Wind Chill Advisory 3, NWS Springfield, MO

Cherokee County, KS, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Howell County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Polk County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO

742 
WWUS43 KSGF 162146
WSWSGF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Springfield MO
346 PM CST Tue Jan 16 2018


KSZ101-MOZ079>082-088>098-101>106-162300-
/O.EXP.KSGF.WC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-180116T2200Z/
Barry-Cherokee-Christian-Dade-Dallas-Douglas-Greene-Howell-Jasper-
Laclede-Lawrence-McDonald-Newton-Oregon-Ozark-Polk-Shannon-Stone-
Taney-Texas-Webster-Wright-
Including the cities of Alton, Anderson, Aurora, Ava, 
Baxter Springs, Bendavis, Birch Tree, Bolivar, Branson, Buffalo, 
Carthage, Cassville, Charity, Christian Center, Columbus, Couch, 
Crane, Dawson, Dogwood, Duncan, Edgewater Beach, Elsey, Foose, 
Forsyth, Goodhope, Goodman, Graff, Greenfield, Greer, Hollister, 
Huggins, Indian Point, Joplin, Kimberling City, Kirbyville, 
Lebanon, Lockwood, Lowell, Lynchburg, Madry, Mansfield, March, 
Marionville, Marshfield, Meinert, Monett, Montier, Mount Vernon, 
Mountain Grove, Neosho, Neutral, Nixa, Noel, Northview, Olive, 
Ozark, Ozark Beach, Pineville, Plad, Plato, Pomona, Pottersville,
Powersite, Riverton, Roby, Rocky Comfort, Rogersville, Rome, 
Selmore, Seymour, Sherwin, Siloam Springs, Silver Dollar City, 
South Fork, South West City, Springfield, Squires, Stippville, 
Teresita, Thayer, Thomasville, Vanzant, Wasola, West Plains, 
White Church, Wilderness, Windyville, and Winona
346 PM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

Temperatures and wind chills should mostly remain above the
criteria for a wind chill advisory with readings dipping into the
single digits below zero.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
520 AM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

...AVIATION UPDATE...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)

An Arctic blast of air filtered into extreme southeast Kansas and
the Missouri Ozarks overnight. Temperatures responded by falling
into the lower single digits. Winds chill values ranged from -10
to -20 degrees below zero.

Despite sunshine today, not much of a warm up is expected this
afternoon as temperatures may reach 9 to 12 degrees. Northerly
breezes will persist the entire day.

No additional snowfall is expected as this activity has shifted
well into Arkansas and Tennessee.

For tonight, bitterly cold readings are once again expected with
overnight lows in the lower single digits. Thankfully wind speeds
will be light tonight, mitigating wind chills from getting out of
hand.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)

By tomorrow, the upper trough forcing Arctic air through the
Ozarks will begin to progress east. Height rises along with a
return of southwest flow at the surface will commence. With
sunshine expected on Wednesday, temperatures are expected to warm
back into the middle and upper 20s.

This warming trend will continue as a major pattern change occurs
by Thursday and Friday. Upper level flow becomes more zonal and
southerly winds at the surface continues. The Arctic air will
finally advect out of the Ozarks, boosting temperatures into the
40s on Thursday, and 50s on Friday.

A powerful storm system organizes across the Great Basin heading
into the weekend. This will strengthen southerly flow across the
Ozarks, bringing in a Gulf airmass higher in moisture content.
Temperatures Saturday afternoon respond by warming into the 60s.

As the storm system approaches on Sunday, showers and even
thunderstorms are expected. There is a signal for a cold season
episode of organized thunderstorms, however, I will not mention
this in the HWO yet until we see some consistency or even some
increases in model derived cape values ahead of the system. This
is something to key in on over the next few days. Could be looking
at a possible QLCS set up given the structure of the trough and
the strong forcing that occurs on it's leading edge.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports can
expect VFR conditions over the next 24 hours.

An Arctic airmass had spread across the region, bringing
temperatures down into the single digits this morning.

Northerly breezes will persist through much of the day. No
obstructions to visibilities or low ceilings expected.

Safe Travels.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Wind Chill Advisory until noon CST today for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Cramer

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
331 AM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170945-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
331 AM CST Tue Jan 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated Excessive cold risk.

DISCUSSION...

Dangerous wind chills will continue today. Wind chill values this
morning will range from -10 to -20 degrees below zero.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected on Thursday as wind
gusts in excess of 25 mph combines with a dry airmass.

Thunderstorms are possible on Sunday as a powerful spring like storm
system approaches from the west.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Cramer