Frost Advisory 3, NWS Springfield, MO

912 
WWUS73 KSGF 190703
NPWSGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Springfield MO
203 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018


KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055-066>068-077>079-088-089-093-094-101-102-
192200-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FR.Y.0004.180420T0600Z-180420T1400Z/
/O.CON.KSGF.FR.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-180419T1400Z/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Vernon-St. Clair-Hickory-Barton-
Cedar-Polk-Jasper-Dade-Newton-Lawrence-McDonald-Barry-
Including the cities of Fort Scott, Pawnee Station, Chicopee, 
Lone Oak, Pittsburg, Baxter Springs, Lowell, Riverton, Columbus, 
Neutral, Sherwin, Stippville, Warsaw, Whitakerville, Cole Camp, 
Crockerville, Mora, Edmonson, Lincoln, NEVADA, Tiffin, 
Appleton City, Johnson City, Weaubleau, Hermitage, Quincy, 
Wheatland, Cross Timbers, Kenoma, Lamar, Cedar Springs, 
El Dorado Springs, Filley, Arnica, Caplinger Mills, Stockton, 
Bolivar, Joplin, Carthage, Greenfield, Lockwood, Meinert, Neosho,
Aurora, Mount Vernon, Marionville, Anderson, Noel, Goodman, 
South West City, Pineville, Rocky Comfort, Monett, Madry, 
and Cassville
203 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a Frost
Advisory, which is in effect from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Friday. 

* TEMPERATURE...Low temperatures will fall into the lower to 
  middle 30s. 

* IMPACTS...The frost will damage sensitive vegetation and crops 
  that are not protected. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

MOZ056>058-069>071-080>083-090>092-095>098-103>106-192200-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FR.Y.0004.180420T0600Z-180420T1400Z/
Morgan-Miller-Maries-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Dallas-Laclede-Texas-
Dent-Greene-Webster-Wright-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
Including the cities of Versailles, Rocky Mount, Stover, Laurie, 
Aurora Springs, Eldon, Lake Ozark, Vichy, Osage Beach, Camdenton,
Decaturville, Roach, Village of Four Seasons, Fort Leonard Wood, 
Laquey, Waynesville, Northwye, Rolla, Buffalo, Charity, Foose, 
March, Plad, Windyville, Olive, Lynchburg, Lebanon, Plato, Roby, 
Bendavis, Huggins, Lake Spring, Bangert, Darien, Gladden, Howes, 
Jadwin, Salem, Springfield, Marshfield, Northview, Seymour, 
Rogersville, Dawson, Graff, Mountain Grove, Duncan, Mansfield, 
Nixa, Christian Center, Ozark, Selmore, Vanzant, Ava, Goodhope, 
Rome, Squires, Dogwood, Pomona, Pottersville, Siloam Springs, 
South Fork, West Plains, White Church, Teresita, Winona, 
Birch Tree, Montier, Kimberling City, Crane, Elsey, Indian Point,
Silver Dollar City, Branson, Hollister, Kirbyville, 
Edgewater Beach, Forsyth, Ozark Beach, Powersite, Wasola, Thayer,
Alton, Couch, Greer, Thomasville, and Wilderness
203 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Springfield has issued a Frost
Advisory, which is in effect from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Friday. 

* TEMPERATURE...Low temperatures will fall into the lower to 
  middle 30s. 

* IMPACTS...The frost will damage sensitive vegetation and crops 
  that are not protected. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

Griffin

159 
WWUS73 KSGF 191352
NPWSGF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Springfield MO
852 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055-066>068-077>079-088-089-093-094-101-102-
200200-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FR.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-180419T1400Z/
/O.CON.KSGF.FR.Y.0004.180420T0600Z-180420T1400Z/
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Vernon-St. Clair-Hickory-Barton-
Cedar-Polk-Jasper-Dade-Newton-Lawrence-McDonald-Barry-
Including the cities of Fort Scott, Pawnee Station, Chicopee, 
Lone Oak, Pittsburg, Baxter Springs, Lowell, Riverton, Columbus, 
Neutral, Sherwin, Stippville, Warsaw, Whitakerville, Cole Camp, 
Crockerville, Mora, Edmonson, Lincoln, NEVADA, Tiffin, 
Appleton City, Johnson City, Weaubleau, Hermitage, Quincy, 
Wheatland, Cross Timbers, Kenoma, Lamar, Cedar Springs, 
El Dorado Springs, Filley, Arnica, Caplinger Mills, Stockton, 
Bolivar, Joplin, Carthage, Greenfield, Lockwood, Meinert, Neosho,
Aurora, Mount Vernon, Marionville, Anderson, Noel, Goodman, 
South West City, Pineville, Rocky Comfort, Monett, Madry, 
and Cassville
852 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT
FRIDAY...
...FROST ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* TEMPERATURE...Low temperatures will fall into the lower to 
  middle 30s tonight. 

* IMPACTS...The frost will damage sensitive vegetation and crops 
  that are not protected. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

MOZ056>058-069>071-080>083-090>092-095>098-103>106-200200-
/O.CON.KSGF.FR.Y.0004.180420T0600Z-180420T1400Z/
Morgan-Miller-Maries-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Dallas-Laclede-Texas-
Dent-Greene-Webster-Wright-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
Including the cities of Versailles, Rocky Mount, Stover, Laurie, 
Aurora Springs, Eldon, Lake Ozark, Vichy, Osage Beach, Camdenton,
Decaturville, Roach, Village of Four Seasons, Fort Leonard Wood, 
Laquey, Waynesville, Northwye, Rolla, Buffalo, Charity, Foose, 
March, Plad, Windyville, Olive, Lynchburg, Lebanon, Plato, Roby, 
Bendavis, Huggins, Lake Spring, Bangert, Darien, Gladden, Howes, 
Jadwin, Salem, Springfield, Marshfield, Northview, Seymour, 
Rogersville, Dawson, Graff, Mountain Grove, Duncan, Mansfield, 
Nixa, Christian Center, Ozark, Selmore, Vanzant, Ava, Goodhope, 
Rome, Squires, Dogwood, Pomona, Pottersville, Siloam Springs, 
South Fork, West Plains, White Church, Teresita, Winona, 
Birch Tree, Montier, Kimberling City, Crane, Elsey, Indian Point,
Silver Dollar City, Branson, Hollister, Kirbyville, 
Edgewater Beach, Forsyth, Ozark Beach, Powersite, Wasola, Thayer,
Alton, Couch, Greer, Thomasville, and Wilderness
852 AM CDT Thu Apr 19 2018

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT
FRIDAY...

* TEMPERATURE...Low temperatures will fall into the lower to 
  middle 30s tonight. 

* IMPACTS...The frost will damage sensitive vegetation and crops 
  that are not protected. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Frost Advisory means that widespread frost is expected.
Sensitive outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

&&

$$

Raberding

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1158 AM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 226 AM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

Strong surface low was located over east central Kansas early this
morning with very gusty west to northwest winds directly behind
the cold front. Gusts of around 40 kts have been reported at
during the past hour or so. The surface low will continue to track
east the remainder of the night to near COU by 12z and the frontal
boundary extending south of the low along US65. The front should
push east and out of CWA by 15z. Winds will be quite gusty today
behind the front, especially closer to the low where the isobars
will be tightly packed, which would be over our northern CWA. We
have loaded winds with CONSMOS today and bumped up several kts
from that and will likely see sustained winds of 20 to 30 mph and
gusts of 30 to 40 mph. Day shift will need to monitor for wind
advisory potential, but at this point it looks like we might fall
short over most locations and will hold off.

Also, much drier air will move in behind the front with humidity
levels dropping into the 30s during the afternoon. Our EHWO brings
fire weather levels into the elevated category, or still below red
flag conditions so will also hold off on any fire weather
products, but will mention the elevated conditions in the morning
HWO.

Cooler air will move in behind the front with cold air advection,
so temperatures will not be nearly as warm as yesterday and in
some cases will probably have highs during the morning.

The colder air will continue to push into the area tonight and
will see most locations in that low to mid 30s range which would
be in the range for frost development. Winds might stay up enough
for that to occur, so will hold off and let the day shift analyze
that further for any frost advisory potential.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 226 AM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

Another frost potential night would be on Thursday night but with
the center of the ridge axis up in Iowa, winds still might be a
bit strong for frost development, but the best potential would be
over the eastern Ozarks where the cooler temperatures will reside.

The next low pressure system will arrive by late Saturday as a
closed low moves into the central and southern plains and
precipitation chances spread into the western portion of the CWA
and eventually across the remainder of the CWA Saturday night into
Sunday. Precipitation should then end by Sunday evening as the low
pulls into the Tennessee valley.

Models begin to diverge a bit by early next week with the GFS
showing a sharper shortwave axis moving in from the northwest
Tuesday night, while the ECMWF keeps the main energy closer to the
closed low over the Great Lakes.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1155 AM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

VFR conditions are expected through Thursday. Some cumulus clouds
are expected with bases remaining above 3000 feet.

Brisk and gusty northwest winds will continue into early this
evening with gusts around 30 knots. Winds will then diminish by
late evening.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Schaumann

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
130 PM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-191830-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
130 PM CDT Wed Apr 18 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.
  Significant frost risk.
  Elevated to locally Significant fire weather risk.

DISCUSSION...

  Brisk west to northwest winds will persist this afternoon
  with gusts around 35 mph. These winds in combination with an
  increasingly dry air mass will lead to elevated fire weather
  conditions. Locally significant fire weather conditions will
  be possible this afternoon across south-central Missouri.
  Fires in these conditions will have the capability to quickly
  grow and spread.

  Temperatures will dip into the low to mid 30s tonight with
  areas of frost expected across western Missouri and extreme
  southeastern Kansas. The greatest potential for frost will
  occur in valleys and areas protected from a northwest wind.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

  Areas of frost are again expected Thursday night across much
  of the area.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Schaumann