Alert archive / Nevada / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 4, NWS Reno, NV

April 4, 2018Storey County, Washoe County, Nevada

NWS Reno, NV issued this river flood warning at Apr 4, 2018, 3:32 PM PDT for Storey County, Washoe County, Nevada. It took effect at Apr 7, 2018, 7:00 AM PDT. It was in force for 22 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 4, 2018, 3:32 PM PDT (22:32 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 7, 2018, 7:00 AM PDT
Expired
Apr 8, 2018, 5:00 AM PDT
In force
22 hr
Issued by
NWS Reno, NV
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Storey County, NV, Washoe County, NV

The radar

The Reno radar (KRGX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Truckee River at Vista (VISN2). The gauge peaked at 13.85 ft at Apr 7, 2018, 6:00 PM PDT.

actionminormoderate101504/0404/0504/0604/0704/0804/09
Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
17 ft
Moderate stage
18.5 ft
Major stage
21 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 10350000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

339 
WGUS45 KREV 042232
FLWREV


Flood Warning
National Weather Service Reno NV
332 PM PDT Wed Apr 4 2018

...The National Weather Service in Reno has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Nevada... 

  Truckee River At Reno affecting Washoe County
  Truckee River At Vista affecting Storey and Washoe Counties

For the Truckee River...Minor flooding is forecast for Reno and
Minor to moderate flooding is forecast for Vista.

A strong atmospheric river will impact the Truckee River Basin Friday
evening and Saturday...with heavy rain in the eastern Sierra and
western Nevada. Snow levels are expected to rise to over 10,000 feet
during the period of heaviest precipitation.

These river forecasts are based on forecast rainfall and temperature 
conditions at time of issuance. If actual conditions vary from these
forecasts...river conditions will vary accordingly. River forecasts
include current and planned reservoir releases.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive rainfall may also generate rock and mud slides in steep
terrain. Persons living near rivers, creeks, and streams in far
western Nevada should monitor the latest weather information at
weather.gov/reno and be prepared to take action. PREPARE NOW by
clearing drainages and ditches of debris and move items near the
river to higher ground. 

The next forecast update for this location will be issued Thursday.

&&

NVC031-060432-
/O.NEW.KREV.FL.W.0003.180407T1600Z-180407T2300Z/
/TRRN2.1.ER.180407T1900Z.180407T2100Z.180407T2130Z.NO/
332 PM PDT Wed Apr 4 2018

The National Weather Service in Reno has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Truckee River At Reno.
* from Saturday morning to Saturday afternoon...Or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At  2:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage to near 11.1 feet by early
  Saturday afternoon. The river will then fall back below flood stage
  Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flood Stage...The river will be running
  near bankfull with minor impacts to parks, trails and low lying
  areas along the river from Mogul to Highway 395. Flows are expected
  to crest Saturday afternoon at levels similar to February 10,
  2017 and significantly below January 9, 2017.  

&&

LAT...LON 3954 11996 3956 11977 3945 11976 3946 11983 3950 11996


$$

NVC029-031-060432-
/O.NEW.KREV.FL.W.0004.180407T1400Z-180408T1200Z/
/VISN2.2.ER.180407T1430Z.180408T0300Z.180408T1030Z.NO/
332 PM PDT Wed Apr 4 2018

The National Weather Service in Reno has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Truckee River At Vista.
* from Saturday morning to early Sunday morning...Or until the
  warning is cancelled.
* At  3:05 PM Wednesday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor to moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 18.1 feet by Saturday evening. The river will
  fall below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Minor to moderate flooding is expected
  impacting parks, trails, and agricultural areas near the river
  between Highway 395 and Nixon. Possible impacts to roads and
  buildings between Highway 395 and Vista Boulevard. Flows are
  expected to crest Saturday evening at levels similar to February
  10, 2017 and significantly below January 9, 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3954 11979 3989 11937 3967 11924 3957 11933 3943 11976


$$
4 follow-up statements
966 
WGUS85 KREV 052202
FLSREV
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Reno NV
302 PM PDT Thu Apr 5 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California...Nevada...
 
  Truckee River Near Truckee affecting Nevada and Placer Counties
  Truckee River At Reno affecting Washoe County
  Truckee River At Vista affecting Storey and Washoe Counties

For the Truckee River...Moderate to major flooding is forecast for
Truckee. Minor flooding is forecast for Reno and Vista.

A strong atmospheric river will impact the Truckee River Basin Friday
evening and Saturday...with several inches of precipitation likely in
the high Sierra. Snow levels are expected to rise to over 10,000 feet
during the period of heaviest precipitation. This rain and snowmelt
will combine with high flows due to releases out of Lake Tahoe.

These river forecasts are based on forecast rainfall and temperature 
conditions at time of issuance. If actual conditions vary from these
forecasts...river conditions will vary accordingly. River forecasts
include current and planned reservoir releases.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive rainfall may also generate rock and mud slides in steep
terrain. Persons living near rivers, creeks, and streams in far
western Nevada should monitor the latest weather information at
weather.gov/reno and be prepared to take action. PREPARE NOW by
clearing drainages and ditches of debris and move items near the
river to higher ground. 

The next forecast update for these locations will be issued Friday.

&&

CAC057-061-070402-
/O.EXT.KREV.FL.W.0002.180407T0630Z-180408T1800Z/
/TRCC1.3.RS.180407T0630Z.180407T1800Z.180408T1600Z.NO/
302 PM PDT Thu Apr 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Truckee River Near Truckee.
* from Friday evening to Sunday morning.
* At  2:00 PM Thursday the stage was 4.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 4.5 feet.
* Moderate to major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Friday evening and 
  continue to rise to near 6.6 feet by late Saturday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 6.5 feet...Major flooding along Truckee River between  
  Squaw Creek and Truckee. Some private bridges and low-lying
  structures along the river may flood. Impacts are expected to be
  similar to January 9, 2017. 

&&

LAT...LON 3918 12021 3932 12022 3939 12010 3938 12009 3919 12019


$$

NVC031-070402-
/O.EXT.KREV.FL.W.0003.180407T2100Z-180407T2300Z/
/TRRN2.1.RS.180407T2100Z.180407T2100Z.180407T2100Z.NO/
302 PM PDT Thu Apr 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Truckee River At Reno.
* during Saturday afternoon.
* At  2:15 PM Thursday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise to near flood stage of 11.0 feet by early Saturday
  afternoon. The river will then fall back below flood stage
  Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flood Stage...The river will be running
  near bankfull with minor impacts to parks, trails and low lying
  areas along the river from Mogul to Highway 395. Flows are expected
  to crest Saturday afternoon at levels similar to February 10,
  2017 and significantly below January 9, 2017.  

&&

LAT...LON 3954 11996 3956 11977 3945 11976 3946 11983 3950 11996


$$

NVC029-031-070402-
/O.EXT.KREV.FL.W.0004.180407T1730Z-180408T1200Z/
/VISN2.1.RS.180407T1730Z.180408T0200Z.180408T0920Z.NO/
302 PM PDT Thu Apr 5 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Truckee River At Vista.
* from Saturday morning to late Saturday night.
* At  2:20 PM Thursday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 17.7 feet by Saturday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 17.5 feet...Minor flooding is expected impacting
  parks, trails, and agricultural areas near the river 
  between Highway 395 and Nixon. Possible impacts to roads and
  buildings between Highway 395 and Vista Boulevard. Flows are
  expected to crest Saturday evening at levels similar to February
  10, 2017 and significantly below January 9, 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3954 11979 3989 11937 3967 11924 3957 11933 3943 11976


$$
799 
WGUS45 KREV 062238
FLWREV


Flood Warning
National Weather Service Reno NV
338 PM PDT Fri Apr 6 2018

  Truckee River Near Truckee affecting Nevada and Placer Counties
  Truckee River At Vista affecting Storey and Washoe Counties

For the Truckee River...including Truckee...Vista...
Minor flooding is occurring in Truckee with moderate flooding
forecast. For Vista, minor flooding is forecast.
 
A strong atmospheric river will continue to bring copious amounts of
rain through midday Saturday, with the heaviest rainfall rates still
to come overnight into Saturday morning. 

The forecast for peak flows has lessened due to decreased releases
out of Lake Tahoe during the peak of the heaviest rainfall. As
releases change out of Lake Tahoe, the stage on the Truckee will also
change. Just because the river goes down, does not mean it won't go
back up again.

These river forecasts are based on forecast rainfall and temperature 
conditions at time of issuance. If actual conditions vary from these
forecasts...river conditions will vary accordingly. River forecasts
include current and planned reservoir releases.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Excessive rainfall may also generate rock and mud slides in steep
terrain. Persons living near rivers, creeks, and streams in far
western Nevada should monitor the latest weather information at
weather.gov/reno and be prepared to take action. 

The next forecast update for these locations will be issued
overnight tonight.

&&

CAC057-061-080438-
/O.EXT.KREV.FL.W.0002.180406T2201Z-180408T1200Z/
/TRCC1.2.RS.180406T2130Z.180407T1800Z.180408T1100Z.NO/
338 PM PDT Fri Apr 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Truckee River Near Truckee.
* from this afternoon to late Saturday night.
* At  2:30 PM Friday the stage was 4.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 4.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 5.9 feet by late 
  Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Moderate flooding from Bear Creek in the 
  Alpine Meadows area to Truckee...about 4200 cfs.  Flooding of yards
  and basements of low-lying property along river...some private
  bridges could be impacted. 

&&

LAT...LON 3918 12021 3932 12022 3939 12010 3938 12009 3919 12019


$$

NVC029-031-080438-
/O.EXT.KREV.FL.W.0004.180407T2000Z-180408T0530Z/
/VISN2.1.RS.180407T2000Z.180408T0100Z.180408T0445Z.NO/
338 PM PDT Fri Apr 6 2018

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Truckee River At Vista.
* from Saturday afternoon to Saturday evening.
* At  2:50 PM Friday the stage was 10.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 16.5 feet by Saturday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 16.5 feet...Minor flooding US Highway 395 to Nixon, 
  impacting parks, trails, and agricultural areas near the river.
  Possible impacts to roads and buildings between Highway 395 and
  Vista Boulevard. This is significantly lower than the flooding in
  January and February of 2017.


&&

LAT...LON 3954 11979 3989 11937 3967 11924 3957 11933 3943 11976


$$
911 
WGUS85 KREV 071003
FLSREV
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Reno NV
303 AM PDT Sat Apr 7 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California...Nevada...
 
  Middle Fork Feather River Near Portola affecting Plumas County
  Truckee River Near Truckee affecting Nevada and Placer Counties
  Truckee River At Vista affecting Storey and Washoe Counties
  West Fork Carson River At Woodfords affecting Alpine and Douglas 
  Counties

A strong atmospheric river will bring moderate to heavy rain in much
of the Sierra, northeast California, far western Nevada today. This
rain will accelerate mid- and high-elevation snowmelt in many
basins and contribute to runoff. The precipitation will end late
Saturday and runoff will decrease, but impacts will still be felt on
the main stem rivers into Sunday.

These river forecasts are based on forecast rainfall and temperature 
conditions at time of issuance. If actual conditions vary from these
forecasts...river conditions will vary accordingly. River forecasts
include current and planned reservoir releases.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be alert for heavy rain upstream of your location which could cause 
additional rapid rises on rivers and streams. Valuables should be
moved away from areas subject to flooding. Never drive through
flooded areas. Follow the directions of emergency officials.

&&

CAC057-061-081603-
/O.EXT.KREV.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-180409T0500Z/
/TRCC1.2.RS.180406T2130Z.180407T1800Z.180408T1100Z.NO/
303 AM PDT Sat Apr 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Truckee River Near Truckee.
* until Sunday evening.
* At 2:00 AM Saturday the stage was 3.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 4.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 6.3 feet by late Saturday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet, moderate flooding from Bear Creek in the
  Alpine Meadows area to Truckee is likely. Flooding of yards and
  basements of low-lying homes along river can be expected with some
  private bridges impacted. 
  
&&

LAT...LON 3918 12021 3932 12022 3939 12010 3938 12009 3919 12019


$$

NVC029-031-081603-
/O.EXT.KREV.FL.W.0004.180407T1712Z-180409T0000Z/
/VISN2.1.RS.180407T1712Z.180408T0100Z.180408T0600Z.NO/
303 AM PDT Sat Apr 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Truckee River At Vista.
* from this morning to Sunday afternoon.
* At 1:35 AM Saturday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 16.9 feet by Saturday evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by late Saturday evening .
* Impact...At 16.5 feet, minor flooding U.S. Highway 395 to Nixon, 
  including parks, trails, and agricultural areas near the
  river is likely. Possible impacts to roads and buildings between
  Highway 395 and Vista Boulevard. This is significantly lower than
  the flooding in January and February of 2017.

&&

LAT...LON 3954 11979 3989 11937 3967 11924 3957 11933 3943 11976


$$

CAC003-NVC005-081603-
/O.CON.KREV.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-180409T0400Z/
/WOOC1.2.ER.180407T1100Z.180407T1800Z.180408T1000Z.NR/
303 AM PDT Sat Apr 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The West Fork Carson River At Woodfords.
* until Sunday evening.
* At  1:30 AM Saturday the stage was 13.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 14.6 feet by late Saturday morning.the 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 14.5 feet, minor to moderate flooding is likely in the
  southwest Carson Valley between Centerville and Genoa, Nevada.
  Many, local roads may be flooded in this area. Minor to 
  moderate flooding is possible in Alpine County, California near
  Woodfords and Paynesville. 

&&

LAT...LON 3877 11985 3900 11983 3896 11978 3881 11974 3875 11983


$$

CAC063-081603-
/O.EXT.KREV.FL.W.0005.180409T0000Z-180410T0500Z/
/MFTC1.1.ER.180409T0000Z.180409T0000Z.180409T1100Z.NO/
303 AM PDT Sat Apr 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Middle Fork Feather River Near Portola.
* from Sunday afternoon to Monday evening.
* At 1:30 AM Saturday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to flood stage Sunday
  afternoon then fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact...At 8.5 feet, some minor lowland flooding is possible
  between Beckwourth and Sloat, very low lying areas near the river
  in Portola.

&&

LAT...LON 3988 12071 3983 12038 3981 12039 3972 12058 3985 12072


$$
988 
WGUS85 KREV 071646
FLSREV
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Reno NV
946 AM PDT Sat Apr 7 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Nevada...
 
  Truckee River At Vista affecting Storey and Washoe Counties
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
California...
 
  Truckee River Near Truckee affecting Nevada and Placer Counties

Rainfall has ended across the region and with less additional rain
than expected and reduced releases from Lake Tahoe, flooding is no
longer anticipated on the middle and lower reaches of the Truckee
River. Minor to moderate flooding is expected to continue for the
upper reaches of the Truckee River in Truckee through tonight. 

Despite the lessened flows, the river continues to run high and
fast, so caution is advised. As releases change out of Lake Tahoe,
the stage on the Truckee will also change. Just because the river
goes down, does not mean it won't go back up again. High flows will
continue the next several days along the Truckee River.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These river forecasts are based on forecast rainfall and temperature 
conditions at time of issuance. If actual conditions vary from these
forecasts...river conditions will vary accordingly. River forecasts
include current and planned reservoir releases.

The next forecast update for these locations will be issued at about
3 pm this afternoon.

&&

CAC057-061-082246-
/O.EXT.KREV.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TRCC1.2.RS.180406T2130Z.180407T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM PDT Sat Apr 7 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Truckee River Near Truckee.
* until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 5.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 4.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 5.7 feet by late 
  Saturday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 5.5 feet...Moderate flooding from Bear Creek in the 
  Alpine Meadows area to Truckee...about 3500 cfs.  Flooding of yards
  and basements of low-lying property along river...some private
bridges may be impacted. 

&&

LAT...LON 3918 12021 3932 12022 3939 12010 3938 12009 3919 12019


$$

NVC029-031-071716-
/O.CAN.KREV.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180409T0000Z/
/VISN2.N.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM PDT Sat Apr 7 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Truckee River At Vista.
* At  9:05 AM Saturday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage with a value of 
  14.2 feet Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Maximum safe flow from US Highway 395 in 
  Reno to Nixon, including Truckee Meadows. Very minor flooding of 
  meadows below East McCarran Boulevard in Sparks. Some
  minor backwater effects of high Truckee stages may extend south
  along Steamboat Creek. 
  
&&

LAT...LON 3954 11979 3989 11937 3967 11924 3957 11933 3943 11976


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Reno, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 4, 3:26 PM PDT, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 4, 3:26 PM PDT, 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
326 PM PDT Wed Apr 4 2018

.SYNOPSIS...

Mild weather is expected through Thursday, with a few light
showers possible. A strong storm with an atmospheric river will
impact eastern California and western Nevada Friday into Saturday,
bringing periods of moderate to heavy rain, very high snow
levels, gusty winds, and flooding concerns along some rivers and
streams. Additional storm systems are possible next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

One more day of quiet weather is expected through Thursday
afternoon, with mild conditions and widespread mid-high cloud
cover, but only a few light rain showers mainly north of I-80.
Warm advection with increasing moisture will begin Thursday night
with areas of light rain developing over the region, mainly from
US-50 northward.

With the latest guidance still indicating a strong atmospheric
river for early April, confidence continues to increase in
widespread significant rainfall for the region Friday into
Saturday, with more efficient moisture spreading into much of
western NV where we increased storm total precip. Most of these
increases were for the daytime period Friday as moderate forcing
of very deep moisture (PW values near 1") is expected, and also
Saturday morning when forcing is strongest (with heaviest overall
rainfall rates up to 0.5"/hour) ahead of the cold front passage.
Around 1" of rainfall is now more likely with this event across
the US-395 corridor from Susanville to Mono County, including the
Reno- Carson-Minden urban areas, with 0.5" or more extending into
northwest NV and the Basin and Range. Foothill areas around these
cities (including Virginia City) could receive up to 2", with 2"
or more likely (locally up to 4" near the Sierra crest) from
western Lassen-central Plumas southward across the Tahoe basin,
Alpine and western Mono County. These rainfall amounts, combined
with snow levels rising from 9500-10,000 feet Friday morning to
near 11,000 feet Friday night will bring increased risk for
flooding of small creeks and streams, and some main stem rivers.
Several flood watches and warnings are in effect from Friday
afternoon into early Sunday. For more details on the potential for
flooding, see the Hydrology section below.

During the day Saturday, the heaviest precipitation will quickly
decrease from north to south, with snow levels also dropping.
Travel impacts due to snow will be limited to the highest Sierra
passes, although some late day instability may lead to bands of
snow showers forming in northeast CA and around Tahoe. Snowfall
amounts are not expected to be very heavy (mainly 4" or less) over
the major passes (I-80/US-50) but chain controls and travel
delays are possible for late afternoon/early evening on Saturday.

Strong winds are looking likely on Saturday even after the front
passes with sustained winds 25-35 mph and peak gusts of 40-60 mph
for western Nevada and eastern CA, with Sierra ridge gusts 100+
mph. Expect some difficult driving conditions for high profile
vehicles and dangerous boating conditions on area lakes.

Saturday night and Sunday, low amplitude ridge rebuilds over
CA/NV with drying conditions and temperatures near average (lower
60s western NV valleys, 50-55 near the Sierra), except possibly a
few very light showers near the Oregon border as a weak shortwave
passes across the Pacific Northwest. MJD

LONG TERM...Sunday night into next week...

After a brief break in weather Sunday night and Monday, another
series of wet systems approach the Sierra. Models have some
variability on feature timing, but largely agree in two waves next
week. Current best projections are for landfall on Tuesday through
early Wednesday, and potentially again on Thursday.

It should be noted that these next waves are going to be colder
with snow levels around 7000 feet. However, any additional
precipitation as rain would likely runoff quickly into our river
systems. It will not take much precipitation to bring rivers back
up as the snowpack continues to melt. Our best advice is to keep
flood mitigation efforts in place through next week. Above 7500
feet or so, precipitation would be all snow with several inches
accumulating.

Another thing to note is that winds will increase again Tuesday as
another decently strong jet segment moves over the region.
Otherwise, temperatures will trend cooler next week with
persistent cloud cover. Boyd

&&

.AVIATION...

Ridge winds have increased today with light to moderate turbulence
around the Sierra and Great Basin. This will continue through
Thursday with slightly breezy conditions for area terminals.
Another weak system passing through Oregon will produce light
rain and MVFR ceilings north of KTRK- KLOL on Thursday.

A much bigger system is on the horizon for Friday and Saturday.
Winds aloft will increase ahead of the system with mountain waves
and turbulence developing just after 00z Friday. Light rain with
freezing levels rising to near and above FL100 will begin Friday
morning. Core of the system will move through the region 00-18z
Saturday with a period of heavy rain, IFR ceilings and visibility.
Freezing levels should lower below FL060 near the end of the
event, with a low probably of accumulating snow at KTRK and KTVL
after 18z Saturday. Strong winds will also create the potential
for LLWS and very turbulent approaches/departures at all area
terminals on Saturday. Brong/Boyd

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Warm temperatures and high sun angles have initiated snowmelt in
lower elevations and on sun exposed aspects. Light to moderate
rains Friday will further ripen the mid-elevation snowpack as well
as increase soil moisture, which is already quite elevated
especially in the Tahoe and Truckee Basins. This will prime
conditions for a highly efficient period of runoff with the peak
rainfall intensities and very high snow levels Friday night and
Saturday morning. The ability of the snowpack at different
elevations and aspects to retain rain versus passing the rain
through with additional snowmelt is an area of forecast
uncertainty; however, most snow below ~7000 feet on all aspects,
and below ~8000 feet on sunny aspects, has been observed to be
ripe and will contribute to runoff. Higher elevations and shady
aspects will take additional energy to ripen and may start to
contribute later in the event.

There is high confidence in rivers and streams rising rapidly Friday
night and Saturday, leading to minor to moderate flooding. While
flooding is most likely along small streams, poor drainage areas,
recent burn areas, mountain communities, and closed basins, flooding
is becoming more likely along main-stem rivers, especially in the
Truckee and Carson basins. Flood warnings have been issued for the
Truckee near Truckee and for the East and West Forks of the
Carson in Carson Valley including the main-stem to HWY 395. Minor
flooding is likely along the Truckee between HWY 395 and Vista,
and along Steamboat Creek. Minor flooding is not currently
expected, but is possible on the Susan, the Middle Fork of the
Feather, and the Walker Rivers. In general, flows and impacts are
expected to exceed the March 22nd, 2018 and Nov 18th, 2017 events.
Is this as bad as January - February 2017? Region-wide this is
unlikely, but we can't rule out some isolated areas of similar
impacts.

River forecasts will be updated by 3 pm this afternoon.
Bardsley

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...Flood Watch from Friday afternoon through late Saturday night
     NVZ002-003.

CA...Flood Watch from Friday afternoon through late Saturday night
     CAZ071>073.

&&

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/reno

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 4, 2:40 PM PDT, 52 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service RENO NV
240 PM PDT Wed Apr 4 2018

CAZ070>073-NVZ001>005-051200-
Surprise Valley California-Lassen-Eastern Plumas-
Eastern Sierra Counties-Greater Lake Tahoe Area-Mono County-
Mineral and Southern Lyon Counties-Greater Reno-Carson City-
Minden Area-Western Nevada Basin and Range including Pyramid Lake-
Northern Washoe County-
Including the cities of Cedarville, Eagleville, Fort Bidwell,
Portola, Susanville, Westwood, Sierraville, Loyalton,
South Lake Tahoe, Tahoe City, Truckee, Markleeville, Bridgeport,
Coleville, Lee Vining, Mammoth Lakes, Hawthorne, Yerington,
Smith Valley, Mina, Schurz, Stateline, Glenbrook,
Incline Village, Sparks, Verdi, Gardnerville, Virginia City,
Fernley, Fallon, Lovelock, Silver Springs, Nixon, Imlay, Empire,
and Gerlach
240 PM PDT Wed Apr 4 2018

...HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...

A very warm, wet storm will bring gusty winds and significant
rains to the Sierra and western Nevada beginning Friday and
continuing through Saturday. The main concern is the potential
for flooding along creeks, streams, rivers and in urban areas.

WHAT CAN YOU DO NOW? Prepare for heavy rainfall by clearing
drainages, ditches, and gutters of debris and snow the next few
days. This will help to mitigate some of the flooding and runoff
potential. Prepare for strong winds by securing outdoor furniture,
temporary construction structures, and canopies.

RAINS - Areas of heavy rain will develop Friday evening and
continue into Saturday. Snow levels may rise as high as 11000
feet, keeping the bulk of the precipitation in the form of rain.
Rainfall totals between 2 to 4 inches are expected along the
Sierra crest, with 1.5 to 2.5 inches in the Tahoe Basin, and 1 to
1.5 inches in the Sierra foothills and some valleys along the
Sierra Front. Up to an inch of rain is possible in western Nevada
valleys. Plan on impacts such as rises on rivers, creeks, and
streams, and ponding of water in fields and poorly drained urban
areas. If you are driving around the region, reduce speed to
prevent hydroplaning on water covered roads. Areas that
experienced enhanced runoff or flooding during the last storm a
couple of weeks ago should plan on similar or greater impacts due
to the heavy rain and the expected contribution of the melting
snow pack.

RIVERS - Increased flows are likely Friday evening into Sunday
for the Carson, Susan, and the Truckee Rivers, with a longer
period of increased flow for the Pit and Middle Fork of the
Feather Rivers. For more details on mainstem river forecasts check
www.cnrfc.noaa.gov or read the hydrology section of the area
forecast discussion.

WINDS - Significant impacts are likely for high profile vehicles,
boaters, and aviation due to strong winds and turbulence Friday
night and Saturday. Wind gusts of 40 to 60 mph are possible.
Gusts over Sierra ridges will likely exceed 90 mph.

SNOW - A few inches of wet snow is possible for the Sierra and
northeast California passes late Saturday afternoon and Saturday
night as snow levels fall below 7000 feet. Chain restrictions may
occur for Highways 36, 44 and 89 in northeast California, and
Interstate 80 and Highway 50 in the Tahoe area.

http://weather.gov/reno

The office that day

Everything else NWS Reno, NV issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 4, 12:01 PM PDTAreal Flood WarningREVDouglas4 days
Apr 4, 3:32 PM PDTRiver Flood WarningREVWashoe3 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Nevada, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.