Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1457

September 15, 201815 counties in North Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 15, 2018, 12:01 PM EDT for 15 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 15, 2018, 12:01 PM EDT (16:01 UTC)
Expired
Sep 15, 2018, 2:00 PM EDT
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Bladen County, NC, Brunswick County, NC, Columbus County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, New Hanover County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Pender County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Wayne County, NC

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2018-09-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 711 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2018-09-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 192 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
711 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
721 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
192 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
172 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 14, 8:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Carteret, Craven, Cumberland, Dare, Duplin and 18 more119 min
Sep 14, 10:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Cumberland and 11 more95 min
Sep 14, 11:03 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Cumberland and 12 more8 hr
Sep 15, 2:59 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven, Cumberland and 12 more91 min
Sep 15, 6:15 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven and 16 more90 min
Sep 15, 6:59 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Cumberland, Duplin, Greene and 14 more10 hr
Sep 15, 3:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPender64 min
Sep 15, 4:38 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Cumberland, Hoke, New Hanover and 4 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.