Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1469

September 17, 2018Calvert County, Charles County, Saint Mary's County, Maryland; 22 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 17, 2018, 3:25 PM EDT for Calvert County, Charles County, Saint Mary's County, Maryland; 22 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 17, 2018, 3:25 PM EDT (19:25 UTC)
Expired
Sep 17, 2018, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 25 counties

Calvert County, MD, Charles County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Amelia County, VA, Brunswick County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Chesterfield County, VA, City of Colonial Heights, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Richmond, VA, Dinwiddie County, VA, Essex County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Hanover County, VA, Henrico County, VA, King and Queen County, VA, King George County, VA, King William County, VA, Lunenburg County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Nottoway County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 162 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-09-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 117 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-09-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 119 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
117 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
632 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 3:42 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAnne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's4 hr
Sep 17, 7:09 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's, Talbot and 1 more2 hr
Sep 17, 10:28 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmelia, Brunswick, Buckingham, Charlotte, Chesterfield, Cumberland and 18 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.