Flash Flood Warning 17, NWS San Angelo, TX

161 
WGUS74 KSJT 061824
FFSSJT

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
124 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2018

TXC413-062000-
/O.CON.KSJT.FF.W.0017.000000T0000Z-180906T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Schleicher TX-
124 PM CDT THU SEP 6 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL SCHLEICHER COUNTY...

At 120 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain across the warned 
area. Two to three inches of rain has fallen during the past hour 
about 10 miles southeast of Eldorado. Flash flooding is expected to 
begin shortly.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Eldorado, The Intersection Of Ranch Road 1828 And Ranch Road 915, The
Intersection Of Us-190 And Ranch Road 1828 and Us-
277 Near The Sutton-Schleicher County Line.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, country roads, farmland, and other low lying
spots.

&&

LAT...LON 3071 10081 3108 10089 3108 10079 3109 10078
      3109 10049 3071 10031

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
640 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Showers and a few thunderstorms will develop across the terminals
this morning into the afternoon hours. Due to limited thunder
coverage, will only mention VCTS at the terminals at this time.
IFR ceilings will affect KSOA and KJCT through mid to late
morning, with MVFR ceilings elsewhere. Precipitation will not
be as widespread across the area tonight and will only mention
VCSH and make amendments as necessary. Low ceilings may return
to the terminals towards daybreak Friday. Expect light winds
through the period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 347 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018/

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Another wet and cool day is on tap for West Central Texas, with
scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms affecting the
area once again. Currently, an area of light to moderate rain
showers is occurring over far southern portions of the Big Country
into the Heartland counties. Latest model guidance shows the
development and expansion of precipitation across the area during
the morning hours and continuing through afternoon. Coverage should
be similar or even a little better than yesterday due to a weak cold
front that will move into the northern half of the area during the
day and provide a focus. Precipitable water values will remain
around 2.0 inches today, which will contribute to heavy rainfall
potential and the threat for localized flooding as convection will
be slow moving.

Temperatures will be cool again today, running roughly 10 degrees
below normal for early September, with highs in the upper 70s and
lower 80s. Rain chances continue tonight, although much like the
past few nights, coverage should be lower than what occurs during
the daylight hours. Lows tonight will be in the upper 60s and lower
70s.

LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)

A weak front will be stationary across the forecast area Friday
and Saturday, although it is hard to say exactly where.
Nevertheless, this front will provide a focus point for lift to
help initiate heavy showers and thunderstorms across West Central
Texas on both days. With an upper level ridge over the southeast
U.S. continuing to provide plentiful atmospheric moisture
(precipitable water of around 1.7-2.0 inches), the heavy showers
and thunderstorms that occur will produce heavy rainfall rates
(around 2-3 inches/hour) and even the moderate showers will
produce rates of possibly 1 inch/hour. With this high amount of
moisture in place, any training of storms or slow moving storms
will create the potential for flash flooding. Expect the cloudy
conditions to continue with cooler than normal temperatures (highs
in the upper 70s/low 80s).

An upper level trough moving through the Midwest Sunday into early
next week will cut-off the supply of deep Gulf moisture,
resulting in decreasing moisture and clouds across the area
Sunday into Monday, and also lesser rainfall chances. By Tuesday,
models are mostly dry across our forecast area with mostly clear
skies. Conditions will warm up as a result, with highs reaching
the upper 80s Monday/Tuesday and possibly low 90s on Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 	 81  68  79  67 /  70  50  70  60
San Angelo 	 82  68  81  67 /  70  50  70  60
Junction 	 84  71  84  68 /  70  50  70  60
Brownwood 	 83  70  82  69 /  60  50  70  70
Sweetwater 	 79  68  78  65 /  70  50  70  50
Ozona      	 79  68  80  65 /  70  50  70  60

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

99/99/24

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
446 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-071000-
Fisher-Nolan-Sterling-Coke-Runnels-Irion-Tom Green-Concho-
Crockett-Schleicher-Sutton-Haskell-Throckmorton-Jones-Shackelford-
Taylor-Callahan-Coleman-Brown-McCulloch-San Saba-Menard-Kimble-
Mason-
446 AM CDT Thu Sep 6 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of west central
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms will affect
the area again today and tonight. The main hazard will be heavy
rainfall, which may result in localized flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Periods of showers and thunderstorms will continue to affect the
area Friday through the upcoming weekend. Some of the rainfall
will be heavy at times, especially Friday and Saturday. The main
hazard will be localized flash flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1041 AM CDT THU SEP 6 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 AM     FLOOD            3 NNE TUSCOLA           32.26N 99.78W
09/06/2018                   TAYLOR             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            FLOODED LOW WATER CROSSING. COUNTY ROAD 150
            WEST OF HIGHWAY 83/84.

&&

MKD