Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2018
Red Flag Warning 5, NWS San Angelo, TX
NWS San Angelo, TX issued this red flag warning at Mar 17, 2018, 1:13 PM CDT for 11 counties in Texas. It took effect at Mar 18, 2018, 12:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 17, 2018, 1:13 PM CDT (18:13 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 18, 2018, 12:00 PM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 18, 2018, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Angelo, TX
Counties Coke County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Tom Green County, TX
The radar
The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -383 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2669 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 62 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 142 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 182 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 17, 12:28 PM CDT, 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 12:28 PM CDT, 45 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1228 PM CDT Sat Mar 17 2018 .AVIATION... /18Z TAFS/ Scattered convection is possible across the area this afternoon, although the KBBD (Brady) and perhaps the KABI (Abilene) terminals would be the most at risk. Otherwise, both the stationary front near the KABI terminal and the dryline sloshing back and forth across the remainder of the terminals will make for a complicated wind forecast through tonight. By late tonight, and certainly be Sunday morning, southwest to west winds will become dominant and begin to increase in speed. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 630 AM CDT Sat Mar 17 2018/ AVIATION... /12Z TAFS/ No significant changes were necessary this forecast cycle. Models still bring MVFR ceilings to the Brady and Junction terminals, for a few hours this morning. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 434 AM CDT Sat Mar 17 2018/ SHORT TERM... (Today and Tonight) .Low Rain Chances East with Temperatures Above Seasonal Normals... Aside from low rain chances east, look for temperatures to remain above seasonal normals today and tonight. A weak cold front may push into the Big Country this morning and stall near our Interstate 20 corridor. However, Winds from mainly the south will push this front back north this afternoon. Meanwhile, the flow aloft will slowly shift today and come from the southwest. Models continue to indicate some convection could develop, mainly across our eastern counties this afternoon and evening. The Storm Prediction Center actually includes Brown county and San Saba county in a marginal risk area for severe thunderstorms. However, models indicate most convection will be east of our counties. Nevertheless, continuing low PoPs for some of our eastern counties, mainly for this afternoon and evening, looks reasonable. Otherwise, highs today will be mainly in the 80 to 85 range. Lows Sunday morning will range mainly from the mid to upper 50s. LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) .Elevated, possibly critical Fire Weather Sunday into Monday... A strong surface low in the Panhandle/SE Colorado Sunday will move east across northern Oklahoma Monday. Surface trough associated with it will move through Sunday midday, bringing strong gusty southwest winds behind it. An isolated shower or thunderstorm is possible through early afternoon, mainly across Mason, Brown, and San Saba counties. Critical fire weather is possible across Crockett county and western sections of the Concho Valley and Big Country, where the strongest winds are expected. A fire weather watch is in effect late Sunday morning and afternoon for this area. Strong southwest winds will persist Monday night as the surface low moves across N. Oklahoma, with winds shifting the the west and northwest Monday morning. Elevated, possibly critical fire weather potential will continue Monday. Surface high pressure will move in Tuesday, with a return to southerly winds Wednesday as the high pressure moves east. Low level moisture begins to return Thursday and Friday, along with highs in the 80s. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 77 55 85 50 / 20 10 10 0 San Angelo 87 57 87 48 / 10 10 5 0 Junction 85 57 89 48 / 20 20 10 5 Brownwood 82 56 87 49 / 30 20 20 0 Sweetwater 78 55 83 47 / 10 5 5 0 Ozona 86 56 86 48 / 10 10 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Fire Weather Watch from Sunday afternoon through Sunday evening for Coke-Crockett-Fisher-Irion-Nolan-Sterling-Tom Green. && 07
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 5:05 AM CDT, 8 hours 8 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS San Angelo, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2:01 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SJT | Runnels | 29 min |
| Mar 17, 2:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coleman, Runnels, Taylor | 51 min |
| Mar 17, 2:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Brown | 24 min |
| Mar 17, 2:54 PM CDT | Fire Weather Watch | SJT | Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crockett and 18 more | 24 hr |
| Mar 17, 4:16 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SJT | Coleman | 44 min |
| Mar 17, 5:20 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SJT | San Saba | 40 min |
| Mar 17, 5:45 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | SJT | San Saba | 30 min |
| Mar 17, 5:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | San Saba | 50 min |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2018Every red flag warning in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.