Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Charleston, WV

331 
WWUS51 KRLX 061900
SVSRLX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
300 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2018

WVC043-061909-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-180706T1915Z/
Lincoln WV-
300 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3775 8233 3776 8231 3776 8233 3795 8221
      3794 8205 3793 8194 3770 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 006DEG 17KT 3789 8208 

$$

WVC045-059-061915-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-180706T1915Z/
Mingo WV-Logan WV-
300 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MINGO AND WESTERN LOGAN COUNTIES...

At 259 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Mount
Gay-Shamrock, or near Logan, moving south at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Logan, Chief Logan State, Holden, Mount Gay-Shamrock, West Logan,
Mitchell Heights, Mount Gay, Verdunville, Chauncey, Myrtle, Switzer,
Dingess, Lenore and Sarah Ann.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3775 8233 3776 8231 3776 8233 3795 8221
      3794 8205 3793 8194 3770 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 006DEG 17KT 3789 8208 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KISTNER

733 
WWUS51 KRLX 061913
SVSRLX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
313 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2018

WVC045-059-061923-
/O.EXP.KRLX.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-180706T1915Z/
Mingo WV-Logan WV-
313 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MINGO AND WESTERN
LOGAN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 315 PM EDT...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3775 8233 3776 8231 3776 8233 3795 8221
      3794 8205 3793 8194 3770 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 006DEG 17KT 3783 8209 

$$

KISTNER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
234 PM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front pushes showers and storms south through early this
evening. High pressure builds back in for the weekend and early
next week. Another cold front by mid week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 230 PM Friday...

Cold front will exit south pushing showers and storms out of the
area early this evening. Radar imagery show strong thunderstorms
around the Tri state area nearby HTS. Localize minor water
issues with strong gusty winds can be anticipated with this
convection.

Models suggest that a high pressure will build behind the front
to bring drier and cooler conditions. However, abundant low
level moisture, combined with the possibility of clearing
overnight and calm flow in the boundary layer could produce low
stratus right behind the front before clearing late overnight.
In addition, after skies clear out, fog development is likely
mainly along river valleys and over areas that receive afternoon
rainfall.

Used model blend for temperatures. Max temps will be down about
10 degrees leading to the start of a pleasant weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 245 AM Friday...

On the whole the upper ridging dominating the bulk of the CONUS
remains in tact, with the center of high pressure aloft over the
Midwest. So while the trend for the temperatures will be back
upwards after the front has cleared the region, not expecting
the same heat and humidity from the past few days in our area.
Rain chances are low overall. Some weak upper level pulses
could spark some weak convection over the far western zones
Monday/Monday night, but in the short term, most locations will
be dry.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 245 AM Friday...

The long term brings surface pressure drops in the form of a
possible inverted trough, coupled with a trough loft dropping
into the northeastern CONUS. The result will be a return to
chance POPs/convection, primarily over the higher elevations to
the east during the long term. May get a slight drop in the
temperatures overall with these features, but long term number
suggest upper 80s lowlands. Will have to see if these are
underdone given the drying that has the potential to occur
during the short and long term periods which could allow for aa
push above the numbers.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 145 PM Friday...

Cold front continues to move southeast across the area through
early this evening. IFR ceilings behind the front are expected
at HTS, CRW and CKB. Brief periods of LIFR/IFR visibilities
will occur along convection across portions of southeast OH and
Tri state WV where storms can produce very heavy downpours at
HTS around 18-19Z.

Behind the front, drier and relatively cooler air will gradually
move over the area early tonight. There will be low stratus
possible behind the front, but clearing could occur overnight.

If skies clear out tonight, chances for dense fog can be
expected over areas that receive rainfall. However, models show
light boundary layer winds through at least 09Z, then increasing
to 15-20 knots 09-12Z. These winds could suppress any fog
development after that time, and help to dissipate any ongoing
fog before 12Z, with the exception of protected river valleys
like EKN.

Wind flow tonight will be weak from north to northeast through
09Z, increasing but turning more northeast to east. These winds
used to bring MVFR/IFR ceilings at BKW. Coded ceilings for BKW
accordingly.

Conditions improve to VFR from west to east Saturday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Convective activity will warrant possible
amendments. FG on Saturday morning may be more widespread across
southern coal fields.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    L    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 18Z SATURDAY...
Widespread IFR not expected at this time.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ARJ/MPK
NEAR TERM...ARJ
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...26
AVIATION...ARJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
407 AM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>034-039-040-515>526-070815-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-
Jackson OH-Vinton-Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wayne-
Cabell-Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-
Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Mingo-Logan-Boone-Clay-Braxton-
Gilmer-Lewis-Harrison-Taylor-McDowell-Wyoming-Upshur-Barbour-
Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-
Southeast Fayette-Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-
Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-
Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
407 AM EDT Fri Jul 6 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, southeast
Ohio, southwest Virginia and much of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
128 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2018

OHZ087-WVZ005-006-013-014-061800-
Lawrence-Lincoln-Wayne-Cabell-Putnam-
128 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE...
CABELL...SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM...NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN AND NORTHEASTERN
WAYNE COUNTIES...

At 127 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Ona, or 9 miles
east of Proctorville, moving south at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Huntington, Hamlin, Barboursville, Milton, Ona, Culloden, West
Hamlin, Athalia, Salt Rock, Pea Ridge and Sweetland.

This includes Interstate 64 in West Virginia between mile markers 13
and 31.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause elevated levels on
small creeks and streams, and ponding of water in urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses, as well as other poor drainage
areas and low lying spots.

LAT...LON 3854 8235 3854 8215 3850 8208 3826 8199
      3826 8240
TIME...MOT...LOC 1727Z 359DEG 14KT 3848 8220

KISTNER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
214 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2018

WVZ005-013-025-061845-
Lincoln-Logan-Wayne-
214 PM EDT FRI JUL 6 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN LINCOLN AND
SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

At 214 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Kiahsville, or
8 miles southeast of Wayne, moving south at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph are possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Kiahsville, Ranger, Dunlow, Gill, Harts and Branchland.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 3822 8234 3822 8212 3795 8211 3796 8219
      3798 8219 3796 8224 3798 8246
TIME...MOT...LOC 1814Z 007DEG 25KT 3815 8230

KISTNER