Severe Thunderstorm Warning 62, NWS Springfield, MO

779 
WWUS53 KSGF 170032
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
732 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2018

MOC043-209-170100-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0062.000000T0000Z-180517T0100Z/
Christian MO-Stone MO-
732 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN AND NORTHEASTERN STONE COUNTIES...

At 731 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Clever, or near
Battlefield, moving southwest at 5 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Nixa...                           Ozark...
Clever...                         Highlandville...
Fremont Hills...                  Hurley...
Boaz...                           

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3693 9350 3710 9349 3710 9324 3709 9322
      3693 9324
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 013DEG 7KT 3703 9341 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Foster

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
210 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 110 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018

A couple of small scale upper level disturbances: 1) Well
pronounced mcv over ne OK will drift ese and for the most part
convection with this system will stay near or just south of our
border (best chances in the near term are the far sw corner of
MO). Bears some watching with the HRRR keeping persistent weak
convection along the MO/AR border tonight. 2) Over far se NEB
drifting to the southeast moving into central and east central MO
Thu. This may be more of a player for our weather for Thu during
the peak heating part of the day afternoon/evening with the
chances for scattered showers/thunderstorms favoring the eastern
cwfa.

In the meantime for the the rest of today, some isolated pulse
convection will be possible but given the relatively low
pwats/moisture aloft we are not expecting severe storms.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 110 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018

Friday: The shortwave over MO Thu will exit off to the east with
weak 500mb height rises through the day. Can't rule out some
isolated convection given the instability, but the best chance for
any convection will likely be over the far sw cwfa where overall
moisture will be higher with pwats just under 1.5 inches.

Saturday-Sunday: The upper level shortwave ridge will shift east
of the area but guidance is having trouble resolving small scale
features and the placement of a sfc cold front over/near the
area. The ECMWF moves a sfc front through Sat night/early Sunday
while the GFS holds this front back to the west. In general the
pattern favors an uptick in rain chances either way, but don't
have a lot confidence in timing/placement of convection.

Monday-Wednesday: The upper ridge is suppressed to the south with
modest westerlies aloft. The GFS is far more bullish with precip
versus the ECMWF with more moisture in place. In general, our late
Spring type pattern looks to continue.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1213 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: A weak slow moving upper level disturbance
will kick off isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in
the near term. Some of this may persist well past 00z. Outside of
thunderstorms, some cumulus vfr or mvfr ceilings will be possible
over the next few hours with light winds.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...DSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
245 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-171945-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
245 PM CDT Wed May 16 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

Limited lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and tonight.
The overall best chances this afternoon will be over far
southwest Missouri.  Cloud to ground lightning will be the main
potential hazard with these storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Periodic thunderstorm chances will occur into next week.
Organized severe weather is not expected, although some storms may
produce locally gusty winds on Friday over far southwest
Missouri.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

DSA

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
412 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2018

MOZ104-162200-
Taney MO-
412 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN TANEY COUNTY UNTIL
500 PM CDT...

At 412 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Omaha, or 9 miles south of Branson. This storm was nearly stationary.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ridgedale...

LAT...LON 3657 9327 3657 9311 3650 9311 3650 9327
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 031DEG 4KT 3650 9321

Foster

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
620 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2018

MOZ090-170000-
Greene MO-
620 PM CDT WED MAY 16 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL GREENE COUNTY UNTIL
700 PM CDT...

At 620 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
southern Springfield. This storm was nearly stationary.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Springfield...                    Battlefield...
Galloway...

LAT...LON 3710 9324 3710 9336 3720 9334 3720 9320
      3709 9320
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 044DEG 4KT 3714 9329

Foster