Freeze Warning 4, NWS Pueblo, CO

865 
WWUS75 KPUB 110504
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1104 PM MDT Wed Oct 10 2018

COZ069-083>089-093>098-111315-
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-181011T1600Z/
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-
INCLUDING Center, Del Norte, Canon City, Penrose, Black Forest, 
Colorado Springs, Peterson AFB, Pueblo, Walsenburg, Trinidad, 
Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, Kim, Eads, 
Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, and Lamar
1104 PM MDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM MDT THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...Most of the southeastern Colorado Plains, including 
  El Paso, eastern Fremont, Pueblo, Huerfano, Las Animas, 
  Crowley, Otero, Bent, Kiowa, and Prowers counties as well as 
  the northern San Luis Valley. 

* TEMPERATURE...Low temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

* IMPACT...Tender plants may be damaged or killed by the cold. 
  Outdoor irrigation, including garden spigots and sprinkler 
  systems, could be damaged. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other
sensitive vegetation.

&&

$$

936 
WWUS75 KPUB 111040
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
440 AM MDT Thu Oct 11 2018

COZ083-086>089-093>098-111145-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-181011T1600Z/
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-
INCLUDING Canon City, Penrose, Pueblo, Walsenburg, Trinidad, 
Ordway, Olney Springs, La Junta, Rocky Ford, Branson, Kim, Eads, 
Sheridan Lake, Las Animas, and Lamar
440 AM MDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FREEZE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has cancelled the Freeze
Warning that was in effect for the southeast Colorado plains.

Temperatures are hovering in the mid to upper 30s and likely to 
remain there due to widespread cloud cover. Consequently, the
Freeze Warning that was in effect has been cancelled.

$$

COZ084-085-111700-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FG.Y.0001.181011T1040Z-181011T1700Z/
/O.EXT.KPUB.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-181011T1500Z/
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-
INCLUDING Black Forest, Colorado Springs, and Peterson AFB
440 AM MDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MDT THIS MORNING...
...FREEZE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Dense Fog
Advisory, which is in effect until 11 AM MDT this morning.
Additionally, a Freeze Warning remains in effect until 9 AM.

* LOCATION...El Paso County

* VISIBILITY...1/4 mile or less at times.

* TEMPERATURE...Temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

* IMPACT...Tender plants may be damaged or killed by the cold.
  Outdoor irrigation, including garden spigots and sprinkler
  systems, could be damaged. Low visibilities will create
  hazardous travel conditions.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. Tender plants should be brought indoors or covered.
Garden hoses should be disconnected. Outdoor irrigation or other 
exposed plumbing should be drained or properly insulated.

A Dense Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced to less than one quarter mile. If commuting, leave early,
drive slowly and use your low beam headlights. Leave plenty of 
distance ahead of you as you may have to stop suddenly.

&&

$$

COZ069-111500-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FZ.W.0004.000000T0000Z-181011T1500Z/
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
INCLUDING Center and Del Norte
440 AM MDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FREEZE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

* LOCATION...The northern part of the San Luis Valley.

* TEMPERATURE...Temperatures in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

* IMPACT...Tender plants may be damaged or killed by the cold. 
  Outdoor irrigation, including garden spigots and sprinkler 
  systems, could be damaged. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or
highly likely. Cover tender plants or bring them indoors.
Disconnect garden hoses. Drain or properly insulate sprinkler
systems or other exposed plumbing.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1132 AM MDT Wed Oct 10 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 346 AM MDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...Cold with More Snow for the Continental Divide and Showers
Elsewhere...

Big, upper low spinning over norther Utah will send another wave of
moisture eastward across the Continental Divide this morning.  The
clouds and showers are clearly visible on satellite and radar loops,
moving eastward across the western slope.  Snow will be heaviest
along the Divide this morning up through about noon before tapering
off through the rest of the afternoon and evening. Then, late
tonight, after midnight, a new round of snow will develop along the
Divide.

The high valleys and eastern mountain ranges will see snow showers
move through at times as pieces of energy shear off from the
activity along the Divide and spread eastward.  The Pikes Peak and
Palmer Divide Region could see some of this activity at times as
stronger pieces of energy move through.  For the rest of the plains,
just a spotty shower here or there is all that is expected through
tonight.

Snowfall will be greatest along the Continental Divide north of
Monarch Pass, where total accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are
expected above 11,000 through this evening, with 1 to 4 inches below
11,000 feet.  South of Monarch Pass, the La Garitas and San Juans
will see 3 to 6 inches above 10,000 feet, with 1 to 3 inches below.
The northern Sangre de Cristos will see similar amounts.  For Pikes
Peak, the Rampart Range, the Wet Mountains and the southern Sangre
de Cristos, scattered accumulations of 1 to 3 inches will be
possible through this evening.  Elevations above 6,000 feet across
El Paso County could see some wet snow showers at times but any
accumulations should be localized, light and confined mainly to
grassy or elevated surfaces.  Elsewhere, any precipitation will be
mainly in the form of rain but some wet snow flakes could mix in at
times.

A Freeze Warning remains in effect for the plains and northern San
Luis Valley this morning as temperatures remain near freezing.
Clouds and scattered precipitation may prevent a hard freeze but it
will be close.  A Freeze Watch is in effect for late tonight and
early Thursday morning as temperatures will get down near the
freezing mark once again.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 346 AM MDT Wed Oct 10 2018

... Winter arrives to the Plains on Sunday...

Two systems will impact the region during this period. The first
system will move through at the beginning of this period (THU) and
will bring snow primarily to the central mountain region. The 2nd
system will move across the region Saturday night and Sunday, and
will have the potential to impact the entire forecast area with
winter precipitation, and freezing (hard freeze) temperatures.

An active pattern will occur for about the first one half of this
period, with the weather becoming more tranquil from Tuesday onward.
With a large ridge over the eastern Pacific, several disturbances
will drop down on the eastern side of this ridge and affect the
region. The first will be Thursday and this system promises to bring
more snow primarily to the central mtn region. Some precip will also
likely occur over the Pikes Peak region and possibly the Palmer
Divide area. some snow will also occur in the sw mtns. Several
inches of snow will be likely over the Central mountains, with
lesser amounts over the higher elevations of the Pikes Peak area and
sw mtns. Precip over the lower elevations will likely be liquid.

A more potent system will move across the region starting late
Saturday and last into Sunday. This system promises to bring cold
temperatures to the region with a hard freeze possible over the
Plains Sunday night. This system will likely bring accumulating snow
to the mountains, especially the east facing slopes of the southern
mtns. This system will also  have the potential to bring snow to
parts (most?) of the plains Saturday night and into Sunday morning.
At this time the best chance of accumulating snow at lower
elevations appears to be at 6000 feet or higher, but snowflakes will
be possible across most of the plains with system.

The main impact with this 2nd system will be the widespread freezing
temperatures that will likely occur across the region early Monday
morning. Temps are expected to fall into the teens and 20s across
all of the lower elevations, and this will put an end to the growing
season. In additions, swamp coolers and sprinkler systems will need
to be winterized prior to this weekend to prevent damage from
occurring to these systems.

Temps will begin to warm up starting Monday, with temps returning to
the 50s and 60 lower elevations by mid week. \/Hodanish

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1039 AM MDT Wed Oct 10 2018

IFR to LIFR conditions will persist at KPUB and KCOS through the
afternoon with periodic snow showers at times. Conditions could
rise into the MVFR category at times between showers at KPUB, but
high res models continue to indicate another band of showers
expected to move across the area this afternoon. Cigs will rise a
bit towards 22z...but then lower again during the evening as
upslope east to southeast winds continue. Suspect that IFR to LIFR
conditions may persist at KCOS into Thursday afternoon while KPUB
may see cigs rise into the MVFR category by 17z with a few breaks
in the cloud deck expected by late afternoon.

KALS will stay VFR over the next 24 hours. VCSH will be possible
this afternoon, which could bring a brief VFR cig through this
evening, though these conditions are more likely to stay north of
the terminal. Southwest winds will gust to around 30 kts at times
this afternoon but will diminish towards 01z.  -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Freeze Watch from this evening through Thursday morning for
COZ069-083>089-093>099.

Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM MDT this evening for COZ058-
060.

&&

SHORT TERM...LW
LONG TERM...HODANISH
AVIATION...KT

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1222 PM MDT Wed Oct 10 2018

COZ058>089-093>099-111830-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
1222 PM MDT Wed Oct 10 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Moist northwest flow will bring periods of snow to the mountains
today.  The Continental Divide will see the most snow.  North of
Monarch Pass, 4 to 8 inches is expected above 11,000 feet with 1 to
4 inches below.  South of Monarch Pass, 3 to 6 inches is expected
above 10,000 feet with 1 to 3 inches below. For the rest of the
mountains, 1 to 4 inches of snow is possible.

Across the lower elevations, most precipitation will be in the form
of rain today although a few wet snowflakes could mix in at times.
Spotty light accumulations, less than an inch, will be possible on
grassy or elevated surfaces above 6,000 feet.  This includes most of
El Paso, Huerfano and Las Animas Counties.

A Freeze Watch is in effect for the plains and northern San Luis
Valley late tonight and Thursday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Snow will occur in the mountain Thursday. Several inches of snow
is anticipated across the central mountains, while 1 to 3 inches
will be possible across the southwest mountains and Pikes Peak.

Another storm system will move across the region Saturday night
and Sunday. This system has the potential to bring accumulating
snow to all of the mountains and the greater I-25 corridor
region. Several inches of accumulating snow will be possible.

A hard freeze will be possible across all of the southeast
Colorado plains early Monday morning as temperatures are expected
to fall into the teens to mid 20s.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be
possible today and tonight for elevations above 6,000 feet.

31/31

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1050 AM MDT WED OCT 10 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1050 AM     SNOW             3 NW BLACK FOREST       39.04N 104.74W
10/10/2018  M1.0 INCH        EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&