Alert archive / New Jersey / Mesoscale Discussions in 2018

Mesoscale Discussion 1065

July 17, 201816 counties in New Jersey; 10 counties in New York; 8 counties in Pennsylvania

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 17, 2018, 11:49 AM EDT for 16 counties in New Jersey; 10 counties in New York; 8 counties in Pennsylvania. It was in force for 116 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2018, 11:49 AM EDT (15:49 UTC)
Expired
Jul 17, 2018, 1:45 PM EDT
In force
116 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 34 counties

Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Bucks County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Pike County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-07-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1293 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-07-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 99 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1293 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-63 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
799 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 17, 10:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC115 min
Jul 17, 11:17 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region8 hr
Jul 17, 2:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in New York, 2018Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2018Every mesoscale discussion in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.