Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Springfield, MO

753 
WGUS73 KSGF 190140
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
840 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2018

MOC149-190515-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-180719T0515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Oregon MO-
840 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN OREGON COUNTY...

At 839 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain had occurred 
across the warned area. Four to six inches of rain has fallen. Flash 
flooding is already occurring northeast of Thayer.  Additional light 
to moderate rainfall will continue into the late evening.

This warning includes but is not limited to the following low water
crossings...
Route A just west of Couch...
and Highway 142 at The Eleven Point River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring.
If you are in the warned area move to higher ground immediately.
Residents living along streams and creeks should take immediate
precautions to protect life and property.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 9162 3663 9168 3674 9168 3684 9166
      3680 9158 3669 9147 3664 9134 3661 9120
      3657 9115 3650 9114 3650 9157

$$

Lindenberg

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
554 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

Scattered storms are developing across southeastern Kansas into
west central Missouri this afternoon. These scattered storms will
continue to develop and slowly sag southeast into this evening.
Instability has increased across the area with generally 2000
J/kg of MLCAPE along and west of Highway 65 and north of Highway
60, with over 2500 J/kg of MLCAPE across extreme southeastern
Kansas. An upper level jet is spreading southeast across the
central Plains, and as a result deep layer shear has increased
slightly across the area. There will be a few strong to severe
storms this afternoon and evening mainly along and west of Highway
65. Hail to the size of quarters and damaging straight line winds
will be the main risk. The storm movement will be slow, so
locally heavy rainfall will also occur with the storms.

Storms will develop across Nebraska this evening and form into a
complex and dive southeast overnight. This activity is expected to
spread into portions of the area late tonight into Thursday
morning. There could be training of storms and where this occurs
there will be a flash flood risk. There is also the potential for
a few strong storms too, mainly along and east of Highway 65.
This activity should spread east of the area by Thursday
afternoon. Dry air will spread into the mid levels of the
atmosphere Thursday afternoon and evening and will help prevent
redevelopment of storms Thursday afternoon and evening.

Temperatures will warm into the middle to upper 90s with heat
index values around 103 to near 110 degrees west of Highway 65
Thursday afternoon/early evening. Clouds from the morning complex
of storms will keep the eastern Ozarks slightly cooler. If the
clouds clear sooner or the complex of storms tracks farther east
temperatures could warm more across the eastern Ozarks. Went
ahead and issued a Heat Advisory for locations west of Highway 65
Thursday afternoon/early evening where there is higher confidence
in the hot and humid conditions occurring.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

Storms are expected to develop across the central Plains again
Thursday evening and dive southeast. This activity will be
weakening as they move towards and into the area late Thursday
into early Friday.

An upper level trough and weak surface front will spread through
the area Friday/Friday night. This will bring a drier air mass to
the area this weekend into early next week. Highs will warm into
the upper 80s to middle 90s this weekend into early next week.

A shortwave trough may move through the region during the middle
of next week bringing additional rain chances to the area. Medium
range models differ on the exact timing though.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 552 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

Scattered showers and thunderstorms were occurring over parts of
southwest and south central Missouri as of 22:45Z. Have gone with
some VCTS wording for SGF, although a significant downward trend
has started with the convection northwest of SGF. The SGF site
looks to be the only site potentially affected with the convection
during the evening. Have gone with VFR conditions through the
period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Heat Advisory from noon to 9 PM CDT Thursday for MOZ055-066>068-
     077>079-088>090-093>095-101>103.

KS...Heat Advisory from noon to 9 PM CDT Thursday for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Wise
LONG TERM...Wise
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
221 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-191930-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
221 PM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited hail risk.
  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Limited lightning risk.
  Limited excessive heat risk.

DISCUSSION...

Scattered thunderstorms will develop this afternoon into this
evening. A few of the stronger storms will have the potential for
damaging winds and large hail to the size of quarters, mainly
along and west of Highway 65. Frequent cloud to ground lightning
strikes and brief heavy rainfall will also occur with the storms.

Heat index values in the upper 90s to near 100 are expected over
extreme southeastern Kansas and far southwestern Missouri into
early this evening.

A complex of storms is expected to develop across the central
Plains this evening and spread southeast overnight and start to
spread into the area late tonight. Heavy rainfall will occur with
the storms, and a localized flooding will be possible where
multiple storms can track over the same locations. A few strong
storms with damaging straight line winds will also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Thunderstorm may be on going across portions of the area along and
east of Highway 65 Thursday morning. This activity will spread
east and out of the area by Thursday afternoon. A few strong to
severe storms will be possible Thursday morning into early
Thursday afternoon. Gusty winds will be the primary risk. There
will also be a localized flooding risk mainly north of I-44 and
east of Highway 65.

Isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms will be possible
Friday.

Heat index values of around 105 to near 110 are expected across
southeastern Kansas into southwestern Missouri Thursday. Heat
index values around 100 to near 105 degrees are expected across
the outlook area Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Wise

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1258 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1140 AM     FLASH FLOOD      LINN CREEK              38.04N 92.71W
07/18/2018                   CAMDEN             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LINN CREEK FLOODED ACROSS HIGHWAY 54 IN LINN
            CREEK, MO.

&&

KP