Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Raleigh, NC

050 
WWUS52 KRAH 241958
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
358 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

NCC085-242030-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-180624T2030Z/
Harnett NC-
358 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HARNETT COUNTY...

At 357 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles 
southeast of Lillington, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Lillington, Dunn, Erwin, Coats and Buies Creek. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a sturdy structure until the storm has passed. Stay 
away from windows as flying debris generated by damaging winds can 
be deadly.

&&

LAT...LON 3534 7894 3542 7877 3545 7867 3543 7861
      3541 7860 3540 7860 3539 7858 3537 7857
      3536 7855 3530 7856 3530 7858 3527 7858
      3525 7862 3525 7866 3532 7894 3532 7896
TIME...MOT...LOC 1957Z 294DEG 23KT 3535 7876 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

PWB

491 
WWUS52 KRAH 242009 RRA
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
409 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

NCC085-242030-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-180624T2030Z/
Harnett NC-
409 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HARNETT COUNTY...

At 409 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Dunn, or 10
miles east of Lillington, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Dunn, Erwin and Coats. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Straight line winds can blow down trees, power lines, and damage
mobile homes and other buildings. Seek shelter in a sturdy structure
until the storm has passed. Stay away from windows as flying debris
generated by damaging winds can be deadly.

&&

LAT...LON 3533 7874 3536 7872 3541 7867 3543 7861
      3541 7860 3540 7860 3539 7858 3537 7857
      3536 7855 3530 7856 3530 7858 3527 7858
      3525 7862 3525 7866 3532 7872 3527 7870
TIME...MOT...LOC 2009Z 274DEG 29KT 3534 7864 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

PWB

762 
WWUS52 KRAH 242021
SVSRAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
421 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

NCC085-242031-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-180624T2030Z/
Harnett NC-
421 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HARNETT COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 430 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3533 7874 3536 7872 3541 7867 3543 7861
      3541 7860 3540 7860 3539 7858 3537 7857
      3536 7855 3530 7856 3530 7858 3527 7858
      3525 7862 3525 7866 3532 7872 3527 7870
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 274DEG 29KT 3533 7853 

$$

PWB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
125 PM EDT Sun Jun 24 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A weak cold front will drop south into the area tonight and will
briefly stall across southern portions of the state on Monday before
pushing south of the area early Tuesday.

&&

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1030 AM Sunday...

Main adjustment to the near term forecast was to up PoPs across the
Coastal Plain in anticipation of greater coverage/concentration of
afternoon convection.

12Z upper air analysis depicts a subtle reflection of a weak trough
over the NC Coastal Plain, noted at 850mb, 700mb, and 500mb. This
trough should sharpen a bit by afternoon as a weak shear axis, noted
on the RAP and the water vapor imagery crossing the northern
mountains at 13Z, passes overhead. Strong heating of the moderately
moist atmosphere will yield a moderately unstable air mass with
MLCAPE projected 2000-2400 J/kg. Area sounding data depicts a decent
mid level cap between 650-600mb on the GSO sounding. This feature
will likely inhibit convective development over the western
Piedmont, plus this region will likely experience some subsidence
behind the exiting mid level shear axis by mid-late afternoon. A
similar mid level inversion noted on the MHX sounding but is much
weaker/shallower. Since the atmosphere in this part of the state is
less capped, convection will have an easier time to initiate/develop
compared to locations farther west.

Cannot rule out an isolated strong/severe storm or tow this
afternoon, primarily across the Coastal Plain. however, the bulk
effective shear is a solid 5-10 kts lower than the past few days, so
expect convective nature to be pulse-type, with strong/locally
damaging wind gusts associated with microbursts.

Current temperature trend verifying well. Thus, forecast highs in
track to reach the low-mid 90s with a few upper 90s probable in the
Sandhills. GSO sounding depicts a decent layer of dry air aloft.
Mixing of this drier air to the sfc is probable, resulting in sfc
dewpoints in the mid-upper 60s. This mixing should also occur in the
Sandhills, resulting in dewpoints in the upper 60s/around 70. This
should yield heat indices in the 100-105 degree range across the
southeast half of the forecast region, with the hottest indices over
the Sandhills and southern Coastal Plain.

Tonight, the bulk of the convection over the Coastal Plain and
Sandhills will dissipate with loss of heating, though the presence
of the weak shear axis may allow a few showers/storms to persist
across the far south-southeast until midnight or a little after.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 424 AM Sunday...

With current upstream satellite and radar trends showing a very
perturbed flow pattern over the central CONUS, confidence is
starting to increase that central NC will likely have to contend
with some sorta convective complex and/or MCV crossing the southern
Appalachians and tracking east invof the stalled frontal zone
progged to lie across southern NC/upstate SC Monday-Monday night. If
timing of such a feature coincides with peak diurnal heating, an
organized convective threat could evolve along and south of the
boundary in place across central and southern portions of the area.
Enhanced shear pocket of 30 to 40 kts, attendant to the vort
disturbance, will be more than sufficient to support a damaging wind
and hail threat. Additionally, with low-level shear/helicity
enhanced invof of the frontal zone, an isolated tornado will also be
possible. Will introduce a severe threat in the HWO for Monday
across central and southern portions of the area.

Highs Monday ranging from mid/upper 80s north to lower/mid
90s south. We will begin to cool off Monday night as high
to our north begins to push south. Lows ranging from
mid 60s north to lower 70s south.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 340 AM Sunday...

The lingering surface front will be stalled to the south of the area
to start the period on Tuesday, with any lingering associated
chances for showers and storms confined to far southern portions of
the area. Meanwhile, with cooler high pressure extending into the
area expect high temps on Tuesday will be in the mid to upper 80s,
with lows Tuesday night in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Isolated to widely scattered (mainly) afternoon/evening showers and
storms will be possible for the remainder of the medium range. A
passing disturbance to the north will bring a weak surface trough
into the area on Wednesday night into Thursday, with a strong
mid/upper level ridge extending eastward and eventually southward
into our area late week into the weekend. This will result in a
return to hot temps and high heat index values during this time
frame. However, a lingering weak mid/upper level trough near the
coast may help keep highs temps down some across our far
east/southeast late week into the weekend, along with perhaps a
little better chance for convection.

High temps are expected to range from the upper 80s to lower 90s on
Wednesday to generally the mid to upper 90s by Friday, and possibly
Saturday. Low temps will be in the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 125 PM Sunday...

 VFR parameters will persist across central NC through mid day
Monday with the exception where scattered convection occurs this
afternoon through this evening. In the vicinity of where the heavier
showers and storms occur, expect brief instances of MVFR/IFR
visibility and MVFR ceilings, along with sfc wind gusts 30-40kts.
The convective threat appears highest in the vicinity of KFAY, and
just south of KRDU and KRWI. The convective threat will begin to
dwindle after 01Z Monday. Overnight into early Monday morning expect
VFR conditions though pockets of MVFR fog may be present where the
heavier downpours occur this afternoon/evening.

A greater threat for scattered convection appears likely Monday into
Monday night as an upper disturbance dives sewd across our region
during prime heating. This system has the potential to trigger
scattered strong-severe storms with wind gusts 40-55kts possible
along with some hail. This convective threat appears greatest in the
20Z Monday-04Z Tuesday time frame, with scattered, weaker convection
possible late Monday night into Tuesday morning, especially in
vicinity of KFAY.

Convection should be less numerous from mid week and beyond as an
area of high pressure strengthens just north of our region. The
presence of this system should inhibit afternoon convective
development, especially across the northern counties, with isolated-
scattered convection possible late in the day-early evening across
the far south-southeast. Otherwise VFR parameters anticipated for
much of the remainder of the week.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Badgett/mlm
NEAR TERM...WSS
SHORT TERM...CBL
LONG TERM...BSD
AVIATION...WSS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
515 AM EDT Sun Jun 24 2018

NCZ042-077-078-085-086-088-089-250915-
Johnston-Harnett-Wayne-Scotland-Hoke-Cumberland-Sampson-
515 AM EDT Sun Jun 24 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Afternoon temperatures in the mid to upper 90s will combine
with high humidity levels to produce heat index values between 100
and 103 degrees this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Strong to severe storms are possible Monday afternoon and evening
as a series of upper disturbances track along a stalled frontal
boundary in place across southern NC. Damaging wind gusts and
hail will be possible with the strongest storms. An isolated
tornado will also be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ021>025-038>041-073>076-083-084-250915-
Forsyth-Guilford-Alamance-Orange-Durham-Davidson-Randolph-Chatham-
Wake-Stanly-Montgomery-Moore-Lee-Anson-Richmond-
515 AM EDT Sun Jun 24 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Strong to severe storms are possible Monday afternoon and evening
as a series of upper disturbances track along a stalled frontal
boundary in place across southern NC. Damaging wind gusts and
hail will be possible with the strongest storms. An isolated
tornado will also be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ007>011-026>028-043-250915-
Person-Granville-Vance-Warren-Halifax-Franklin-Nash-Edgecombe-Wilson-
515 AM EDT Sun Jun 24 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
251 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNW BENSON            35.40N 78.56W
06/24/2018                   JOHNSTON           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON DOGEYE RD NEAR NORTH LINCOLN ST
            IN BENSON.

&&

JFD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
253 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WNW BENSON            35.39N 78.57W
06/24/2018                   JOHNSTON           NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON MINGO RD AND WEST MAIN ST IN
            BENSON.

&&

JFD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
310 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW BENSON            35.40N 78.56W
06/24/2018                   JOHNSTON           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON MODULE UNIT AT BENSON
            ELEMENTARY SCHOOL.

&&

JFD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
314 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

NCZ083-084-242015-
Richmond NC-Anson NC-
314 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN ANSON AND
SOUTHEASTERN RICHMOND COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 313 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of Wadesboro, moving east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and minor flooding and deadly cloud to ground lightning
will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Rockingham, Hamlet, Dobbins Heights, Morven, McFarlan, Diggs and East
Rockingham.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
50 mph are capable of knocking down small or weakened trees and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other
light outdoor objects.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning
can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter
inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3481 8006 3496 8003 3492 7957 3491 7956
      3485 7963 3484 7962 3482 7962 3482 7965
      3481 7968 3480 7969
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 281DEG 15KT 3486 7996

77

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
316 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

NCZ077-088-242015-
Harnett NC-Cumberland NC-
316 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN HARNETT AND NORTHERN
CUMBERLAND COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM EDT...

At 315 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Pope AFB, or near Fort Bragg, moving east at 20 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Heavy rain and minor flooding and deadly cloud to ground lightning
will also be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Fayetteville, Fort Bragg, Dunn, Godwin, Pope AFB, Spring Lake,
Eastover, Wade, Falcon and Linden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
50 mph are capable of knocking down small or weakened trees and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other
light outdoor objects.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning
can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter
inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3513 7911 3531 7908 3530 7857 3529 7858
      3527 7858 3525 7862 3523 7862 3521 7863
      3520 7863 3520 7864 3517 7863 3517 7864
      3514 7864 3512 7865 3512 7864 3509 7867
      3505 7866
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 276DEG 18KT 3522 7901

77

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
342 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

NCZ042-077-088-089-242045-
Johnston NC-Sampson NC-Harnett NC-Cumberland NC-
342 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN SAMPSON...
EASTERN HARNETT...NORTH CENTRAL CUMBERLAND AND SOUTHERN JOHNSTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM EDT...

At 342 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from near Lillington to 13 miles
southwest of Angier. Movement was east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Heavy rain and minor flooding and deadly cloud to ground lightning
will also be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Lillington, Dunn, Angier, Benson, Godwin, Erwin, Coats, Four Oaks,
Newton Grove and Falcon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Seek shelter in a nearby building or vehicle. Wind gusts as high as
50 mph are capable of knocking down small or weakened trees and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture and other
light outdoor objects.

Cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms. Lightning
can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter
inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3532 7900 3553 7880 3542 7815 3540 7815
      3534 7819 3534 7822 3533 7822 3532 7824
      3532 7827 3531 7829 3528 7830 3524 7826
      3508 7837
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 292DEG 23KT 3546 7879 3536 7888

77