Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 52, NWS Blacksburg, VA

November 12, 2018Pittsylvania County, City of Danville, Virginia; Caswell County, Rockingham County, North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this river flood warning at Nov 12, 2018, 8:25 PM EST for Pittsylvania County, City of Danville, Virginia; Caswell County, Rockingham County, North Carolina. It took effect at Nov 13, 2018, 2:12 AM EST. It was in force for 43 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 12, 2018, 8:25 PM EST (01:25 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 13, 2018, 2:12 AM EST
Expired
Nov 14, 2018, 9:24 PM EST
In force
43 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Caswell County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, City of Danville, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Dan River at STP near Danville (DVLV2). The gauge peaked at 20.82 ft at Nov 13, 2018, 8:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderate102011/1311/1411/1511/16
Action stage
18 ft
Minor stage
21 ft
Moderate stage
26 ft
Major stage
32 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02075045, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

045 
WGUS41 KRNK 130125
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
825 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

...The National Weather Service Blacksburg Va has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina and 
Virginia...

  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County


Moderate rain has been falling across the Dan River Basin since Noon
Monday.  Rainfall amounts have averaged a little over an inch.  This 
will result in a significant rise along the Dan River with Minor
Flooding expected at Danville, Paces, and South Boston.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-131325-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0052.181113T1200Z-181115T0224Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.181113T1200Z.181114T0000Z.181114T1424Z.UU/
825 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River near Danville
* from Tuesday morning until Wednesday evening
* At 700 PM Monday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 

* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 20 feet by Tuesday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by late Wednesday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 19.7 
  feet on Aug 2 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-131325-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0053.181113T2004Z-181116T0055Z/
/PCEV2.1.ER.181113T2004Z.181114T1800Z.181115T1255Z.NO/
825 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River at Paces
* from Tuesday afternoon until Thursday evening
* At 700 PM Monday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 

* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 24 feet by Wednesday early afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 
  feet on Dec 26 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-131325-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0054.181113T1249Z-181116T2053Z/
/SBNV2.1.ER.181113T1249Z.181115T0000Z.181116T0853Z.NO/
825 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River at South Boston
* from Tuesday morning until Friday afternoon
* At 800 PM Monday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 

* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Tuesday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 25 feet by Wednesday evening. The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Friday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on May 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
7 follow-up statements
638 
WGUS41 KRNK 130734
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
234 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The National Weather Service Blacksburg Va has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Virginia...

  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and 
  Halifax Counties

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity 
for the following rivers in North Carolina and Virginia...
  
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell and Rockingham Counties...
  City of Danville and Pittsylvania Counties
  
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County
 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County

Moderate rain has been falling across the Roanoke and Dan River Basins
since noon Monday.  Rainfall amounts ranged from one to three inches.  
This will result in moderate flooding along the Dan River with Minor
Flooding at Randolph on the Roanoke River.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

VAC037-083-131933-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0055.181114T0600Z-181116T0900Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181114T0600Z.181115T0000Z.181115T2100Z.NO/
234 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph
* from late tonight until late Thursday night
* At 01AM Today the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood Stage is 24.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 

* Forecast...Rise above flood stage late this evening and 
  continue to rise to near 25.8 feet by Wednesday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  River Road and Black Walnut Road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.4 
  feet on May 20 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-131933-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0052.181113T0712Z-181115T0325Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.181113T0617Z.181113T1800Z.181114T1525Z.UU/
234 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

* Flood Warning continues for 
  the Dan River at Danville
* until Wednesday morning
* At 01AM Today the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising to near 22.3 feet by early this afternoon. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.0 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-131933-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0053.181113T1009Z-181116T0240Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.181113T1009Z.181114T1200Z.181115T1440Z.NO/
234 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

* Flood Warning continues for 
  the Dan River at Paces
* until Thursday evening
* At 01AM Today the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 25.7 feet by Wednesday morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along Routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.7 
  feet on Sep 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-131933-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0054.181113T0712Z-181116T1708Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.181113T0557Z.181115T0000Z.181116T0508Z.NO/
234 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

* Flood Warning continues for 
  the Dan River at South Boston
* until Thursday night
* At 01AM Today the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising to near 27.1 feet by Wednesday evening.
  The river will fall below flood stage late Thursday night.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches Route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on Nov 14 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
237 
WGUS81 KRNK 131048
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
548 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia..
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell and Rockingham Counties...
  the City of Danville and Pittsylvania County 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

 Moderate rain fell across the Roanoke and Dan River Basins Monday afternoon 
 into Monday night.  Rainfall amounts ranged from one to three inches.  
 This will result in moderate flooding along the Dan River with Minor
 Flooding at Randolph on the Roanoke River.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued around noon.

&&

VAC037-083-131847-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0055.181114T0538Z-181116T0000Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181114T0538Z.181114T1800Z.181115T1200Z.NO/
548 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from midnight tonight until Thursday evening
* at 04AM Tuesday the stage was 16.3 feet.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage around midnight tonight and will
  continue to rise to near 25.1 feet by early Wednesday afternoon. The
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  River Road and Black Walnut Road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.3 
  feet on May 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-131847-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-181115T0325Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.181113T0617Z.181113T1800Z.181114T1525Z.UU/
548 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Wednesday evening. 
* at 05AM Tuesday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 22.3 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage late Wednesday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.0 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-131847-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-181116T0240Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.181113T0928Z.181114T1200Z.181115T1440Z.NO/
548 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Thursday evening. 
* at 04AM Tuesday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.7 feet by Wednesday  
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along Routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.7 
  feet on Sep 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-131847-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-181116T1708Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.181113T0557Z.181115T0000Z.181116T0508Z.NO/
548 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Friday afternoon. 
* at 05AM Tuesday the stage was 22.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27.1 feet by Wednesday 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches Route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on Nov 14 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
278 
WGUS81 KRNK 131434
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
934 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 


 Moderate rain fell across the Roanoke and Dan River Basins Monday afternoon 
 into Monday night.  Rainfall amounts ranged from one to three inches.  
 This will result in moderate flooding along the Dan River with Minor
 Flooding at Randolph on the Roanoke River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by late this afternoon.

&&

VAC037-083-132233-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0055.181113T2136Z-181115T0738Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181113T2136Z.181114T0600Z.181114T1938Z.NO/
934 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from late this afternoon until late Wednesday night
* at 08AM Tuesday the stage was 20.6 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 25.3 feet by after midnight tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  river road and black walnut road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.3 
  feet on May 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-132233-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-181114T2256Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.181113T0617Z.181113T1800Z.181114T1056Z.UU/
934 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Wednesday afternoon. 
* at 09AM Tuesday the stage was 20.4 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 21.4 feet by late this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage early Wednesday.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 21.5 
  feet on Dec 25 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-132233-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-181115T2154Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.181113T0928Z.181114T0600Z.181115T0954Z.NO/
934 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Thursday afternoon. 
* at 08AM Tuesday the stage was 21.3 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.7 feet by after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 
  feet on Dec 26 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-132233-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-181117T2315Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.181113T0557Z.181115T0000Z.181117T1115Z.NO/
934 AM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Saturday evening. 
* at 09AM Tuesday the stage was 23.3 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.2 feet by Wednesday
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on May 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
766 
WGUS81 KRNK 131753
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1253 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Virginia..
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 


 Moderate rain fell across the Roanoke and Dan River Basins Monday afternoon 
 into Monday night.  Rainfall amounts ranged from one to three inches.  
 This will result in moderate flooding along the Dan River from Paces to South
 Boston with minor mlooding at Danville, and minor flooding at Randolph on the Roanoke River.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by this evening.

&&

VAC037-083-140152-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0055.181113T2308Z-181115T0810Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181113T2308Z.181114T0600Z.181114T2010Z.NO/
1253 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from this evening until late Wednesday night
* at 11AM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to 
  rise to near 25.2 feet by after midnight tonight. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Water is several feet deep on portions of 
  river road and black walnut road.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.3 
  feet on May 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-140152-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-181115T0012Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.181113T0617Z.181113T1316Z.181114T1212Z.UU/
1253 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Wednesday evening. 
* at 12PM Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet and starting to fall.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Wednesday
  morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 19.7 
  feet on Aug 2 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-140152-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-181116T0224Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.181113T0928Z.181114T1200Z.181115T1424Z.NO/
1253 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Thursday evening. 
* at 11AM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.8 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.7 
  feet on Sep 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-140152-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-181117T2315Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.181113T0557Z.181114T1800Z.181117T1115Z.NO/
1253 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Saturday evening. 
* at 12PM Tuesday the stage was 23.9 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.1 feet by Wednesday
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on May 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
946 
WGUS81 KRNK 140215
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
914 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 


 ...Floodwater continues to move downriver on the Dan. Crest
 has already occurred at Danville, with crests occurring tomorrow
 evening at Paces and South Boston. On the Roanoke, Randolph will
 see river level rise to minor flood category overnight and crest
 Wednesday morning before falling. Nearly all warned points will see
 increased river levels, leading to either rises or a delay in
 falling below flood stage.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued Wednesday morning, or 
sooner if flood categories dictate an earlier issuance.

&&

VAC037-083-141013-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-181115T0148Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181114T0500Z.181114T1200Z.181114T1348Z.NO/
914 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* from after midnight tomorrow until Wednesday evening
* at 08PM Tuesday the stage was 23.7 feet.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 24.3 feet by tomorrow morning. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Widespread lowland flooding in fields on 
  left bank and woods on right bank.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-141012-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-181115T0044Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.181113T0617Z.181113T1316Z.181114T1244Z.UU/
914 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Wednesday evening. 
* at 09PM Tuesday the stage was 20.0 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.3 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 19.7 
  feet on Aug 2 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-141012-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-181117T1952Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.181113T0928Z.181115T0000Z.181117T0752Z.NO/
914 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Saturday afternoon. 
* at 08PM Tuesday the stage was 23.1 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.3 feet by tomorrow 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 
  feet on Dec 26 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-141012-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-181118T1730Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.181113T0557Z.181115T0000Z.181118T0530Z.NO/
914 PM EST Tue Nov 13 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Sunday afternoon. 
* at 08PM Tuesday the stage was 24.7 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.8 feet by tomorrow 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on May 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

Loconto
492 
WGUS81 KRNK 140945
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
445 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and 
  Halifax Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell and Rockingham Counties...
  the City of Danville and Pittsylvania County 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

 Floodwater continues to move downriver on the Dan. Crest
 has already occurred at Danville, with crests occurring this morning 
 at Paces and this evening at South Boston. On the Roanoke, Randolph 
 has crested just below minor flood stage. 
  
 At Danville and Paces, additional rainfall tonight and Thursday will bring 
 the Dan River back above flood stage for Thursday and Thursday night. 
 At South Boston the river will stay in flood dropping later today, then 
 rising Thursday and Thursday night in response the rain, then falling back 
 below flood stage Saturday. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued around noon.

&&

VAC037-083-141015-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-181115T0148Z/
/RNDV2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
445 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until this evening. 
* at 03AM Wednesday the stage was 23.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Widespread lowland flooding in fields on 
  left bank and woods on right bank.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-141744-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-181117T0800Z/
/DVLV2.1.ER.181116T0148Z.000000T0000Z.181116T2000Z.UU/
445 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until this morning 
* at 04AM Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall today then rise again Thursday to near 18.4 feet 
  by early Friday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 18.4 
  feet on Jun 18 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-141744-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-181118T0712Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.181116T0436Z.000000T0000Z.181117T1912Z.NO/
445 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until late tonight
* at 03AM Wednesday the stage was 24.0 feet and was near crest.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late tonight. 
  The river will rise above flood stage again Thursday night.  
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along Routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 
  feet on Dec 26 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-141744-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-181119T0022Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181115T0000Z.181118T1222Z.NO/
445 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Sunday evening. 
* at 04AM Wednesday the stage was 25.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.5 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches Route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on May 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
798 
WGUS81 KRNK 141436
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
936 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in North Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...
 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

  The Dan River at Danville has fallen below flood stage, but moderate
  flooding continues downriver at Paces and South Boston. 
  More rainfall tonight into Thursday will keep those two points above
  flood stage, with possible flooding again at Danville.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued by this evening.

&&

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-141506-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-181117T0800Z/
/DVLV2.U.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.181114T1128Z.UU/
936 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* at 09AM Wednesday the stage was 14.9 feet and falling.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 16.4 
  feet on Jan 24 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-142235-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-181118T0828Z/
/PCEV2.U.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.181117T2028Z.UU/
936 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until late Saturday night. 
* at 08AM Wednesday the stage was 24.4 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.8 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Low spots along routes 658 and 671 begin 
  to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.7 
  feet on Sep 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-142235-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-181119T0056Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.000000T0000Z.181115T1200Z.181118T1256Z.NO/
936 AM EST Wed Nov 14 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Sunday evening. 
* at 09AM Wednesday the stage was 25.4 feet and rising.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 26.4 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on May 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 12, 6:59 PM EST, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 12, 6:59 PM EST, 1 hour 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
659 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure from the Gulf will track over the region tonight,
reaching the New England coast Tuesday. Meanwhile, a cold front
entering the Ohio Valley will move east and stall along the
coast Tuesday night. Low pressure will develop along the front
over the southeast United States Wednesday night and track
through the Mid Atlantic region Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 642 PM EST Monday...Falling into an in-situ wedge, a
shield of steady moderate to at times heavy stratiform rains
continue to advance across the eastern two-thirds of the
forecast area. Other than potentially at Boone where radar may
be underestimating somewhat, hourly rain rates from mesonet and
ASOS sites have been almost half as much as what surrounding
radar accumulations are indicating, a consequence of
overestimation from bright banding. Most of these hourly
accumulations have been to the tune of a quarter to at most a
third of an inch. Look for rains to continue to progress
east/northeast as the evening progresses, with a general
decrease in ongoing rains from west to east through 04z/11 PM.
As reflected in the HRRR and some of the 18z forecast guidance,
next round of steady light to moderate rains should progress
into areas along/east of Highway 29 into the overnight hrs,
while areas further west, from the Blue Ridge westward, should
see more intermittent light rains at worst. These trends already
reflected well in the forecast.

As of this writing, already starting to see a turn made toward
gradual rises along gaged points on the Dan River, but still
well below action stage levels. A continued gradual rise can be
expected on most main stem rivers, though the Dan is at risk of
experiencing the greatest forecast rises. Will continue to
monitor.

Otherwise, have used a blend of most raw 2m temperatures into
the going forecast to essentially show temperatures showing
little up-or-down trend through midnight, before warm advection
induces a slow rise in most locales overnight.

Previous discussion from 232 PM Monday follows...

The wedge of cooler air remains over the area and has
strengthens some due to adiabatic (easterly upslope) and
diabatic (evaporative) cooling processes. Unfortunately,
temperatures will not make it out of the 40s with some mountain
valleys remaining in the 30s.

The big ticket item for today will be how much rain the area
will see into tonight. With warm moisture air advecting over the
wedge, strong isentropic lift and channel vorticity will result
in around an inch of rain along and south of the VA/NC border
this afternoon. Along the highway 460 corridor, a half to three-
quarters /0.50-0.75/ of an inches is expected. A range of a
quarter to a half /0.25-0.50/ of an inch is possible across the
Greenbrier Valley to the Alleghany Highlands.

The wedge may still be in play this evening and will erode once
a surface low develops over the coastal piedmont of North
Carolina and tracks to the Virginia coast overnight. PWATS
increase to 2-3 standard deviations above normal this evening as
the original disturbance brings Gulf moisture, then adds a
strong fetch from the Atlantic. Heavy rain potential remains
over the northwest North Carolina and Southside Virginia this
evening with another inch of rain is possible. Amounts taper
overnight heading west to a half to three-quarters /0.50-0.75/
of an inches towards the Blue Ridge and a quarter to a half
/0.25-0.50/ of an inch across the Bluefield area and
southeastern West Virginia. The moderate to heavy rain will move
east of the area through the early morning hours as the low
quickly races northeast of the area. If 2-3 inches or more of
rain falls over the area, areal flooding of creeks and streams
is possible, river flooding is likely to follow within 12-24
hours along the Dan River, maybe the Roanoke River. Rainfall
rates and amounts will determine if areal flood warnings are
warranted this evening. The main area of concern will be along
the VA-NC border.

The surface low tracks off the Delmarva Coast Tuesday morning.
A weak cold front will then slide across the region, bring
additional light rain showers to the area. Rain will taper off
from west to east in the afternoon as the front moves to the
coast. Overcast skies will likely remain through the day with
high temperatures recovering into the mid to upper 40s across
the mountains and lower 50s east.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 245 PM EST Monday...

Tuesday evening the far southwest portion of the area will be
receiving the tail end of the exiting line of showers associated
with the departing cold front. Western Greenbrier County will
start to experience northwest upslope flow, residual moisture
and falling temperatures to yield some isolated snow showers.
Both regions of light precipitation are expected to end by
midnight.

Dry high pressure will make a brief visit to the area Wednesday
morning. By the afternoon, light precipitation will start to
overspread this high pressure from the south. This
precipitation, in the form of light rain, will primarily only
impact the Northern Mountains of North Carolina through sunset.

Wednesday night into Thursday, precipitation will continue to
overspread the area on the eastern flanks of an area of low
pressure moving eastward through the mid-Mississippi River
Valley. A strong, deep, southeast fetch of moisture off the
Atlantic will develop. This moisture will only help to enhance
the nose of high pressure east of the crest of the Blue Ridge,
helping to keep surface temperatures on the cool to cold side,
all while bringing a nose of warmer air over the region not too
far off the surface. The result will be about an 18 hour period
where a decent portion of the forecast area will be receiving
freezing rain to at least some accretion. Highest amounts are
expected to be along and near the crest of the Blue Ridge thanks
to enhanced precipitation totals here where the effect of a
southeast upslope flow will maximize precipitation totals.

Given how far out in time this event still is, will be using a
fairly conservative 33% ice versus WPC QPF totals. Even doing
this results in some storm total ice amounts at or a little
above the quarter-inch threshold in the aforementioned favored
areas, with at least a few hundredths of an inch for a vast
majority of the forecast area save parts of Southside Virginia
and north central North Carolina, and far southwest Virginia
towards Richlands. This trend upward in ice totals matches well
with the trend offered by WPC as reflected in their most recent
3-day ice accretion totals.

While we are forecasting for the early part of Thursday rain
versus freezing rain, sleet could also be falling over parts of
the area currently forecast for freezing rain. To keep the
forecast simple that far out, we try not to offer more than one
winter weather type at a time in the forecast, but either
freezing or snow. With the warm nose in place, freezing rain,
where warranted, is the better choice of the two. However, as we
get closer to the date in question, and sleet looks more
probable where freezing rain currently is forecast, this
alteration would lower the currently forecast ice accretion
totals. By Thursday afternoon, the entire region looks warm
enough for plain rain, albeit a cold rain.

Thursday night, the parent upper low is expected to be moving
along the Mason Dixon line, bring its associated trough axis and
cold front through our region. This transition will shunt the
warm nose to our east as cold air advection streams into the
area on progressively gusty northwest winds. This will result in
a transition to scattered rain/snow showers across mainly
western sections of the area.

During this portion of the forecast low temperatures will
average around normal. However, high temperatures will be about
10 degrees below normal on Wednesday, and about 15-20 degrees
below normal.

Forecast confidence is moderate on the general transition of
the weather patterns during this portion of the forecast.
However, confidence regarding the specific precipitation types
and amounts Wednesday night into early Thursday are still in
question and likely will flucuation between now and then. What
is of high confidence is some type of wintry mix other than just
rain versus snow is expected during this time period, raising
the flag for the strong potential for a Winter Weather headline
for portions of the area.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 1230 PM EST Monday...

Friday morning an upper low will be making headway eastward
through the Upper Ohio River Valley with its associated trough
axis extending southward into a portion of our forecast area. A
timing challenge within the models exists to pinpoint just where
this axis will be at the start of the day. However, the general
trend of the day will be for any lingering precipitation in the
east from the Thursday/Thursday Night system to be exiting the
region, or to dissipate thanks to increasing northwest,
downsloping, winds across the eastern parts of the area. Across
the west, these same gusty northwest winds will allow for a
period of upslope scattered snow/rain showers across portions of
southeast West Virginia.

Heading into and through the weekend, a general northwest flow
pattern will continue across the area, but but with notably
weaker speeds. Very isolated lingering rain/snow showers will be
possible across parts of southeast West Virginia Friday night
through Sunday.

Sunday night into Monday models vary as to the degree which a
cold front will impact our region. Our latest forecast will
reflect a consensus of the guidance which yields isolated
rain/snow showers from roughly the Blue Ridge and points west
Sunday night and isolated rain showers across the southeastern
sections of the area on Monday.

Temperatures during this portion of the forecast are not
expected to show a lot of variation, although there will be a
slightly trend lower by the second half of the weekend post-cold
front. Readings on average will be just a few degrees below
normal.

Forecast confidence is highest on Friday, at moderate
confidence, and trends downhill heading into Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 659 PM EST Monday...

Aviators can expect poor flight conditions through early Tuesday
morning due to sub-VFR ceilings/visbys, mountain obstruction
and areas of wind shear above wedge inversion around 3000 feet.

Steady, at times heavy rain with mist producing visbys commonly
in the 2-5 SM range will continue to progress across the
eastern two thirds of the airspace. As initial frontal wave low
moves northeast, this rain should begin to decrease in
intensity from west to east through about 04z, though fog/mist
and low ceilings (IFR to LIFR at times) likely to persist until
early Tuesday morning. Winds mainly northeast at 3-8 kts, though
increasing southerly low-level jet and directional shear through
the 925-700 mb level indicates potential for wind shear in the
Piedmont/foothills for late evening and overnight. Already some
instances of light/moderate shear being reported in PIREPs
across the Piedmont of central/southern NC.

Should see MVFR-IFR ceilings continuing into Tuesday morning as
the next weak wave of low pressure brings renewed chances for
MVFR-VFR rains. Looks like areas along/east of the Blue Ridge
stand the greatest potential for rain through mid-afternoon.
While winds likely tend variable for the first part of Tuesday,
as this secondary wave exits, look for a wind shift to
northwest late in the TAF period to around 4-8 kts.

Forecast confidence is high on poor flight conditions and
categories, but is moderate to low on timing category changes.

Extended Discussion...

Look for ceilings to trend VFR from the Blue Ridge eastward
thanks to downsloping winds overnight, but lingering sub-VFR
ceilings along with intermittent upslope snow showers possible
between KBLF-KLWB.

Another area of low pressure develops along the front on
Wednesday and brings deep moisture back into the Mid Atlantic
region later Wednesday into Thursday. Sub-VFR possible in rain
and areas of wintry mix Wednesday night into early Thursday
espcly across the mountains. This storm system is expected to
exit the region by Friday with conditions returning to VFR with
the exception of residual upslope snow showers on the western
slopes of the central Appalachians.

Forecast confidence above average Tuesday and average Wednesday
through Friday.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RCS
NEAR TERM...AL/RCS
SHORT TERM...DS
LONG TERM...DS
AVIATION...AL/RCS
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 12, 3:47 PM EST, 4 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
347 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

NCZ003>006-019-020-VAZ032>035-043>047-058-059-132100-
Surry-Stokes-Rockingham-Caswell-Wilkes-Yadkin-Patrick-Franklin-
Bedford-Amherst-Henry-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-
Halifax-Charlotte-
347 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, central Virginia, south central Virginia,
southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Moderate to heavy rainfall this afternoon and tonight may
lead to flooding of creeks and streams.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Runoff from Monday's rain may lead to elevated creeks and streams.
River flooding in the Roanoke and Dan River basins is possible
Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Another half to one inch of rain is possible Wednesday night into
Thursday, which will bring rises along creeks, streams and rivers.
At this time, confidence is low for renewed or continued flooding.
Also, there is a chance of a winter mix on Wednesday night and
Thursday. Light icing is possible which may impact morning travel.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ007-009>013-018>020-WVZ042>044-507-508-132100-
Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-
Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
347 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

There is a chance of a winter mix on Wednesday night and Thursday.
Light icing is possible which may impact morning travel.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ014>017-022>024-132100-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Roanoke-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-
347 PM EST Mon Nov 12 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina,
southwest Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Periods of moderate to heavy rainfall this afternoon and tonight may
lead to localized flooding of creeks and streams.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Runoff from Monday's rain may lead to elevated creeks, streams and
rivers Tuesday.

There is a chance of a winter mix on Wednesday night and Thursday.
Light icing is possible which may impact morning travel. Rainfall of
half to one inch of rain is also possible Wednesday night into
Thursday, which will bring rises along creeks and streams.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

RCS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 12, 8:25 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKHalifax5 days
Nov 12, 8:25 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKHalifax6 days
Nov 12, 9:17 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKCharlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville6 hr
Nov 13, 2:34 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRNKCharlotte, Halifax3 days
Nov 13, 3:15 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKCharlotte, Halifax, Pittsylvania, City of Danville6 hr
Nov 13, 9:18 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryRNKHalifax117 min
Nov 13, 3:25 PM ESTFlood WatchRNKCarroll, Charlotte, Floyd, Franklin, Grayson, Halifax and 6 more47 hr
Nov 13, 3:35 PM ESTWinter Storm WatchRNKAlleghany, Amherst, Bath, Bedford, Bland, Botetourt and 21 more24 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2018River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.