Flash Flood Warning 70, NWS Charleston, WV

850 
WGUS71 KRLX 052210
FFSRLX

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
Issued by National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
610 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2018

WVC043-045-099-052219-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FF.W.0070.000000T0000Z-180905T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lincoln WV-Wayne WV-Logan WV-
610 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LINCOLN...EAST CENTRAL
WAYNE AND NORTHWESTERN LOGAN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a
threat. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3811 8218 3794 8206 3790 8215 3791 8216
      3792 8216 3794 8219 3795 8218 3796 8220
      3797 8219 3796 8223 3805 8232

$$

ROCHE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
Issued by National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
338 PM EDT Wed Sep 5 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure remains in control through tonight, with warm and
humid conditions. Cold front approaches from the northwest
Thursday bringing unsettled weather which lasts into next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 230 PM Wednesday...

A high pressure system, centered just south of the area will
provide dry conditions tonight. Upper level clouds, sheared from
the remnants of Gordon, will spread across our CWA through
Thursday. Cloudiness will gradually increase Thursday,
especially Thursday afternoon, along with scattered showers and
thunderstorms aided by afternoon heating, as a cold front
approaches from the northwest. Coded likely PoPs mainly along
southeast OH, as models suggest a series of vorticity maxes
moving north, over ample theta-e ridge at H850 Thursday
afternoon and evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 338 PM Wednesday...

The upper level pattern slowly transitions to a moist southwest
flow regime over the weekend as what has been a dominant upper
ridge gets pushed southward into the Carolinas and Deep South.
At the surface, a front will slowly sag southward into our
region bringing increasing chances for showers/storms. Will
paint highest PoPs, in the likely range, across our northern
counties on Friday and then sag them into the heart of our
forecast area on Saturday as the front slowly settles south.
The increased clouds and lowering heights aloft will help bring
down high temps into the 70s and lower 80s for most locations
by Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 338 PM Wednesday...

Moist southwest flow continues aloft into early next week as
the remains of Gordon get absorbed into shortwave energy over
the Plains forming a weakly closed low near Chicago. In response
to the upper level feature, a wave of low pressure forms on the
surface front draped across the Ohio Valley and rides
northeastward. This forces the front stalled over our area to
lift northward Sunday into Monday. Longer range models then
bring the front back into the area and stall it out towards the
end of the period as the upper ridge over the western Atlantic
builds westward and Hurricane Florence approaches the East
Coast.

All of this points to a continuation of unsettled weather
through the bulk of the long term period. Accumulated model QPF
is quite high as you get into early next week, especially over
southeast Ohio and northern West Virginia. We are in better
shape to handle a good bit of rain hydrologically thanks to some
drier weather lately. However, we will need to watch future
model runs closely as the interaction of tropical systems with
slow moving frontal boundaries can produce copious amounts of
rain.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 140 PM Wednesday...

High pressure centered just south of our CWA will provide
widespread VFR conditions under mostly clear skies except for
gradually increasing clouds at the upper level. Afternoon
heating will allow for some low level cu formation. Perhaps, a
storm or two could develop either side of the OH River, and
along the eastern mountains. Confidence runs low of these storms
to affect directly an airport site. Therefore, were not
included in TAFs. Any convection or diurnal cu will dissipate by
sunset.

Otherwise, isolated and brief periods of MVFR/IFR conditions
will be possible along the heavier showers/storms this afternoon
and evening.

With weak BL flow, and very high level clouds could promote
IFR/LIFR dense fog formation during the predawn hours along the
Tygart River Valley including EKN Thursday. Any fog will quickly
dissipate by 12Z.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY...

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: None.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High

AFTER 18Z THURSDAY...
IFR possible in showers and storms later in the week.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ABE/ARJ
NEAR TERM...ARJ/30
SHORT TERM...ABE
LONG TERM...ABE
AVIATION...ARJ

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
Issued by National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
311 AM EDT Wed Sep 5 2018

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-013>020-024>031-
060715-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Perry-Morgan-Athens-Washington-
Jackson OH-Vinton-Meigs-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Wayne-Cabell-Mason-
Jackson WV-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-Roane-Wirt-
Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Mingo-Logan-Boone-Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-
Lewis-Harrison-
311 AM EDT Wed Sep 5 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, southeast
Ohio, and portions of central West Virginia, northern West
Virginia, southern West Virginia and western West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Heat indices in the mid to upper 90s are expected this afternoon for
portions of southeast Ohio, northeast Kentucky, and the lowlands of
West Virginia.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

VAZ003-004-WVZ032>034-039-040-515>526-060715-
Dickenson-Buchanan-Taylor-McDowell-Wyoming-Upshur-Barbour-
Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-
Southeast Fayette-Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-
Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-
Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
311 AM EDT Wed Sep 5 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Virginia, and
portions of central West Virginia, northeast West Virginia,
northern West Virginia, southeast West Virginia and southern West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
Issued by National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
502 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2018

WVZ005-013-024>026-052145-
Boone-Lincoln-Logan-Wayne-Mingo-
502 PM EDT WED SEP 5 2018

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN MINGO...SOUTHERN
LINCOLN...SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE...NORTHWESTERN LOGAN AND NORTHWESTERN
BOONE COUNTIES...

At 500 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were located 7 miles north of
Chattaroy, or 9 miles north of Williamson, moving north at 15 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Chapmanville, Chief Logan State, Ranger, Holden, Gill, East Lynn
Lake, Mount Gay-Shamrock, Spurlockville, Kiahsville, Harts, Julian,
Mitchell Heights, Verdunville, Myrtle, Woodville, Palermo, Naugatuck,
Dingess, Wilsondale and Alkol.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

LAT...LON 3820 8232 3820 8183 3818 8181 3818 8180
      3820 8181 3820 8176 3775 8210 3771 8231
      3774 8233 3776 8231 3776 8233 3778 8232
      3777 8233 3779 8235 3813 8243
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 167DEG 12KT 3781 8224

ROCHE