Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1308

August 17, 20185 counties in Maryland; 43 counties in Virginia; Jefferson County, West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 17, 2018, 3:10 PM EDT for 5 counties in Maryland; 43 counties in Virginia; Jefferson County, West Virginia. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 2018, 3:10 PM EDT (19:10 UTC)
Expired
Aug 17, 2018, 5:45 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
20%
All 49 counties

Charles County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Albemarle County, VA, Amherst County, VA, Arlington County, VA, Augusta County, VA, Bath County, VA, Buckingham County, VA, Caroline County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Buena Vista, VA, City of Charlottesville, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Lexington, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Staunton, VA, City of Waynesboro, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Goochland County, VA, Greene County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Louisa County, VA, Madison County, VA, Nelson County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockbridge County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Jefferson County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 101 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 750 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 80 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
750 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-101 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1186 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in West Virginia, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.