Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 41, NWS Blacksburg, VA

October 11, 2018Rockingham County, North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this river flood warning at Oct 11, 2018, 11:08 AM EDT for Rockingham County, North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 11, 2018, 5:56 PM EDT. It was in force for 33 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2018, 11:08 AM EDT (15:08 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 11, 2018, 5:56 PM EDT
Expired
Oct 13, 2018, 2:44 AM EDT
In force
33 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Rockingham County, NC

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 77 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Dan River near Wentworth (WENN7).

Action stage
17 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 2071000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

923 
WGUS41 KRNK 111508
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
1108 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The National Weather Service Blacksburg Va has issued
a Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Virginia...

  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County

Rainfall from the remains of Hurricane Michael will bring an 
intense period of heavy rain to much of the Dan River basin today
and early tonight with forecast rains of 2 to 5 inches and
locally higher amounts in about 12 hours. If this rainfall
occurs as forecast expect flooding along the entire
Dan River but the worst will be in the lower reaches of the 
river from Danville downstream to South Boston.

With a forecast still based mostly on forecast versus observed
rainfall it is important not to focus solely on the exact crest
number but to expect variations of possibly 1 to 3 feet from
what is currently forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

NCC157-120308-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0041.181012T1137Z-181013T0053Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.181012T1137Z.181012T1800Z.181012T1853Z.NO/
1108 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River Near Wentworth
* from Friday morning until Friday evening
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 6.9 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 19.4 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon.
* Impact...at 19.5 feet...Dan Valley Road and River Road in Madison 
  are closed by flood waters.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 20.0 
  feet on Dec 25 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-120308-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0042.181012T0505Z-181014T0356Z/
/DVLV2.2.ER.181012T0505Z.181012T1800Z.181013T1556Z.NO/
1108 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River near Danville
* from late tonight until Saturday evening
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage after midnight tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 24.7 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by late Saturday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.3 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-120308-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0043.181012T0644Z-181014T2245Z/
/PCEV2.2.ER.181012T0644Z.181013T0000Z.181014T1045Z.NO/
1108 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River at Paces
* from late tonight until Sunday evening
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 26.7 feet by early Saturday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 25.7 
  feet on Sep 19 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-120308-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FL.W.0044.181012T0106Z-181015T1233Z/
/SBNV2.2.ER.181012T0106Z.181013T0600Z.181015T0033Z.NO/
1108 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Dan River at South Boston
* from this evening until Monday morning
* At 10AM Thursday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Moderate flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise 
  to near 27.9 feet by early Saturday morning.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water approaches route 501.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 27.5 
  feet on Nov 14 2009.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

pc
9 follow-up statements
789 
WGUS41 KRNK 112032
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
432 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018


...Major Flooding now expected for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Virginia...
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County

Rainfall of 3 to 6 inches in just a few hours will cause a drastic
increase in stages and significant flooding along the Dan River 
over the next 24 to 48 hours. Stages on the river are increasing at 
at an extreme rate late this afternoon.

A record flood exceeding the 1996 flood during Hurricane Fran 
is being forecast for the Dan River at Danville although it 
should be noted that the current gauge only dates back to 1996. 
There have been floods in Danville with substantially higher 
discharge than the current forecast including the 1972 flood
in Hurricane Agnes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

NCC157-120833-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.181011T2156Z-181013T1606Z/
/WENN7.3.ER.181011T2156Z.181012T1200Z.181013T1006Z.NO/
432 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Dan River at Wentworth
* until Saturday afternoon
* At 03PM Thursday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Major flooding is forecast. 
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 29.5 feet by tomorrow morning.The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Major flood stage. Water begins to enter 
  residence near the gage house.
* This compares to the record flood of 31.6 feet Jun 22, 1972
  
  
&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-120833-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.181012T0316Z-181014T2013Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181012T0316Z.181013T0000Z.181014T0813Z.NR/
432 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018


The Flood Warning continues for the Dan River at Danville
* until Sunday afternoon
* At 0415 PM Thursday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. 
* Record flooding is forecast with a crest over 29 feet.
* Forecast...Rise to near 29.1 feet by tomorrow evening.
  The river will fall below.
  flood stage by Sunday morning.
* This compares to the record crest at Danville set of 28.7 feet set
Sep 7 1996.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-120833-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.181012T1013Z-181015T1541Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181012T1013Z.181013T1200Z.181015T0341Z.NO/
432 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Dan River at Paces
* until Monday morning
* At 0345 PM Thursday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. 
* Major flooding is forecast
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue 
  to rise to near 29.4 feet by Saturday morning.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday before midnight.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Water reaches the underside of the Route 
  658 bridge over the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-120833-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.181012T0209Z-181016T1002Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181012T0209Z.181014T0000Z.181015T2202Z.NO/
432 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for the Dan River at South Boston
* until Tuesday morning
* At 03PM Thursday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. 
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late tonight and continue 
  to rise to near 29.4 feet by Saturday morning. The river will crest
  at 30 to 31 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58 and numerous businesses flooded.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

pc
022 
WGUS81 KRNK 112339
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
739 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia...
 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

The updated forecast for the Dan River does not show significant
changes from the earlier forecast with crests expected in the 
Major flood category from Danville downstream through South Boston.

The current stage of 28.2 feet at Danville is above Major
flood stage and is already the 2nd highest since the gauge was 
moved to the current location in 1996. The record of 28.65 feet
set during Hurricane Fran in September 1996 is likely to be 
eclipsed although it should be reiterated that there have 
been floods at Danville with substantially higher discharge
than the current forecast including the record June 1972 
flood in Hurricane Agnes.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

  
The next scheduled statement will be issued by tomorrow morning
or sooner if conditions warrant.


&&

NCC157-120740-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181013T1500Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1200Z.181013T0900Z.NO/
739 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 06PM Thursday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.8 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Major flood stage. Water begins to enter 
  residence near the gage house.
* This compares to the record flood of 31.6 feet Jun 22, 1972
  

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-120740-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.181011T2324Z-181014T2012Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181013T0000Z.181014T0812Z.NR/
739 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Sunday afternoon. 
* at 07PM Thursday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.5 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* This compares to the record crest at Danville set of 28.7 feet set
  Sep 7 1996.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-120740-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.181011T2324Z-181015T1500Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T1200Z.181015T0300Z.NO/
739 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday morning. 
* at 06PM Thursday the stage was 22.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.9 feet by Saturday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday before 
  midnight.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-120740-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.181011T2324Z-181016T1002Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181014T0000Z.181015T2202Z.NO/
739 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 07PM Thursday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 31.0 feet by Saturday 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

pc
057 
WGUS41 KRNK 120316
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
1116 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to
Major Severity for the following rivers in North Carolina
and Virginia...
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County
  
Record Severity Flooding Forecast for the following rivers
in North Carolina and Virginia...
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...
  the City of Danville and Pittsylvania County
  
Major Severity Flooding Forecast for the following rivers
in North Carolina and Virginia...
Virginia...
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County
  
Major Severity Flooding Forecast for the following rivers
in North Carolina and Virginia...
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County
  
Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues to cause flooding along the Roanoke, Dan, and 
New River basins. Molderate to Record Severity is forecast along
the lower portion of the Dan River basin. Flooding along the
lower portion of the Dan River will continue into the weekend.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to NOAA weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&

NCC157-121515-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181013T1152Z/
/WENN7.3.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1200Z.181013T0552Z.NO/
1116 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

* for the Dan River at Wentworth NC...
* until Sunday morning.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 21.7 feet...and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25.0 feet. Major
  flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND MAJOR flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising to near 29.4 feet by Friday evening.
  The river is then forecast to fall below flood stage by Sunday
  morning.
* Impact...at 29.0 feet...Major flood stage. Water begins to enter 
  residence near the gage house.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-121515-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181014T1520Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181013T0600Z.181014T0320Z.NR/
1116 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

* for the Dan River at Danville...
* until Monday morning.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 30.0 feet...and rising slowly.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 20.5 feet.
  Major flood stage is 25.5 feet.
* Record flooding is already occurring AND RECORD flooding is forecast
  to continue.
* The river will continue rising to near 31.1 feet by Saturday morning.
  The river is currently expected to fall below flood stage Sunday
  night or Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-121515-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181015T1411Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181014T0000Z.181015T0211Z.NO/
1116 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

* for the Dan River at Paces...
* until Monday morning.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 26.0 feet...and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  Major flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring AND MAJOR flooding is forecast. 
* The river will continue rising to near 31.1 feet by Saturday night.
  The river is forecast to remain above flood through Sunday, but
  drop below Major flood by Sunday evening.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-121515-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T0337Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181014T1200Z.181015T1537Z.NR/
1116 PM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

* for the Dan River at South Boston...
* until Monday evening.
* At 10 PM EDT Thursday the stage was 25.1 feet and rising rapidly.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25.0 feet.
  Major flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring AND MAJOR flooding is forecast.
  The river is forecast to rise above MAJOR flood stage by Friday
  afternoon and remain above MAJOR flood until at least Monday morning.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879                                    

$$

RAB
222 
WGUS81 KRNK 120853
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in North Carolina...
 
  Yadkin River At Elkin affecting Surry and Yadkin Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia..
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski and City of 
  Radford Counties 
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and 
  Summers Counties 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties 
  Pigg River Near Pigg R Nr Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania 
  County 


Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
&&

VAC121-155-750-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-181013T0246Z/
/RDFV2.3.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T0615Z.181012T2046Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* until this evening. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 22.8 feet.

* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river has crested and will now steadily fall throughout the day. 
  It is expected to fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Dedman Center at Radford University 
  affected.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181013T1538Z/
/GLLV2.3.ER.181012T0606Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0338Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 16.6 feet.

* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 19 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...Significant flooding of some trailer 
  campgrounds along the river.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 18.1 
  feet on Feb 1 2013.

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC161-770-775-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0645Z/
/RONV2.2.ER.181011T1805Z.181012T0456Z.181012T1845Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* until late tonight. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 14.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* The river will remain between 14 and 15 feet this morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage this afternoon.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 14.6 
  feet on Sep 30 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC143-121652-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-181013T1218Z/
/SANV2.2.ER.181012T0755Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0618Z.UU/
953 AM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Pigg River Near Pigg R Nr Sandy Level.
* until Saturday afternoon. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 15.1 feet.

* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 23.3 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...at 24.0 feet...Water begins to overtop Toshes Road bridge
  (Route 605).

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0049.181012T0820Z-181014T1900Z/
/BROV2.2.ER.181012T0534Z.181012T1800Z.181014T0700Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until Sunday afternoon. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 24.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 27 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...at 28.0 feet...Brookneal Fish Hatchery pond furthest 
  downstream begins to flood.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 28.2 
  feet on Jan 26 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-181017T0200Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T1800Z.181016T1400Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until Tuesday evening. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 26.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Tuesday 
  morning.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 26.9 
  feet on Jan 27 2010.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181013T1306Z/
/WENN7.2.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0706Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 23.2 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 25.4 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday.
* Impact...at 27.0 feet...Water reaches top of the outside staff 
  gage on USGS well house.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.9 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181014T1521Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T0321Z.NR/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Sunday morning. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 28.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will remain between 28 and 30 feet today, then begin falling
  tonight and Saturday, falling below flood stage early Sunday morning.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181015T1426Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T0000Z.181015T0226Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday morning. 
* at 03AM Friday the stage was 27.8 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 30 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday before midnight.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.1 
  feet on Apr 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-121652-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T0842Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T0600Z.181015T2042Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until late Monday night. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 28.9 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 32 feet late tonight. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

NCC171-197-120923-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-181012T1805Z/
/ELKN7.2.ER.181011T1809Z.181011T2200Z.181012T0740Z.NO/
453 AM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Yadkin River At Elkin.
* until this afternoon. 
* at 04AM Friday the stage was 17.4 feet.

* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Impact...at 18.5 feet...Rockford Road near Rockford floods.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 8099 3624 8105 3632 8075 3631 8045
          3622 8045 3622 8073         

$$
586 
WGUS81 KRNK 121615
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in Virginia...
 
  Roanoke River At Roanoke affecting Roanoke...City of Roanoke and 
  City of Salem Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski Counties and 
  the City of Radford   
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and Summers 
  Counties 
  Pigg River Near Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania County 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...Pittsylvania 
  Counties and the City of Danville 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues.
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.
 
The next scheduled statement will be issued late this evening.

&&

VAC121-155-750-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-181013T0057Z/
/RDFV2.3.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T0615Z.181012T1857Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* until this evening. 
* at 10AM Friday the stage was 17.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...at 17.0 feet...All of Dedman Center lower parking lots 
  are flooded.
* Flood history...The river crested at 23.8 feet at 230AM Friday, 
  October 12. This was the seventh highest crest on record and this 
  crest compares to a previous crest of 24.0 feet feet on Jan 15 1995. 
  More recently, the river crested at 21.1 feet on Jan 31 2013. 

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181013T1149Z/
/GLLV2.3.ER.181012T0606Z.181012T1315Z.181012T2349Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 19.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...There is significant flooding of some trailer 
  campgrounds along the river.
* Flood history...The river crested at 19.5 feet around 9AM. This was the
  fifth highest crest on record and compares to a previous crest of 
  19.0 feet on Oct 26 1918. More recently, the river crested at 18.1 feet
  on Feb 01 2013. 

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC161-770-775-121645-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0047.000000T0000Z-181013T0645Z/
/RONV2.2.ER.181011T1805Z.181012T0456Z.181012T1131Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Roanoke River At Roanoke.
* at 10AM Friday the stage was 7.8 feet and falling. 
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...at 8.0 feet...Wiley Drive low water bridge is flooded.
* Flood History...The river crested at 16.4 feet around 510PM, 
  Thursday, Oct 11. This was the eighth highest crest on record and 
  compares to a previous crest of 15.6 feet on Feb 23 2003. 

&&

LAT...LON 3720 8012 3729 8016 3732 8006 3731 7988
          3722 7988                   

$$

VAC143-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-181013T0853Z/
/SANV2.1.ER.181012T0755Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0253Z.UU/
515 PM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pigg River Near Sandy Level.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 18.3 feet and had just crested.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage early Saturday.
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Water reaches Graves Bridge Rd. 
  (Route 990) downstream from gage.
* Flood history...The crest of 19.2 feet compares to a previous 
  crest of 19.5 feet Nov 4 1985. 

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-181013T1703Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.181012T0534Z.181012T1800Z.181013T0503Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until Saturday afternoon. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 25.3 feet and had just crested.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage after midnight tonight.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...water floods low-lying fields and woods. 
* Flood history...The crest at 25.5 feet around 10AM compares to a 
  previous crest of 25.4 feet on Mar 28 1993. More recently the river 
  crested at 24.5 feet on May 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-181015T0800Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T0600Z.181014T2000Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until late Sunday night. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 27.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.0 feet by this evening.  
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...at 25 feet...water is several feet deep on parts of
  River Road and Black Walnut Road. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 28.1 feet
  on Oct 24 1991. More recently, the river crested at 27.2 feet on 
  Feb 24 2003.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181014T0307Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1800Z.181013T2107Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until Saturday evening. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 24.2 feet and was slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.4 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water reaches base 
  of deck at a nearby home. Dan Valley Road and Water Street in Mayodan
  and Dan Valley Road and River Road in Madison are flooded. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.4 feet 
  on Sept 29 2004 when the remnants of Hurricane Jeanne crossed the area. 
  More recently, on Sep 18 2018, the river crested at 24.9 feet.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181015T0245Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T1445Z.NR/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until Sunday evening. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 27.8 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late Sunday
  morning.
*Impact...at 25.5 feet...Major Flood Stage...several riverside industries
  close and numerous residences in the City of Danville are flooded. 
*Flood History...The crest of 30.0 feet around 10PM, Oct 11, was the highest 
  crest on record. The previous record was 28.6 feet on Sep 7 1996 caused 
  by the remnants of Hurricane Fran. More recently, the river crested at 
  25.3 feet on April 25 2017. 

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181015T2149Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T0000Z.181015T0949Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday afternoon. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 29.2 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 29.6 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.3 feet
  on Sep 24 1979. More recently, the river crested at 29.1 feet on 
  April 26 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-130015-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T1152Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T1200Z.181015T2352Z.NO/
1215 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 29.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 30.6 feet by Saturday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact...at 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.6 feet
  on Sep 24 1979. More recently, the river crested at 30.2 feet on 
  Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
002 
WGUS81 KRNK 121723
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina...
 
  Pigg River Near Sandy Level affecting Pittsylvania County 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal affecting Campbell...Charlotte
  and Halifax Counties 
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and Halifax
  Counties 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...
  and Pittsylvania Counties and the City of Danville
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...West Virginia..
  New River At Radford affecting Montgomery...Pulaski Counties and City of 
  Radford  
  New River At Glen Lyn affecting Giles...Mercer...Monroe and 
  Summers Counties 

 Runoff from the very heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane 
Michael continues. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

The next scheduled statement will be issued late this evening.

&&

VAC121-155-750-130057-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-181013T0057Z/
/RDFV2.3.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T0615Z.181012T1857Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Radford.
* until this evening. 
* at noon Friday the stage was 14.9 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...at 14.0 feet...Riverside parking lots are affected
* Flood history...The river crested at 23.8 feet at 230AM Friday, 
  October 12. This was the seventh highest crest on record and this 
  crest compares to a previous crest of 24.0 feet feet on Jan 15 1995. 
  More recently, the river crested at 21.1 feet on Jan 31 2013. 

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8062 3723 8065 3727 8053 3722 8049
          3710 8050                   

$$

VAC071-WVC055-063-089-130122-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-181013T1149Z/
/GLLV2.3.ER.181012T0606Z.181012T1315Z.181012T2349Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the New River At Glen Lyn.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at noon Friday the stage was 18.5 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* Impact...at 18.0 feet...Significant flooding of some trailer 
  campgrounds along the river.
* Flood history...The river crested at 19.5 feet around 9AM, Oct 12. This was the
  fifth highest crest on record and compares to a previous crest of 
  19.0 feet on Oct 26 1918. More recently, the river crested at 18.1 feet
  on Feb 01 2013.  

&&

LAT...LON 3723 8065 3733 8082 3746 8097 3754 8078
          3742 8072 3727 8053         

$$

VAC143-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-181013T0642Z/
/SANV2.1.ER.181012T0755Z.181012T1415Z.181013T0042Z.UU/
623 PM GMT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pigg River Near Sandy Level.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at noon Friday the stage was 18.1 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river will fall below flood stage late this evening.
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Water reaches Graves Bridge Rd. 
  (Route 990) downstream from gage.
* Flood history...The crest of 18.3 feet compares to a previous 
  crest of  18.5 feet on Jan 28 1998. More recently, the river 
  crested at 17.2 feet on Nov 10 2015.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 7976 3699 7976 3700 7963 3703 7952
          3698 7943 3687 7951         

$$

VAC031-037-083-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-181013T1545Z/
/BROV2.1.ER.181012T0534Z.181012T1245Z.181013T0345Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River At Brookneal.
* until Saturday morning. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 25.0 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this evening.
* Flood history...The crest at 25.5 feet around 10AM, Oct 12 compares to a 
  previous crest of 25.4 feet on Mar 28 1993. More recently the river 
  crested at 24.5 feet on May 25 2017. 

&&

LAT...LON 3700 7911 3711 7908 3703 7882 3695 7885
                                      

$$

VAC037-083-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-181015T0700Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T0000Z.181014T1900Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until late Sunday night. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 27.7 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 28.1 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water starts to reach base of Randolph 
  Post Office. At 25 feet...water is several feet deep on parts of
  River Road and Black Walnut Road. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 28.1 feet
  on Oct 24 1991. More recently, the river crested at 27.2 feet on 
  Feb 24 2003. 

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181014T0540Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1800Z.181013T2340Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until late Saturday night. 
* at noon Friday the stage was 24.2 feet and was near crest.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 24.4 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water reaches the base 
  of deck at a nearby home. Dan Valley Road and Water Street in Mayodan
  and Dan Valley Road and River Road in Madison are flooded. 
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.4 feet 
  on Sept 29 2004 when the remnants of Hurricane Jeanne crossed the area. 
  More recently, on Sep 18 2018, the river crested at 24.9 feet. 

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181015T0600Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T1800Z.NR/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until late Sunday night. 
* at noon Friday the stage was 27.6 feet and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Sunday 
  early afternoon.
*Impact...at 25.5 feet...Major Flood Stage...several riverside industries
  close and numerous residences in the City of Danville are flooded. 
*Flood History...The crest of 30.0 feet around 10PM, Oct 11, was the highest 
  crest on record. The previous record was 28.6 feet on Sep 7 1996 caused 
  by the remnants of Hurricane Fran. More recently, the river crested at 
  25.3 feet on April 25 2017. 

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181016T0035Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T0000Z.181015T1235Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday evening. 
* at 11AM Friday the stage was 29.4 feet and slowly rising.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 30.1 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 29.3 feet
  on Sep 24 1979. More recently, the river crested at 29.1 feet on 
  April 26 2017. 

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-130122-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T1528Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T1200Z.181016T0328Z.NO/
123 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 12PM Friday the stage was 29.6 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 31.1 feet by Saturday  
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday evening. 
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58. At 29.5 feet...Route 501 begins to flood and number of 
  businesses in the Riverdale area are affected.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.6 feet
  on Sep 24 1979. More recently, the river crested at 30.2 feet on 
  Apr 27 2017. 
&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$
277 
WGUS81 KRNK 122156
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
556 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...Virginia..

  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...the
  City of Danville...and Pittsylvania Counties
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 

Heavy rainfall fell across the area Wednesday and Thursday as a result of Hurricane Michael. River levels are beginning to fall, but flooding will
continue along the lower end of the New River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

&&

NCC157-130556-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181014T0540Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1700Z.181013T2340Z.NO/
556 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* until late Saturday night. 
* at 5 PM EDT Friday the stage was 23.9 feet...and falling slowly.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* The river is currently near crest and has begun to fall slowly.
  The river is forecast to fall below flood stage by late
  Saturday evening.
* Impact...at 25.0 feet...Moderate flood stage. Water reaches base 
  of deck at nearby home.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 24.9 
  feet on Sep 18 2018.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-130556-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181015T0600Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T1800Z.NR/
556 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until early Monday morning.
* at 5 PM EDT Friday the stage was 27.1 feet. and falling.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 20.5 feet.
  Major flood stage is 25.5 feet.
* The river crested at a record stage of 30.01 feet around 10
  PM EDT Thursday evening, then began to fall slowly early
  this morning.
* The river will continue to fall...and is expected to fall below
  flood stage late Sunday night or early Monday morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-130556-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181016T0035Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181012T2045Z.181015T1235Z.NO/
556 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday evening. 
* at 5 PM EDT Friday the stage was 30.4 feet...Major Flood...
  and still rising slowly.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  Major flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* The river is expected to crest this evening between 30.0 and
  31.0 feet...then begin to fall slowly overnight.  It is
  expected to drop back to Moderate Flood Stage Saturday morning...
  then to below flood stage during the day Monday.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-130556-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T1528Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T1200Z.181016T0328Z.NO/
556 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 5 PM EDT Friday the stage was 29.9 feet...Major Flood...
  and still rising slowly.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25.0 feet.
  Major flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to crest later this evening or tonight
  around 31.1 feet. The river is then forecast to fall below
  Major Flood level Saturday evening...then to below Moderate
  Flood level Sunday evening.  The river is expected to remain
  above flood stage for at least the next five days.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 30.2 
  feet on Apr 27 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879                                      

$$

RAB
844 
WGUS41 KRNK 130114
FLWRNK
 
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA  
914 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

Major to Record Severity for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Virginia...Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County

Major to Record Severity for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Virginia...Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County

Moderate Severity for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Virginia...Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...
City of Danville and Pittsylvania Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

Listen to noaa weather radio or your favorite media outlet for later 
statements or warnings.

&&                                   

NCC157-131314-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181013T2336Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1700Z.181013T1736Z.NO/
914 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

* for the Dan River at Wentworth...
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9 PM EDT...Friday the stage was 22.6 feet...and falling.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring AND Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...at 23.0 feet...Significant flooding throughout Dan River 
  valley.
* Flood history...this crest compares to a previous crest of 23.1 
  feet on Apr 25 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-131314-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181015T0503Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T1703Z.NR/
914 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

* for the Dan River at Danville...
* until late Sunday night.
* At 9 PM EDT Friday the stage was 26.7 feet...and falling slowly.
* Flood Stage is 17.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 20.5 feet. Major
  Flood Stage is 25.5 feet.
* The river crested at Danville at 30.01 feet last night around 10 PM EDT.
  The river has been falling slowly, but remains in Major Flood stage
  at this time.
* Major flooding is occurring. Moderate flooding is forecast later
  tonight.
* The river is expected to remain above flood until Monday.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-131314-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181016T0008Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T0600Z.181015T1208Z.NR/
914 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

* for the Dan River at Paces...
* until Monday evening
* At 9 PM EDT Friday the stage was 30.9 feet...and slowly rising.
* Flood Stage is 20.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  Major flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Major to record flooding is occurring AND Major flooding is forecast
  to continue. 
* The river will continue rising to near 31.2 feet...near the current
  record of 33.5 feet.
* The river is forecast to remain in flood through Monday.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-131314-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T1431Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T1800Z.181016T0231Z.NR/
914 PM EDT Fri Oct 12 2018

* for the Dan River at South Boston...
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 9 PM EDT Friday the stage was 30.2 feet...and rising slowly.
* Flood Stage is 19.0 feet. Moderate flood stage is 25.0 feet.
  Major flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Major to record flooding is occurring AND Major flooding is
  forecast to continue.
* The river will continue rising to near 32.1 feet...near the
  current record of 33.37 feet.
* The river is expected to remain in flood through Tuesday.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879                                

$$

RAB
702 
WGUS81 KRNK 130644
FLSRNK
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
244 AM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in North Carolina...
 
  Dan River Near Wentworth affecting Rockingham County
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Virginia...North Carolina..
  Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph affecting Charlotte and 
  Halifax Counties 
  Dan River near Danville affecting Caswell...Rockingham...City of 
  Danville and Pittsylvania Counties 
  Dan River at Paces affecting Halifax County 
  Dan River at South Boston affecting Halifax County 


Flooding continues due to runoff from Hurricane Michael.  

The lower Roanoke is still experiencing some minor flooding,
otherwise levels upstream of Brookneal are on their way down. 

The Dan River is falling at Danville and points upstream, but 
continues to rise downstream at Paces and South Boston where a 
crest will occur during the day Saturday. There are numerous
road closures across Halifax County. As of 11PM Friday, county
officials reported that around 58 roads/highways remained
flooded and closed due to high water. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded areas...the water may be much deeper 
than you think.

 Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
http://www.weather.gov/rnk (lower case). Click on 'rivers & lakes'.

 
 
&&

VAC037-083-131443-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-181015T0500Z/
/RNDV2.1.ER.181012T0025Z.181013T0545Z.181014T1700Z.NO/
244 AM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Roanoke (Staunton) River at Randolph.
* until Sunday afternoon. 
* at 01AM Saturday the stage was 28.7 feet.

* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* The river will crest at around 29 feet early this morning, then fall 
  throughout the afternoon, dipping back below flood stage Sunday.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water starts to reach base of Randolph 
  Post Office.

&&

LAT...LON 3695 7885 3703 7882 3702 7872 3690 7866
          3680 7863 3680 7870        

$$

NCC157-130714-
/O.CAN.KRNK.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-181013T2336Z/
/WENN7.1.ER.181011T2157Z.181012T1700Z.181013T0527Z.NO/
244 AM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

the Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Dan River Near Wentworth.
* at 01AM Saturday the stage was 18.6 feet...and falling.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Impact...at 19.0 feet...Minor flood stage. Flooding of lowlands 
  and one or two roads. 

&&

LAT...LON 3637 7995 3641 7995 3650 7976 3646 7974
          3641 7978 3637 7987         

$$

NCC033-157-VAC143-590-131443-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-181015T0503Z/
/DVLV2.3.ER.181011T2006Z.181012T0246Z.181014T1703Z.NR/
244 AM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River near Danville.
* until late Sunday night. 
* at 02AM Saturday the stage was 25.7 feet...and falling.

* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall, receding to below flood stage
  by Sunday afternoon.

&&

LAT...LON 3646 7974 3650 7976 3664 7941 3663 7920
          3648 7923 3650 7949         

$$

VAC083-131443-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-181016T0008Z/
/PCEV2.3.ER.181011T2154Z.181013T0545Z.181015T1208Z.NR/
244 AM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at Paces.
* until Monday evening. 
* at 01AM Saturday the stage was 31.3 feet.

* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river will crest early this morning at near 31.5 feet, then
  begin receding this afternoon...returning to below flood stage
  by Monday morning.
* Impact...at 30.0 feet...Water begins to overtop the Highway 658 
  bridge across the Dan River.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 7923 3663 7920 3672 7902 3660 7898
          3656 7911                   

$$

VAC083-131443-
/O.CON.KRNK.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-181016T1431Z/
/SBNV2.3.ER.181011T2133Z.181013T1800Z.181016T0231Z.NR/
244 AM EDT Sat Oct 13 2018

the Flood Warning continues for
  the Dan River at South Boston.
* until Tuesday morning. 
* at 02AM Saturday the stage was 30.6 feet.

* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 32 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage Monday before midnight.
* Impact...at 32.0 feet...Flooding closes intersection of Routes 501
  and 58.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 7898 3672 7902 3675 7884 3668 7879
                                      

$$

11

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 11, 10:49 AM EDT, 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 10:49 AM EDT, 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1049 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Tropical Storm Michael will move across the central Carolinas
today then off the Virginia coast tonight. Cooler high pressure
builds in to start the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1045 AM EDT Thursday...

Based on reports of trees already being toppled due to the
onset of winds across the ridges will go ahead and start the
wind headline products now. This also includes an upgrade to a
high wind warning across a few southwest counties with an
advisory over the remainder of the region into early Friday.
Some short term models really ramp up the winds on back of
Michael this afternoon as the front interacts so expecting a
jump in speeds soon. No other changes for now.

Previous update as of 1000 AM EDT Thursday...

Heaviest rainfall continues across the western sections associated
with banding to the north of Michael and within convergence
into the surface cold front now along the Appalachians. Latest
short term models gradually shift bands east as the front to the
west also starts to undercut via winds becoming more north to
northwest from west to east this afternoon. This should act to
decrease rainfall rates over the mountains early this afternoon
while heavier rain heads into the piedmont sections before
exiting by sunset. However given efficiency of the tropical
rainfall, bumped up QPF amounts over the west to start and a bit
over the southeast where guidance shows a period of stronger
lift before deeper moisture exits. Other concern could be with
isolated spinup tors far southeast pending the degree of any
heating and given appearance of lightning in spots added more
thunder mention southeast. Otherwise winds remain elevated and
given that are not seeing much mix down will keep the wind
advisory timing going for this afternoon with adjustments likely
needed later to cover the post Michael gustiness. Left temps
close to previous with only a slow rise into the 70s expected.

Also tornado watch 409 until 9 pm just issued for a few eastern
counties.

Previous discussion as of 300 AM EDT Thursday..

High confidence forecast for flooding and wind threat.

Looking at another busy day as TS Michael tracks from eastern GA to
central NC by mid afternoon, then off the VA Tidewater by midnight.

We currently are in a holding pattern in terms of moderate to heavy
rainfall, although scattered showers are still moving from south to
north across the forecast area, especially over the
mountains/adjacent foothills.

Regional radar showing northern edge of rain band with Michael
pushing into Southwest NC. There is also a ribbon of rainfall from
eastern Ohio south into the Smokies associated with a front.

Higher-resolution models showing the moderate to heavier bands from
Michael reaching our NC mountains by 6am, then progressing northeast
into southern VA by mid morning, while frontal forcing moves a band
of showers into the WV mountains by mid-late morning as well.
Tropical moisture/higher PWATs stay along/east of the Blue Ridge,
and per coordination with WPC will see higher rainfall set up
along/east of the Blue Ridge with another 2 to 5+ inches expected
today into this evening, with the higher amounts in southside VA
into the NC piedmont. West of the Blue Ridge amounts will stay
mostly under 2 inches. Given where it rained hardest yesterday with
flooding, will keep the flash flood watches in the mountains to
account for the fact that not much rain will likely lead to more
flooding.

We will see the rain shield exit the mountains by mid-late afternoon
and the piedmont this evening.

Winds though sub-tropical storm force will gust as high as 40
mph at times today across the southern half of the CWA. With wet
ground it will not take as much wind to down trees, and thus
possibly create issues with power outages. Therefore, wind
advisories have been posted for the southern half of the CWA for
this afternoon into Friday morning. Post storm gradient and
pressure rises will keep winds gusty into Friday morning along
the Blue Ridge.

Another issue to watch later this morning into the afternoon will be
for isolated spin-up  tornadoes. SPC has a marginal risk in the
piedmont but confidence is low, per lack of decent banding features
so far. However, not out of the question to see some, as models
depict 200-300 SRH in the 0-2km layer pushing across the NC piedmont
into southside VA by 18z, then weakening after 21z. Will highlight
this in the HWO.

As we head through the night tonight, dewpoints will drop off into
the 40s. You will definitely notice a change when you head out the
door Friday morning.

As for temps did not go too warm today given clouds and rain, so
basically tacked on 5-8 degrees to lows this morning with highs
ranging from the mid 60s to around 70 in the west, to mid to upper
70s.

Expect cooler lows tonight, with 40s in the mountain to 50s east.
Wet ground and mixing may keep temps from falling as far as they
could.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...

Remnants of Hurricane Michael will be tracking off the northeast
coast while high pressure covers the forecast area. Cooler drier air
will grace the area as Friday's highs will range from the upper 50s
to lower 60s across the mountains to the upper 60s to lower 70s east
of the Blue Ridge.

A northern stream disturbance will track across the Ohio Valley
Friday night into Saturday morning. This system will bring a chance
for showers, mainly across southeastern West Virginia. A cold front
will follow this disturbance keeping temperatures cool with
Saturday's highs in the 50s across the mountains to 60s east. High
pressure will bring a re-enforcing shot of cooler air Saturday night
with a few mountain locations dropping into the 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday...

October finally feels like, October.

A large scale upper trough is forecast to reside over the
eastern 2/3rds of the country the entire week, amplifying by
mid-week as series of short waves digging south from Canada
resulting in a fairly extensive cold intrusion to much of the
central and eastern CONUS. Model consensus is for some
unseasonably cold air (yep summer to winter) to overtake areas
which were basking in unseasonable warmth, and in some cases
extreme enough to permit the frozen form of precipitation across
the upper Mid-West and Great Lakes into parts of New England
where 850 mb temps plunge low enough to support snow.

For the central Mid-Atlantic it will certainly feel like
October, if not favor some November sort of temperatures which
would be permissible for frost formation for parts of the
forecast area...especially the mountain valleys. Precipitation
chances appear somewhat limited, but there will be opportunities
for showers associated with each passing shortwave trough,
Monday favoring a day for showers, and then again toward mid
week. Monday might actually turn out to be a little wetter than
forecast, models trending toward some over-running associated
with a frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 130 AM EDT Thursday...

Looking at poor flying conditions through at least late
afternoonuntil TS Michael and attendant front move across.

Heavier rain bands moving up from NC into southwest VA will
overspread much of the region through the morning.

Winds will pick up from the east to northeast, then shift to the
northwest this afternoon. Some gusts 30 to 35 kts possible near
DAN this afternoon.

As we head toward 00z, will start to see drying out from the
southwest to northeast and expect all taf sites to improve to
VFR.

Confidence is above average for sub-VFR most of the period, but
lower how strong winds are and clearing to VFR.

Extended Discussion...

Strong northwest winds will be common Friday morning in the
mountains in the wake of Michael along with areas of mountain
turbulence.

VFR on Friday along with diminishing winds Friday night.
Generally VFR anticipated over the weekend. Another front
arrives Monday with possible sub-VFR cigs/vsbys with showers.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 450 AM Thursday...

3 to 7 inches of rain fell across upper portions of the New
River basin Wednesday afternoon/evening. As Michael moves in
with another 1 to 3 inches of rain in this basin, plus 2 to 6
inches across the Dan River, some river flooding is possible.

In the near term, convective elements with tropical moisture
with PWATS at records highs (as 06z sounding showing 1.88" at
RNK and normally we should be at 0.69" for October 11th), will
lead to flash flooding threat over the southern half of the
forecast area.

As we work into the afternoon and after the rain ends, main stem
rivers will already be responding. Some minor flooding, possibly
moderate flooding along the New River and Dan River is likely.

As for other rivers, such as the Yadkin and Roanoke, will see
how much occurs in the headwaters and downstream and gage that
later this morning for flood potential.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for VAZ007-009>014-
     017>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059.
     Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for VAZ009-012-
     015.
     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for VAZ013-014-016-017-
     022-032-033-043-044-058.
     High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT Friday for VAZ015-016.
     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for VAZ023-024-034-035-
     045>047-059.
NC...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ003>006-019-020.
     Flash Flood Watch until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ001-002-
     018-019.
     Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for NCZ003>006-020.
     High Wind Warning until 11 AM EDT Friday for NCZ001-002-018.
WV...Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT Friday for WVZ042>044-507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AL/WP
NEAR TERM...JH/WP
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...PM
AVIATION...PM/WP
HYDROLOGY...PM/WP
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 10:53 AM EDT, 15 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

NCZ019-VAZ012-121500-
Wilkes-Wythe-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ015-121500-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Grayson-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ016-121500-
Carroll-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ003-020-VAZ013-014-017-022-032-033-043-121500-
Surry-Yadkin-Pulaski-Montgomery-Floyd-Roanoke-Patrick-Franklin-Henry-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina, south central Virginia, southwest
Virginia and west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ034-035-045>047-121500-
Bedford-Amherst-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Virginia and south
central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ023-024-121500-
Botetourt-Rockbridge-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ010-011-018-121500-
Bland-Giles-Craig-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ009-121500-
Smyth-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ005-006-VAZ044-058-121500-
Rockingham-Caswell-Pittsylvania-Halifax-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina
and south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NCZ004-121500-
Stokes-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

VAZ007-019-020-WVZ042>044-507-508-121500-
Tazewell-Alleghany VA-Bath-Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-
Western Greenbrier-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

In addition, periods of moderate to heavy rain can be expected as
Michael moves by this afternoon. Localized flooding is possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ059-121500-
Charlotte-
1053 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...TORNADO WATCH 409 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 11, 8:44 AM EDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
844 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BOONE                   36.21N 81.67W
10/11/2018                   WATAUGA            NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES AND EXTENSIVE FLOODING REPORTED IN
            THE TOWN OF BOONE.

&&

PCORRIGA
Local storm report, Oct 11, 8:45 AM EDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
845 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 SE WHITE GATE         37.19N 80.83W
10/11/2018  M5.75 INCH       GILES              VA   PUBLIC

0843 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE BLACKSBURG         37.25N 80.39W
10/11/2018  M1.87 INCH       MONTGOMERY         VA   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

MBS
Local storm report, Oct 11, 10:19 AM EDT, 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1019 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0843 AM     HEAVY RAIN       6 SE PEARISBURG         37.26N 80.67W
10/11/2018  M2.25 INCH       GILES              VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL THROUGH 10AM

&&

MBS
Local storm report, Oct 11, 10:46 AM EDT, 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1046 AM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1044 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 ENE SPARTA            36.51N 81.12W
10/11/2018                   ALLEGHANY          NC   PUBLIC

            WATER ACROSS CHERRY STREET IN SPARTA.

&&

BMG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 10, 11:05 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Surry, Wilkes6 hr
Oct 11, 4:43 AM EDTWind AdvisoryRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Caswell, Rockingham, Stokes, Surry and 3 more30 hr
Oct 11, 4:52 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKWatauga6 hr
Oct 11, 7:05 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Wilkes6 hr
Oct 11, 8:15 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKSurry, Yadkin6 hr
Oct 11, 10:01 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKStokes6 hr
Oct 11, 10:38 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKWatauga5 hr
Oct 11, 10:50 AM EDTHigh Wind WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Watauga13 hr
Oct 11, 10:59 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKRockingham10 hr
Oct 11, 11:08 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham61 hr
Oct 11, 12:54 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKAlleghany, Ashe, Wilkes6 hr
Oct 11, 1:36 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKWilkes15 hr
Oct 11, 1:37 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningRNKSurry, Yadkin25 hr
Oct 11, 1:38 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKCaswell12 hr
Oct 11, 2:14 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKSurry, Yadkin3 hr
Oct 11, 3:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham65 min
Oct 11, 3:42 PM EDTTornado WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham48 min
Oct 11, 3:57 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRNKStokes3 hr
Oct 11, 4:02 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKWatauga6 hr
Oct 11, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRNKCaswell, Rockingham64 min
Oct 11, 5:09 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKSurry, Yadkin6 hr
Oct 11, 6:52 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRNKStokes6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.