Alert archive / New Jersey / Tornado Warnings in 2018

Tornado Warning 6, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 2, 2018Morris County, Sussex County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this tornado warning at Oct 2, 2018, 8:38 PM EDT for Morris County, Sussex County, New Jersey. It was in force for 22 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 2, 2018, 8:38 PM EDT (00:38 UTC)
Expired
Oct 2, 2018, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
22 min
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated

Counties Morris County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Oct 2, 4:57 PM EDTTornado WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2018-10-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 610 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2018-10-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 197 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
610 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
634 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
197 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
213 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

812 
WFUS51 KPHI 030038
TORPHI
NJC027-037-030100-
/O.NEW.KPHI.TO.W.0006.181003T0038Z-181003T0100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
838 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2018

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  North central Morris County in northern New Jersey...
  South central Sussex County in northwestern New Jersey...

* Until 900 PM EDT.
    
* At 837 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Hopatcong, or near Newton, moving east at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Hopatcong around 840 PM EDT.
  Mount Arlington around 845 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 4092 7478 4101 7476 4105 7456 4090 7464
TIME...MOT...LOC 0037Z 277DEG 21KT 4097 7469 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75

$$
jjm
1 follow-up statement
686 
WWUS51 KPHI 030053
SVSPHI

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
853 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2018

NJC027-037-030102-
/O.EXP.KPHI.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-181003T0100Z/
Morris NJ-Sussex NJ-
853 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2018

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL MORRIS AND SOUTH CENTRAL
SUSSEX COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 900 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A tornado watch remains in effect until midnight EDT for northern and
northwestern New Jersey.

LAT...LON 4092 7478 4101 7476 4105 7456 4090 7464
TIME...MOT...LOC 0052Z 277DEG 21KT 4096 7459 

$$

JJM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 2, 8:29 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIMorris, Sussex, Warren4 hr
Oct 2, 8:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMorris, Sussex, Warren49 min
Oct 2, 9:05 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIWarren4 hr
Oct 2, 9:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Somerset114 min
Oct 2, 10:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean37 min
Oct 2, 11:24 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIBurlington, Monmouth, Ocean51 min
Oct 2, 11:32 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI58 min
Oct 3, 12:00 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIAtlantic, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem60 min
Oct 3, 12:25 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI65 min
Oct 3, 3:16 AM EDTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasPHI12 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in New Jersey, 2018Every tornado warning in 2018Tornadoes in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.