Alert archive / West Virginia / Flood Watches in 2018

Flood Watch 2, NWS Charleston, WV

February 6, 201827 counties in West Virginia; Gallia County, Lawrence County, Ohio; 4 counties in Kentucky

NWS Charleston, WV issued this flood watch at Feb 6, 2018, 10:36 AM EST for 27 counties in West Virginia; Gallia County, Lawrence County, Ohio; 4 counties in Kentucky. It took effect at Feb 7, 2018, 12:00 AM EST. It was in force for 13 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 6, 2018, 10:36 AM EST (15:36 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 7, 2018, 12:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 7, 2018, 12:48 PM EST
In force
13 hr
Issued by
NWS Charleston, WV
Flood severity
None
All 33 counties

Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Gallia County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Barbour County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Mason County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Pocahontas County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Webster County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV

The radar

The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 3.6 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2018-02-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2018-02-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
672 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
77 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
313 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

050 
WGUS61 KRLX 061536
FFARLX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1036 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO MIDDAY WENDESDAY...


KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>011-013>020-027>032-039-040-
519>526-062345-
/O.NEW.KRLX.FA.A.0002.180207T0500Z-180207T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Wayne-Cabell-
Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-
Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-
Harrison-Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-Northwest Nicholas-
Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-
Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-
Southeast Randolph-
Including the cities of Flatwoods, Greenup, Grayson, Olive Hill, 
Ashland, Louisa, Gallipolis, Ironton, South Point, Kenova, 
Ceredo, Wayne, Huntington, Point Pleasant, New Haven, Ravenswood,
Ripley, Parkersburg, Vienna, St. Marys, Belmont, Paden City, 
Sistersville, Middlebourne, Harts, Alum Creek, Hamlin, 
Teays Valley, Hurricane, Charleston, South Charleston, 
Saint Albans, Spencer, Elizabeth, Grantsville, Harrisville, 
Pennsboro, West Union, Clay, Sutton, Gassaway, Burnsville, 
Glenville, Weston, Clarksburg, Bridgeport, Grafton, Buckhannon, 
Philippi, Belington, Summersville, Craigsville, Birch River, 
Richwood, Holly River State, Webster Springs, Cowen, Snowshoe, 
Marlinton, Elkins, and Harman
1036 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Charleston has issued a

* Flood Watch for portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast 
  Ohio, and West Virginia, including the following areas, in 
  northeast Kentucky, Boyd, Carter, Greenup, and Lawrence KY. In 
  southeast Ohio, Gallia and Lawrence OH. In West Virginia, 
  Barbour, Braxton, Cabell, Calhoun, Clay, Doddridge, Gilmer, 
  Harrison, Jackson WV, Kanawha, Lewis, Lincoln, Mason, 
  Northwest Nicholas, Northwest Pocahontas, Northwest Randolph, 
  Northwest Webster, Pleasants, Putnam, Ritchie, Roane, 
  Southeast Nicholas, Southeast Pocahontas, Southeast Randolph, 
  Southeast Webster, Taylor, Tyler, Upshur, Wayne, Wirt, and 
  Wood. 

* From late tonight through Wednesday afternoon.

* A large weather system is expected to move through the region
  tonight and exit late Wednesday afternoon and evening. This
  system has the potential to produce up to 2 inches of rain over
  the watch area. With the ground begin wet over the lowlands and
  snow in the Northern mountains, and temperatures rising into the
  40s, runoff and snowmelt will be efficient flowing into the 
  streams and rivers. 

* Flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas and roads along
  streams, creeks and rivers are possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
4 follow-up statements
568 
WGUS61 KRLX 062357
FFARLX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Charleston WV
657 PM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO MIDDAY
WENDESDAY...

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>011-013>020-027>032-039-040-
519>526-070800-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.180207T0500Z-180207T1800Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Wayne-Cabell-
Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-
Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-
Harrison-Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-Northwest Nicholas-
Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-
Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-
Southeast Randolph-
Including the cities of Flatwoods, Greenup, Grayson, Olive Hill, 
Ashland, Louisa, Gallipolis, Ironton, South Point, Kenova, 
Ceredo, Wayne, Huntington, Point Pleasant, New Haven, Ravenswood,
Ripley, Parkersburg, Vienna, St. Marys, Belmont, Paden City, 
Sistersville, Middlebourne, Harts, Alum Creek, Hamlin, 
Teays Valley, Hurricane, Charleston, South Charleston, 
Saint Albans, Spencer, Elizabeth, Grantsville, Harrisville, 
Pennsboro, West Union, Clay, Sutton, Gassaway, Burnsville, 
Glenville, Weston, Clarksburg, Bridgeport, Grafton, Buckhannon, 
Philippi, Belington, Summersville, Craigsville, Birch River, 
Richwood, Holly River State, Webster Springs, Cowen, Snowshoe, 
Marlinton, Elkins, and Harman
657 PM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, and West 
  Virginia, including the following areas, in northeast 
  Kentucky, Boyd, Carter, Greenup, and Lawrence KY. In southeast 
  Ohio, Gallia and Lawrence OH. In West Virginia, Barbour, 
  Braxton, Cabell, Calhoun, Clay, Doddridge, Gilmer, Harrison, 
  Jackson WV, Kanawha, Lewis, Lincoln, Mason, Northwest 
  Nicholas, Northwest Pocahontas, Northwest Randolph, Northwest 
  Webster, Pleasants, Putnam, Ritchie, Roane, Southeast 
  Nicholas, Southeast Pocahontas, Southeast Randolph, Southeast 
  Webster, Taylor, Tyler, Upshur, Wayne, Wirt, and Wood. 

* From midnight EST tonight through Wednesday afternoon

* A large weather system is expected to move through the region
  overnight tonight, and then exit late Wednesday afternoon and
  evening. This system has the potential to produce up to 2 inches
  of rain over the watch area. With the ground already wet over
  the lowlands, snow in the northern mountains with temperatures
  rising into the 40s, runoff and snowmelt will be efficient
  flowing into the streams and rivers, causing quick rises.

* Flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas, and roads along
  streams, creeks and rivers, is possible.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

TRM
217 
WGUS61 KRLX 070550
FFARLX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1250 AM EST Wed Feb 7 2018

...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO MIDDAY
WENDESDAY...

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>011-013>020-027>032-039-040-
519>526-071400-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180207T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Wayne-Cabell-
Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-
Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-
Harrison-Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-Northwest Nicholas-
Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-
Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-
Southeast Randolph-
Including the cities of Flatwoods, Greenup, Grayson, Olive Hill, 
Ashland, Louisa, Gallipolis, Ironton, South Point, Kenova, 
Ceredo, Wayne, Huntington, Point Pleasant, New Haven, Ravenswood,
Ripley, Parkersburg, Vienna, St. Marys, Belmont, Paden City, 
Sistersville, Middlebourne, Harts, Alum Creek, Hamlin, 
Teays Valley, Hurricane, Charleston, South Charleston, 
Saint Albans, Spencer, Elizabeth, Grantsville, Harrisville, 
Pennsboro, West Union, Clay, Sutton, Gassaway, Burnsville, 
Glenville, Weston, Clarksburg, Bridgeport, Grafton, Buckhannon, 
Philippi, Belington, Summersville, Craigsville, Birch River, 
Richwood, Holly River State, Webster Springs, Cowen, Snowshoe, 
Marlinton, Elkins, and Harman
1250 AM EST Wed Feb 7 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, and West 
  Virginia, including the following areas, in northeast 
  Kentucky, Boyd, Carter, Greenup, and Lawrence KY. In southeast 
  Ohio, Gallia and Lawrence OH. In West Virginia, Barbour, 
  Braxton, Cabell, Calhoun, Clay, Doddridge, Gilmer, Harrison, 
  Jackson WV, Kanawha, Lewis, Lincoln, Mason, Northwest 
  Nicholas, Northwest Pocahontas, Northwest Randolph, Northwest 
  Webster, Pleasants, Putnam, Ritchie, Roane, Southeast 
  Nicholas, Southeast Pocahontas, Southeast Randolph, Southeast 
  Webster, Taylor, Tyler, Upshur, Wayne, Wirt, and Wood. 

* Through this afternoon

* A large weather system will move through the region overnight,
  and then exit late Wednesday afternoon and evening. This system
  has the potential to produce up to 2 inches of rain over the
  watch area. The ground is already saturated over the lowlands,
  and with snow in the northern mountains and temperatures rising
  into the 40s, rainfall and snowmelt runoff will cause quick rises
  in streams and rivers.. 

* Flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas, and roads along 
  streams, creeks and rivers, is possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

Kistner
476 
WGUS61 KRLX 071301
FFARLX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Charleston WV
801 AM EST Wed Feb 7 2018

...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO MIDDAY
WENDESDAY...

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>011-013>020-027>032-039-040-
519>526-071800-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180207T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Wayne-Cabell-
Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-
Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-
Harrison-Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-Northwest Nicholas-
Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-
Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-
Southeast Randolph-
Including the cities of Flatwoods, Greenup, Grayson, Olive Hill, 
Ashland, Louisa, Gallipolis, Ironton, South Point, Kenova, 
Ceredo, Wayne, Huntington, Point Pleasant, New Haven, Ravenswood,
Ripley, Parkersburg, Vienna, St. Marys, Belmont, Paden City, 
Sistersville, Middlebourne, Harts, Alum Creek, Hamlin, 
Teays Valley, Hurricane, Charleston, South Charleston, 
Saint Albans, Spencer, Elizabeth, Grantsville, Harrisville, 
Pennsboro, West Union, Clay, Sutton, Gassaway, Burnsville, 
Glenville, Weston, Clarksburg, Bridgeport, Grafton, Buckhannon, 
Philippi, Belington, Summersville, Craigsville, Birch River, 
Richwood, Holly River State, Webster Springs, Cowen, Snowshoe, 
Marlinton, Elkins, and Harman
801 AM EST Wed Feb 7 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast Ohio, and West 
  Virginia, including the following areas, in northeast 
  Kentucky, Boyd, Carter, Greenup, and Lawrence KY. In southeast 
  Ohio, Gallia and Lawrence OH. In West Virginia, Barbour, 
  Braxton, Cabell, Calhoun, Clay, Doddridge, Gilmer, Harrison, 
  Jackson WV, Kanawha, Lewis, Lincoln, Mason, Northwest 
  Nicholas, Northwest Pocahontas, Northwest Randolph, Northwest 
  Webster, Pleasants, Putnam, Ritchie, Roane, Southeast 
  Nicholas, Southeast Pocahontas, Southeast Randolph, Southeast 
  Webster, Taylor, Tyler, Upshur, Wayne, Wirt, and Wood. 

* Until 1 PM EST this afternoon

* A large weather system will move through the region this
  morning, and then exit late this afternoon and evening. This 
  system has the potential to produce up to 2 inches of rain over 
  the watch area. The ground is already saturated over the 
  lowlands, and with snow in the northern mountains and 
  temperatures rising into the 40s, rainfall and snowmelt runoff 
  will cause quick rises in streams and rivers.. 

* Flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas, and roads along 
  streams, creeks and rivers, is possible. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
177 
WGUS61 KRLX 071748
FFARLX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1248 PM EST Wed Feb 7 2018

...HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA...


KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-WVZ005>011-013>020-027>032-039-040-
519>526-071900-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180207T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Wayne-Cabell-
Mason-Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-
Roane-Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-Lewis-
Harrison-Taylor-Upshur-Barbour-Northwest Nicholas-
Southeast Nicholas-Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-
Northwest Pocahontas-Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-
Southeast Randolph-
Including the cities of Flatwoods, Greenup, Grayson, Olive Hill, 
Ashland, Louisa, Gallipolis, Ironton, South Point, Kenova, 
Ceredo, Wayne, Huntington, Point Pleasant, New Haven, Ravenswood,
Ripley, Parkersburg, Vienna, St. Marys, Belmont, Paden City, 
Sistersville, Middlebourne, Harts, Alum Creek, Hamlin, 
Teays Valley, Hurricane, Charleston, South Charleston, 
Saint Albans, Spencer, Elizabeth, Grantsville, Harrisville, 
Pennsboro, West Union, Clay, Sutton, Gassaway, Burnsville, 
Glenville, Weston, Clarksburg, Bridgeport, Grafton, Buckhannon, 
Philippi, Belington, Summersville, Craigsville, Birch River, 
Richwood, Holly River State, Webster Springs, Cowen, Snowshoe, 
Marlinton, Elkins, and Harman
1248 PM EST Wed Feb 7 2018

...FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE...

The Flood Watch for portions of northeast Kentucky, southeast
Ohio, and West Virginia has been allowed to expire. 

The Heavy rain has moved out of the area. Please heed to any 
flood warnings, statements or road signs.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Feb 6, 10:07 AM EST, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 6, 10:07 AM EST, 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1007 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
System brings light freezing rain and drizzle this morning. A
southern stream system with a mixed wintry precipitation and
rain Wednesday. A similar system will cross during the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 955 AM Tuesday...

Areas of freezing drizzle continue across the central and
northern Lowlands, along with the high mountain ridges.
Snowflakes are more the rule across the far northern counties
where saturation/lift make it into the -6 to -7C range. I have
cancelled the advisory for this morning across the southwest
Virginia and the Coal Fields of West Virginia where dewpoint
depressions are running 5 to 8 degrees and where there is a
void of echoes/reports.

Concerning the next event...models are pretty well clustered on
how the event unfolds, essentially a classic warm wedge system
with a potpourri of impacts. There is an increasing flooding
concern late tonight and tomorrow morning across ne Kentucky and
the western/northern West Virginia Lowlands. Good agreement
exists on a qpf axis of 1.5 to 1.75 inches of rain. We will be
assessing the need for a flood watch over the next hour or two.
On the winter side of this system, there is concern on enough
ice for upgrades to warnings across portions of southeast Ohio.
We will be assessing the need for upgrades as the 12Z model runs
arrive.

As of 455 AM Tuesday...

Temperature profiles continue to suggest that there will likely
be some patchy freezing drizzle this morning combined with maybe
some flurries as well, with temps aloft on the fence to where
we would see ice crystal growth or support super cooled water
droplets. Winter weather advisories are out to cover the
possibility of a light glaze icing and expire later this morning
and this afternoon as surface temperatures climb above freezing.

We will have a brief period of quiet weather this afternoon and
evening before precip moves into the region again tonight.
Models are still not where we would like to see them when it
comes to agreement on surface temps and warm layer pushing in
aloft. This is mostly due to the fact that there are still some
issues on the track of the surface low up the front. For now,
other than where we will likely warm wedge across Southern and
Central West Virginia, a bulk of the area looks to see at least
some form of winter precipitation.

The main concern is going to be across SE Ohio, where models
are in closest agreement with temperatures. A multiple hazard
event of several inches of snow and maybe as much a 2 tenths of
an inch of icing will be possible. Was contemplating issuing a
winter storm watch in this area, but overall consensus with
coordination between surrounding offices resulted in an
advisory. However, will have to continue to monitor and an
upgrade to a warning will be possible. Elsewhere we will see a
heavy rainfall across the Lowlands of West Virginia, but north
of Kanawha County will have the threat for a glaze of icing or
more, so more winter weather advisories were issued generally
north and east of I64 in West Virginia. Warmer air should
overcome the cold air quicker though in these areas, so the
advisory here is only out through Wednesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 430 AM Tuesday...

Agreement exists among GFS/NAM/ECMWF/SREF on the track of a
disorganized sfc low pressure system developing across TN and KY
with an inverted trough extending northeast into our area along
the OH River by 12Z Wednesday. Models show that the inverted
trough will cross the area during the day Wednesday. A strong
south to southwest low level jet about 40 knots will develop as
the low passes, bringing warm temperatures for pcpn be all
liquid across the southern portions of WV, advancing north,
along the eastern mountains transitioning pcpn across the
northern WV and southeast OH into rain during the day Wednesday.

The pcpn transition line to all rain will lift north reaching
portions of southeast OH and WV where sfc temperatures are
expected to remain at or below freezing posing the threat of
freezing rain. Although expect brief periods of -FZRA across
WV, higher ice accumulations area expected across portions of
southeast OH. The combination of precip types will likely keep
any one from hitting warning criteria. Therefore, there is
another Winter Weather Advisory for southeast OH and portions of
northern WV and northeast mountains late tonight into early
Thursday morning.

Models indicate QPF values will range from half an inch
southeast OH, to 1 inch over the northeast mountains. This
could cause some minor/nuisance flooding and rises on the rivers
and have begun highlighting that potential in the appropriate
products/services.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 230 PM Monday...

A high pressure quickly crosses the area to bring drier weather
conditions. As the high pressure approaches, winds will turn
more from the north to bring cold temperatures from the north.

A frontal boundary approaches from the north Friday. Sounding
temperatures seems to be warm enough aloft and marginal freezing
at the sfc. These conditions will likely produce mixed
precipitation and freezing rain for extreme northern WV and
portions of southeast OH.

The frontal boundary stalls overhead and then a weak low
pressure system develops along it, nearby northern WV, bringing
a cold front along the OH River by 12Z Sunday. Bufkit soundings
show temperatures will be warm enough to keep all pcpn as liquid
during the day Saturday, transitioning to all snow across
extreme northwest and northeast mountains by 12Z Sunday.
PCPN will decrease behind the front as a broad high pressure
builds in across the OH Valley and WV by 12Z Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 630 AM Tuesday...

Freezing rain or drizzle will be possible through the morning
hours with MVFR conditions. Ceilings will lift later today, but
another stronger system moves in tonight. Expecting IFR
conditions to develop in heavy precipitation. Some sites will
see will see freezing rain and sleet before changing over to
rain later tomorrow.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of freezing precipitation tonight
may vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02
EST 1HRLY       10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L    H    H    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    M    H    H    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M    M
EKN CONSISTENCY  L    M    M    M    H    H    M    M    H    H    H    M
PKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    M    M    M    M
CKB CONSISTENCY  M    H    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    L    H    M

AFTER 12Z WEDNESDAY...
IFR possible in rain and snow Wednesday into Thursday, and again
late Saturday.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Winter Weather Advisory until noon EST today for WVZ008-
     013>016-018-026>030-039-040-517-519-521-524-525.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 9 AM EST
     Wednesday for WVZ008>011-016>020-029>032-039-040-520-
     522>526.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST
     Wednesday for WVZ007.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for
     WVZ518-520-522-523-526.
OH...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST
     Wednesday for OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087.
KY...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM EST
     Wednesday for KYZ101-102.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ARJ/MPK
NEAR TERM...MPK/30
SHORT TERM...ARJ
LONG TERM...ARJ
AVIATION...MPK
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 6, 9:55 AM EST, 41 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
955 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

WVZ008-016-018-029-030-039-040-524-525-071500-
Jackson WV-Roane-Calhoun-Gilmer-Lewis-Upshur-Barbour-
Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-
955 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central West
Virginia, northeast West Virginia and northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

KYZ101-102-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ007-071500-
Greenup-Carter-Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-Jackson OH-Vinton-
Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Mason-
955 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Kentucky, southeast Ohio and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

KYZ103-105-VAZ003-004-WVZ005-006-024-025-033-034-515-516-071500-
Boyd-Lawrence KY-Dickenson-Buchanan-Wayne-Cabell-Mingo-Logan-
McDowell-Wyoming-Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-
955 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast
Kentucky, southwest Virginia, and portions of southeast West
Virginia, southern West Virginia and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

WVZ009>011-017-019-020-031-032-071500-
Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Wirt-Ritchie-Doddridge-Harrison-Taylor-
955 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central West
Virginia and northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

WVZ520-522-523-526-071500-
Southeast Nicholas-Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-
Southeast Randolph-
955 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northeast West
Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

WVZ013>015-026>028-517-519-521-071500-
Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-Boone-Clay-Braxton-Northwest Fayette-
Northwest Nicholas-Northwest Webster-
955 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central West
Virginia, northeast West Virginia, southeast West Virginia and
southern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

WVZ518-071500-
Southeast Fayette-
955 AM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 6, 9:14 AM EST, 1 hour 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
914 AM EST TUE FEB 06 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     FREEZING RAIN    WALTON                  38.64N  81.40W
02/06/2018  U0.00 INCH       ROANE              WV   SOCIAL MEDIA

            VIA TWITTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800696

MEC
Local storm report, Feb 6, 9:15 AM EST, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
915 AM EST TUE FEB 06 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FREEZING RAIN    BIG CHIMNEY             38.41N  81.54W
02/06/2018  U0.00 INCH       KANAWHA            WV   SOCIAL MEDIA

            VIA FACEBOOK

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800697

MEC
Local storm report, Feb 6, 9:17 AM EST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
917 AM EST TUE FEB 06 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FREEZING RAIN    SHINNSTON               39.39N  80.30W
02/06/2018  U0.00 INCH       HARRISON           WV   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LIGHT GLAZE AT LINCOLN MIDDLE - ALSO SOME SLEET MIXED
            IN. VIA TWITTER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800698

MEC
Local storm report, Feb 6, 9:30 AM EST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
930 AM EST TUE FEB 06 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     FREEZING RAIN    GRANTSVILLE             38.92N  81.09W
02/06/2018  U0.00 INCH       CALHOUN            WV   SOCIAL MEDIA

            VIA FACEBOOK

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800699

MEC
Local storm report, Feb 6, 9:31 AM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
931 AM EST TUE FEB 06 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     FREEZING RAIN    ROSEMONT                39.27N  80.16W
02/06/2018  U0.00 INCH       TAYLOR             WV   SOCIAL MEDIA

            VIA FACEBOOK

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800700

MEC
Local storm report, Feb 6, 10:11 AM EST, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1011 AM EST TUE FEB 06 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     FREEZING RAIN    CAMDEN                  39.05N  80.57W
02/06/2018  U0.00 INCH       LEWIS              WV   SOCIAL MEDIA

            VIA FACEBOOK

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1800701

MEC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 5, 8:16 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryRLXBarbour, Boone, Braxton, Cabell, Calhoun, Clay and 20 more18 hr
Feb 6, 4:23 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryRLXBarbour, Calhoun, Doddridge, Gilmer, Harrison, Jackson and 14 more33 hr
Feb 6, 2:49 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningRLXAthens, Jackson, Morgan, Perry, Vinton, Washington23 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in West Virginia, 2018Flood Watches in Kentucky, 2018Flood Watches in Ohio, 2018Every flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.