018-10-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2018-10-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -62 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
502 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 6, 1:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChampaign, Douglas, Edgar, Ford, Iroquois, Vermilion5 hr
Oct 6, 4:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Cass, Clinton, DeKalb, Grant and 9 more85 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Illinois, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.