Alert archive / Wyoming / Flash Flood Watches in 2018

Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Salt Lake City, UT

September 29, 2018Uinta County, Wyoming

NWS Salt Lake City, UT issued this flash flood watch at Sep 29, 2018, 3:09 PM MDT for Uinta County, Wyoming. It took effect at Oct 1, 2018, 2:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 38 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 29, 2018, 3:09 PM MDT (21:09 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 1, 2018, 2:00 PM MDT
Expired
Oct 3, 2018, 3:59 AM MDT
In force
38 hr
Issued by
NWS Salt Lake City, UT
Flood severity
None

County Uinta County, WY

The radar

The Salt Lake City radar (KMTX), 159 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Salt Lake City I, UT (KSLC), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2018-09-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2018-09-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 200 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3923 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
200 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

207 
WGUS65 KSLC 292109
FFASLC

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
309 PM MDT Sat Sep 29 2018

UTZ013-016-019>021-518-301200-
/O.NEW.KSLC.FF.A.0004.181001T2000Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Rafael Swell-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Southern Mountains-
Including the cities of Green River, Hanksville, Beaver, 
Cedar City, Milford, St George, Kanab, Escalante, Bullfrog, Loa, 
Panguitch, and Bryce Canyon
309 PM MDT Sat Sep 29 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Salt Lake City has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of southern Utah including Zion
  National Park, Capitol Reef National Park, and the Glen Canyon
  Recreation Area.

* From Monday afternoon through late Tuesday night

* Moisture will surge north into Utah beginning Monday in advance
  of Hurricane Rosa, providing scattered to numerous showers and
  thunderstorms which will be heavy at times.

* Flash Flooding is possible near burn scars, slot canyons,
  normally dry washes, steep terrain and urban areas. Streams and
  rivers will be running fast and high by mid week. Travel may be
  impacted by mid week due to debris flows from burn scars and 
  most unpaved surfaces will not be passable due to muddy 
  conditions. Those planning to be outdoors next week should keep 
  an eye on the weather forecast and make contingency plans.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

UTZ001>004-006>012-014-015-517-WYZ021-301200-
/O.NEW.KSLC.FF.A.0004.181002T1200Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Wasatch Mountain Valleys-Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-
Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-Western Uinta Mountains-
Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Central Mountains-
Southwest Wyoming-
Including the cities of Logan, Smithfield, Brigham City, Ogden, 
Bountiful, Salt Lake City, Tooele, Lehi, Provo, Nephi, 
Huntsville, Park City, Heber City, Woodruff, Randolph, Alta, 
Brighton, Mirror Lake Highway, Scofield, Duchesne, Roosevelt, 
Price, Castle Dale, Emery, Manti, Richfield, Delta, Fillmore, 
Cove Fort, Koosharem, Fish Lake, and Evanston
309 PM MDT Sat Sep 29 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Salt Lake City has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for much of central and northern Utah and
  southwest Wyoming, including the Wasatch Front.

* From Tuesday morning through late Tuesday night

* Moisture will surge north into central and northern Utah
  beginning Tuesday in advance of Hurricane Rosa, providing 
  scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms which will be 
  heavy at times.

* Flash Flooding is possible near burn scars, steep terrain and
  urban areas. Streams and rivers will be running fast and high by
  mid week. Travel may be impacted by mid week due to debris flows
  from burn scars and potential urban flooding. Those planning to
  be outdoors next week should keep an eye on the weather 
  forecast and make contingency plans.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

10/Kruse

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service Visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
7 follow-up statements
926 
WGUS65 KSLC 300935
FFASLC

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
335 AM MDT Sun Sep 30 2018

UTZ013-016-019>021-518-302145-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.181001T2000Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Rafael Swell-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Southern Mountains-
Including the cities of Green River, Hanksville, Beaver, 
Cedar City, Milford, St George, Kanab, Escalante, Bullfrog, Loa, 
Panguitch, and Bryce Canyon
335 AM MDT Sun Sep 30 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Utah and southern Utah, including the 
  following areas, in central Utah, San Rafael Swell. In 
  southern Utah, Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell, South 
  Central Utah, Southern Mountains, Southwest Utah, and Utahs 
  Dixie and Zion National Park.

* From Monday afternoon through late Tuesday night

* Tropical moisture associated with Hurricane Rosa will surge
  northward into Utah beginning Monday providing scattered to
  numerous showers and thunderstorms that will produce locally 
  heavy rainfall.
  
* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, slot canyons, 
  normally dry washes, steep terrain and urban areas with poor 
  drainage. Streams and rivers will be running fast and high by 
  mid week. Travel may be impacted by mid week due to debris flows
  from burn scars and many unpaved surfaces may not be passable 
  due to muddy conditions. Those planning to be outdoors next week
  should keep an eye on the weather forecast and make contingency
  plans.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

UTZ001>004-006>012-014-015-517-WYZ021-302145-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.181002T1200Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Wasatch Mountain Valleys-Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-
Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-Western Uinta Mountains-
Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Central Mountains-
Southwest Wyoming-
Including the cities of Logan, Smithfield, Brigham City, Ogden, 
Bountiful, Salt Lake City, Tooele, Lehi, Provo, Nephi, 
Huntsville, Park City, Heber City, Woodruff, Randolph, Alta, 
Brighton, Mirror Lake Highway, Scofield, Duchesne, Roosevelt, 
Price, Castle Dale, Emery, Manti, Richfield, Delta, Fillmore, 
Cove Fort, Koosharem, Fish Lake, and Evanston
335 AM MDT Sun Sep 30 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Utah and southwest Wyoming, including the 
  following areas, in Utah, Cache Valley/Utah Portion, Castle 
  Country, Central Mountains, Northern Wasatch Front, Salt Lake 
  and Tooele Valleys, Sanpete/Sevier Valleys, Southern Wasatch 
  Front, Wasatch Mountain Valleys, Wasatch Mountains I-80 North, 
  Wasatch Mountains South of I-80, Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs, 
  West Central Utah, Western Uinta Basin, and Western Uinta 
  Mountains. In southwest Wyoming, Southwest Wyoming.

* From Tuesday morning through late Tuesday night

* Tropical moisture associated with Hurricane Rosa will surge
  northward into central and northern Utah beginning Tuesday,
  providing scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms that
  will produce locally heavy rainfall.

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, steep terrain and 
  urban areas with poor drainage. Streams and rivers will be 
  running fast and high by mid week. Travel may be impacted by mid
  week due to debris flows from burn scars and potential urban 
  flooding. Those planning to be outdoors next week should keep an
  eye on the weather forecast and make contingency plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service Visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
886 
WGUS65 KSLC 302121
FFASLC

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
321 PM MDT Sun Sep 30 2018

UTZ013-016-019>021-518-011200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.181001T2000Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Rafael Swell-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Southern Mountains-
Including the cities of Green River, Hanksville, Beaver, 
Cedar City, Milford, St George, Kanab, Escalante, Bullfrog, Loa, 
Panguitch, and Bryce Canyon
321 PM MDT Sun Sep 30 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southern Utah including Zion National Park, Capitol
  Reef National Park, and the Glen Canyon Recreation Area.

* From Monday afternoon through late Tuesday night

* Moisture will surge north into Utah beginning Monday in advance
  of Hurricane Rosa, providing scattered to numerous showers and
  thunderstorms which will be heavy at times.

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, slot canyons, 
  normally dry washes, steep terrain and urban areas with poor 
  drainage. Streams and rivers will be running fast and high by 
  mid week. Travel may be impacted by mid week due to debris 
  flows from burn scars and many unpaved surfaces may not be 
  passable due to muddy conditions. Those planning to be 
  outdoors next week should keep an eye on the weather forecast 
  and make contingency plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

UTZ001>004-006>012-014-015-517-WYZ021-011200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.181002T1200Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Wasatch Mountain Valleys-Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-
Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-Western Uinta Mountains-
Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Central Mountains-
Southwest Wyoming-
Including the cities of Logan, Smithfield, Brigham City, Ogden, 
Bountiful, Salt Lake City, Tooele, Lehi, Provo, Nephi, 
Huntsville, Park City, Heber City, Woodruff, Randolph, Alta, 
Brighton, Mirror Lake Highway, Scofield, Duchesne, Roosevelt, 
Price, Castle Dale, Emery, Manti, Richfield, Delta, Fillmore, 
Cove Fort, Koosharem, Fish Lake, and Evanston
321 PM MDT Sun Sep 30 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Much of central and northern Utah and southwest Wyoming, 
  including the Wasatch Front.

* From Tuesday morning through late Tuesday night

* Moisture will surge north into central and northern Utah
  beginning Tuesday in advance of Hurricane Rosa, providing
  scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms which will be
  heavy at times.

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, steep terrain and 
  urban areas with poor drainage. Streams and rivers will be 
  running fast and high by mid week. Travel may be impacted by 
  mid week due to debris flows from burn scars and potential 
  urban flooding. Those planning to be outdoors next week should 
  keep an eye on the weather forecast and make contingency 
  plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service Visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
471 
WGUS65 KSLC 010949
FFASLC

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
349 AM MDT Mon Oct 1 2018

UTZ013-016-019>021-518-012300-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.181001T2000Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Rafael Swell-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Southern Mountains-
Including the cities of Green River, Hanksville, Beaver, 
Cedar City, Milford, St George, Kanab, Escalante, Bullfrog, Loa, 
Panguitch, and Bryce Canyon
349 AM MDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM MDT THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Southern Utah along with the San Rafael Swell.

* From 2 PM MDT this afternoon through late Tuesday night

* Moisture will surge north into Utah beginning Monday in advance
  of Hurricane Rosa, allowing for scattered to numerous showers 
  and thunderstorms which will be heavy at times. 

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, slot canyons, 
  normally dry washes, steep terrain and urban areas with poor 
  drainage. Streams and rivers will be running fast and high by 
  mid week. Travel may be impacted by mid week due to debris 
  flows from burn scars and many unpaved surfaces may not be 
  passable due to muddy conditions. Those planning to be 
  outdoors next week should keep an eye on the weather forecast 
  and make contingency plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

UTZ001>004-006>012-014-015-517-WYZ021-012300-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.181002T1200Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Wasatch Mountain Valleys-Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-
Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-Western Uinta Mountains-
Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Central Mountains-
Southwest Wyoming-
Including the cities of Logan, Smithfield, Brigham City, Ogden, 
Bountiful, Salt Lake City, Tooele, Lehi, Provo, Nephi, 
Huntsville, Park City, Heber City, Woodruff, Randolph, Alta, 
Brighton, Mirror Lake Highway, Scofield, Duchesne, Roosevelt, 
Price, Castle Dale, Emery, Manti, Richfield, Delta, Fillmore, 
Cove Fort, Koosharem, Fish Lake, and Evanston
349 AM MDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Much of central and northern Utah and southwest Wyoming,
  including the Wasatch Front.

* From Tuesday morning through late Tuesday night

* Moisture will surge north into central and northern Utah
  beginning Tuesday in advance of Hurricane Rosa, allowing for 
  scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms which will be 
  heavy at times.
  

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, steep terrain and 
  urban areas with poor drainage. Streams and rivers will be 
  running fast and high by mid week. Travel may be impacted by 
  mid week due to debris flows from burn scars and potential 
  urban flooding. Those planning to be outdoors next week should 
  keep an eye on the weather forecast and make contingency 
  plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service Visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
942 
WGUS65 KSLC 012134
FFASLC

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
334 PM MDT Mon Oct 1 2018


UTZ013-016-019>021-518-021200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Rafael Swell-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Southern Mountains-
Including the cities of Green River, Hanksville, Beaver, 
Cedar City, Milford, St George, Kanab, Escalante, Bullfrog, Loa, 
Panguitch, and Bryce Canyon
334 PM MDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Southern Utah along with the San Rafael Swell.

* Through late Tuesday night

* Moisture will surge north across Utah today in advance of
  Tropical Storm Rosa, allowing for scattered to numerous showers
  and thunderstorms which will be heavy at times. 

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, slot canyons, 
  normally dry washes, steep terrain and urban areas with poor 
  drainage. Streams and rivers will be running fast and high by 
  mid week. Travel may be impacted by mid week due to debris 
  flows from burn scars and many unpaved surfaces may not be 
  passable due to muddy conditions. Those planning to be 
  outdoors next week should keep an eye on the weather forecast 
  and make contingency plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

UTZ001>004-006>012-014-015-517-WYZ021-021200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.181002T1200Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Wasatch Mountain Valleys-Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-
Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-Western Uinta Mountains-
Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Central Mountains-
Southwest Wyoming-
Including the cities of Logan, Smithfield, Brigham City, Ogden, 
Bountiful, Salt Lake City, Tooele, Lehi, Provo, Nephi, 
Huntsville, Park City, Heber City, Woodruff, Randolph, Alta, 
Brighton, Mirror Lake Highway, Scofield, Duchesne, Roosevelt, 
Price, Castle Dale, Emery, Manti, Richfield, Delta, Fillmore, 
Cove Fort, Koosharem, Fish Lake, and Evanston
334 PM MDT Mon Oct 1 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Much of central and northern Utah and southwest Wyoming,
  including the Wasatch Front.

* From Tuesday morning through late Tuesday night

* Moisture will surge north into central and northern Utah
  beginning Tuesday in advance of Tropical Storm Rosa, allowing 
  for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms which will 
  be heavy at times. 

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, steep terrain and 
  urban areas with poor drainage. Streams and rivers will be 
  running fast and high by mid week. Travel may be impacted by 
  mid week due to debris flows from burn scars and potential 
  urban flooding. Those planning to be outdoors next week should 
  keep an eye on the weather forecast and make contingency 
  plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service Visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
645 
WGUS65 KSLC 020952
FFASLC

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
352 AM MDT Tue Oct 2 2018

UTZ013-016-019>021-518-022200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Rafael Swell-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Southern Mountains-
Including the cities of Green River, Hanksville, Beaver, 
Cedar City, Milford, St George, Kanab, Escalante, Bullfrog, Loa, 
Panguitch, and Bryce Canyon
352 AM MDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Southern Utah along with the San Rafael Swell.

* Through late tonight

* Moisture will surge north across Utah today in advance of 
  Tropical Storm Rosa, allowing for scattered to numerous 
  showers and thunderstorms which will be heavy at times. 

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, slot canyons, 
  normally dry washes, steep terrain and urban areas with poor 
  drainage. Streams and rivers will be running fast and high by 
  mid week. Travel may be impacted by mid week due to debris 
  flows from burn scars and many unpaved surfaces may not be 
  passable due to muddy conditions. Those planning to be 
  outdoors next week should keep an eye on the weather forecast 
  and make contingency plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

UTZ001>004-006>012-014-015-517-WYZ021-022200-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.181002T1200Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Wasatch Mountain Valleys-Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-
Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-Western Uinta Mountains-
Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Central Mountains-
Southwest Wyoming-
Including the cities of Logan, Smithfield, Brigham City, Ogden, 
Bountiful, Salt Lake City, Tooele, Lehi, Provo, Nephi, 
Huntsville, Park City, Heber City, Woodruff, Randolph, Alta, 
Brighton, Mirror Lake Highway, Scofield, Duchesne, Roosevelt, 
Price, Castle Dale, Emery, Manti, Richfield, Delta, Fillmore, 
Cove Fort, Koosharem, Fish Lake, and Evanston
352 AM MDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Much of central and northern Utah and southwest Wyoming,
  including the Wasatch Front.

* Through late tonight

* Moisture will surge north into central and northern Utah 
  beginning Tuesday in advance of Tropical Storm Rosa, allowing 
  for scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms which will 
  be heavy at times. 

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, steep terrain and 
  urban areas with poor drainage. Streams and rivers will be 
  running fast and high by mid week. Travel may be impacted by 
  mid week due to debris flows from burn scars and potential 
  urban flooding. Those planning to be outdoors next week should 
  keep an eye on the weather forecast and make contingency 
  plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service Visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
619 
WGUS65 KSLC 022128
FFASLC

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
328 PM MDT Tue Oct 2 2018


UTZ013-016-019>021-518-031000-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
San Rafael Swell-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Southern Mountains-
Including the cities of Green River, Hanksville, Beaver, 
Cedar City, Milford, St George, Kanab, Escalante, Bullfrog, Loa, 
Panguitch, and Bryce Canyon
328 PM MDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central Utah and southern Utah, including the 
  following areas, in central Utah, San Rafael Swell. In 
  southern Utah, Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell, South 
  Central Utah, Southern Mountains, Southwest Utah, and Utahs 
  Dixie and Zion National Park.

* Through late tonight

* Tropical moisture across Utah will fuel numerous showers and
  isolated thunderstorms tonight. Periods of heavy rain are 
  possible from the stronger showers and storms. 

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, slot canyons,
  normally dry washes, steep terrain and urban areas with poor
  drainage. Streams and rivers will be running fast and high by
  mid week. Travel may be impacted by debris flows from burn scars
  and many unpaved surfaces may not be passable due to muddy
  conditions. Those planning to engage in outdoor activities should
  keep an eye on the weather forecast and make contingency plans.
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

UTZ001>004-006>012-014-015-517-WYZ021-031000-
/O.CON.KSLC.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Wasatch Mountain Valleys-Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-
Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-Western Uinta Mountains-
Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Central Mountains-
Southwest Wyoming-
Including the cities of Logan, Smithfield, Brigham City, Ogden, 
Bountiful, Salt Lake City, Tooele, Lehi, Provo, Nephi, 
Huntsville, Park City, Heber City, Woodruff, Randolph, Alta, 
Brighton, Mirror Lake Highway, Scofield, Duchesne, Roosevelt, 
Price, Castle Dale, Emery, Manti, Richfield, Delta, Fillmore, 
Cove Fort, Koosharem, Fish Lake, and Evanston
328 PM MDT Tue Oct 2 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Utah and southwest Wyoming, including the 
  following areas, in Utah, Cache Valley/Utah Portion, Castle 
  Country, Central Mountains, Northern Wasatch Front, Salt Lake 
  and Tooele Valleys, Sanpete/Sevier Valleys, Southern Wasatch 
  Front, Wasatch Mountain Valleys, Wasatch Mountains I-80 North, 
  Wasatch Mountains South of I-80, Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs, 
  West Central Utah, Western Uinta Basin, and Western Uinta 
  Mountains. In southwest Wyoming, Southwest Wyoming.

* Through late tonight

* Tropical moisture across central and northern Utah will fuel
  numerous showers and thunderstorms tonight. Periods of heavy
  rain are possible from the stronger showers and storms.

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, steep terrain and
  urban areas with poor drainage. Streams and rivers will be
  running fast and high by mid week. Travel may be impacted by
  debris flows from burn scars and potential urban flooding. Those
  planning to engage in outdoor activities should keep an eye on 
  the weather forecast and make contingency plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service Visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity
376 
WGUS65 KSLC 030959
FFASLC

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
359 AM MDT Wed Oct 3 2018

UTZ004-008-010-019-517-518-031800-
/O.CAN.KSLC.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-181003T1000Z/
/O.NEW.KSLC.FF.A.0005.181003T1000Z-181004T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Southern Wasatch Front-Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-
Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-
Central Mountains-Southern Mountains-
Including the cities of Lehi, Provo, Nephi, Alta, Brighton, 
Scofield, St George, Cove Fort, Koosharem, Fish Lake, Loa, 
Panguitch, and Bryce Canyon
359 AM MDT Wed Oct 3 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Salt Lake City has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions Utah, including the following
  areas. In central Utah, Central Mountains and Wasatch 
  Plateau/Book Cliffs. In northern Utah, Southern Wasatch Front 
  and Wasatch Mountains South of I-80. In southern Utah, Southern 
  Mountains and Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park.

* Through late tonight

* Moisture in place across the area will fuel scattered showers
  and thunderstorms this morning into this afternoon. Rain showers
  will become more numerous this evening and overnight with
  isolated to scattered thunderstorms continuing. Periods of heavy
  rain will be possible, especially from the stronger 
  thunderstorms.

* Flash flooding is possible near burn scars, slot canyons, steep
  terrain, and urban areas with poor drainage. Travel may be
  impacted by debris flows from burn scars and some unpaved 
  surfaces may not be passable due to muddy conditions. Those 
  planning to engage in outdoor activities should keep an eye on 
  the weather forecast and make contingency plans. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

UTZ001>003-006-007-009-011>016-020-021-WYZ021-031100-
/O.CAN.KSLC.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-181003T1000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Wasatch Mountain Valleys-
Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-Western Uinta Mountains-
Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-San Rafael Swell-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Southwest Utah-
South Central Utah-Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-
Southwest Wyoming-
Including the cities of Logan, Smithfield, Brigham City, Ogden, 
Bountiful, Salt Lake City, Tooele, Huntsville, Park City, 
Heber City, Woodruff, Randolph, Mirror Lake Highway, Duchesne, 
Roosevelt, Price, Castle Dale, Emery, Green River, Hanksville, 
Manti, Richfield, Delta, Fillmore, Beaver, Cedar City, Milford, 
Kanab, Escalante, Bullfrog, and Evanston
359 AM MDT Wed Oct 3 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of northern Utah, southeast
Utah, west-central Utah, and southwest Wyoming has been cancelled.

The potential for heavy rain has diminished early this morning. 
However, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms today and
tonight may still produce heavy rain, but any flash flood threat 
will remain isolated. 


$$

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service Visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Salt Lake City, UT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Sep 29, 9:09 AM MDT, 6 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 29, 9:09 AM MDT, 6 hours before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
909 AM MDT Sat Sep 29 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and windy conditions are anticipated today ahead
of an approaching Pacific weather disturbance that will bring a
dry cold front into northern and central Utah Sunday afternoon
into early Monday. Tropical moisture associated with Hurricane
Rosa will spread northward into the forecast area early next week,
bringing the potential for widespread heavy rainfall. Moist and
unstable conditions will persist for the middle to latter part of
the upcoming week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Impacts...
* Red Flag Warnings for widespread gusty winds and low RH through
  at least today, possibly extending into Sunday for portions of
  central and southern Utah
* Flash Flood threat Monday through midweek

Antecedent Conditions...
Exceptional Drought is occurring centered across San Pete county
and near the Four corners. Extreme drought continues across the
remainder of central and eastern Utah and northeast of the Great
Salt Lake, with Severe drought for the much of the remainder of
the state. Drought scales down to Moderate drought across
southwest Utah.

Big Picture...
During the past 5 days, the pattern across the Pacific remains
amplified and fairly stagnant. A ridge dominates the southwest
CONUS with a closed low off the northern California coast.

MDCARS 400mb-200mb aircraft observations reveal a 90-130kt
cyclonic jet from the northeast Pacific into northern California.

Local Observations...
12Z KSLC RAOB shows a well mixed dry layer to about 550mb, above a
nocturnal inversion, with a subsidence inversion above that
level. Winds are strong and veering with height, an indication of
warm advection.

Precipitable Water values range from 0.10"-0.25" mountains to
0.35"-0.65" valleys.

A 1001mb surface cyclone resides south of Boise, within a
southwest to northeast oriented surface trough. The frontal
boundary stretches near this trough based on 850-700mb Saturated
Equivalent Potential Temperature and Streamline analysis. South of
this boundary strong southwest winds are being observed with
numerous observations of 40-50+ mph gusts in the mountains and
favored valley locations.

24 hour trends:
* Precipitable Water 0.10"-0.35" higher
* Temperatures are 5-15F warmer, except 5-15F eastern areas
* Dewpoint Depression 10-35F lower (moister), except 5-15F higher
  (drier) northern Utah

Forecast...
Fire weather remains the main forecast concern in the immediate short
term. The combination of a 9mb southeasterly pressure gradient,
30-40kts of flow at 700mb, and pressure falls of 4-7mb/3hr should
generate widespread gusty winds this afternoon. Winds across the
western valleys may approach Wind Advisory criteria at times.

Mixing, warm advection and gusty southerly flow will result in
quite a warm afternoon today.

The morning RAOB was quite dry in the low and mid levels,
resulting in meager to no instability. It will be partly to mostly
sunny, with the greatest cloud cover across northwest Utah as
upper level moisture is fed into the state ahead of the closed
low.

Forecast in good shape with only minor edits, including adjusting
the hourly T/RH curve based on the latest observations and model
data.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
The forecast area remains under dry and mild high pressure this
morning, resulting in mostly clear skies. Southwest flow aloft is
on the increase as a Pacific low moves onshore along the
California coast. This will result in breezy conditions across
much of the area this afternoon that will combine with the dry
airmass to result in large areas of critical fire weather
conditions. See the fire weather section of the AFD for more
details. The warming trend will continue for another day across
northern Utah and southwest Wyoming, but southern Utah will see
slight cooling of the airmass as the low moves onshore, so maxes
will be a few degrees cooler than yesterday.

The low is progged to open up and weaken considerably overnight
before grazing northern Utah Sunday afternoon into early Monday,
pushing a surface boundary through northern and central Utah.
Ahead of the front, gusty southwest flow will persist and will
start to draw tropical moisture associated with Hurricane Rosa
northward. Global models have come into better agreement with the
timing of the moisture, but GFS remains a bit faster than the EC
in this regard. Currently, the moisture is expected to push into
southern Utah Sunday night into Monday, spreading into northern
portions of the forecast area Monday night into Tuesday with the
arrival of the remnant circulation.

PWs are expected to peak in the 1.0 to 1.2 inch range, which is
at least 0.1 inch more than the maximum observed this time of
year. Such an airmass combined with the instability from the
remnant circulation would produce widespread rainfall with the
potential for heavy rain with any showers that develop, especially
over southern Utah where the greatest moisture will be. With
increasing confidence, have raised POPs, especially for the Monday
night/Tuesday period and added more widespread mention of the
heavy rain potential. With the possibility of heavy rain comes the
potential for flash flooding, especially for prone areas such as
burn scars, slot canyons, dry washes, and urban areas with poor
drainage.

Active pattern to remain on tap through late next week. Although
the bulk of the energy from Rosa will be shifting downstream by
Wednesday, pattern will become more heavily influenced by northern
branch short waves interacting with plentiful residual moisture
from the days previous. The initial short wave (previously the
closed low that will have steered the northward trajectory of
Rosa) will finally kick inland while minoring out as it lifts NE
across the area Wed night/Thu. Do note solid jet support
coincident with this, but this wave lacks much baroclinic
structure and should be more showery in nature. Mid level CAA
(though fairly subtle) coupled with additional precip should
continue a net cooling trend.

Globals continue to advertise the kicking short wave will be
quite progressive as it amplifies SE into the Great Basin region
late Thursday into Friday. Baroclinic structure is more pronounced
with this trough, and expect another round of focused precip to
track SE across the area with passage of the mid level front. Will
likely need to increase PoPs further for the later Thursday into
Friday timeframe as timing differences narrow, but for now have
increased roughly 10-20% to begin that trend. Potential exists for
the first accumulating snow for the higher elevation peaks with
this, but it's still a bit early to jump that gun.

Thereafter through day 7 the big picture maintains a long wave
trough over the intermountain west, with additional short wave
energy and a strong anticyclonic jet further amplifying the long
wave pattern into next weekend. Much cooler temps will be
supported with this, but extent of additional precip is less
certain at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
Winds will be the primary impact to operations at the KLSC
terminal today. South to southeast winds with gusts between 20-30
kts will persist through the day with peak gusts up to 40 kts
possible this afternoon. VFR conditions will prevail under passing
mid and upper level clouds.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ERC values are running close to the 97th percentile across
northern and west central Utah, closer to the 70th-79th percentile
across the southwest. ERCs have been trending higher during the
past several days.

Widespread Red Flag Warning conditions today with gusty southwest
winds and low humidity ahead of an approaching cold front. These
conditions may persist across portions of central and southern
Utah tomorrow as the cold front settles into northern Utah.

Heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane Rosa will advance
northward into southern Utah Monday, and overspread the region
through mid week. Debris flow flooding is a concern, and the
Chance of Wetting Rainfall will be quite high.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 9 PM MDT this evening for
     UTZ478>484-488-489-492>498.

WY...&&

PUBLIC...10/Traphagan/Merrill
AVIATION...Bonnette
FIRE WEATHER...10

For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For frequently asked questions about the Area Forecast Discussion
visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity/general/afd_faqs.php
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 29, 4:56 AM MDT, 10 hours 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
456 AM MDT Sat Sep 29 2018

UTZ001>016-019>021-517-518-WYZ021-301100-
Cache Valley/Utah Portion-Northern Wasatch Front-
Salt Lake and Tooele Valleys-Southern Wasatch Front-
Great Salt Lake Desert and Mountains-Wasatch Mountain Valleys-
Wasatch Mountains I-80 North-Wasatch Mountains South of I-80-
Western Uinta Mountains-Wasatch Plateau/Book Cliffs-
Western Uinta Basin-Castle Country-San Rafael Swell-
Sanpete/Sevier Valleys-West Central Utah-Southwest Utah-
Utahs Dixie and Zion National Park-South Central Utah-
Glen Canyon Recreation Area/Lake Powell-Central Mountains-
Southern Mountains-Southwest Wyoming-
456 AM MDT Sat Sep 29 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the western two thirds of
Utah and southwest Wyoming.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Gusty southwesterly winds will combine with a very dry airmass to
produce critical fire weather conditions this afternoon into this
evening across all but southern Utah. Any fires that develop will
have the potential to spread rapidly.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Tropical moisture associated with Hurricane Rosa will spread
northward into the area beginning Sunday. Southern Utah will see
the potential for heavy rain as early as Monday, with the threat
spreading into northern Utah and southwest Wyoming Monday night
into Tuesday. The moist and unstable airmass will remain over the
region for much of the week. With this rain, there will be the
possibility of flash flooding, particularly over prone areas such
as burn scars, slot canyons, normally dry washes, and urban areas
with poor drainage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

For more information from NOAA/s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity

For information on potential road travel impacts visit...
http://www.udottraffic.utah.gov/roadweatherforecast.aspx

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Wyoming, 2018Flash Flood Watches in Utah, 2018Every flash flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.