Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Areal Flood Advisories in 2018

Areal Flood Advisory 319, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 11, 2018Carbon County, Monroe County, Pennsylvania

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood advisory at Oct 11, 2018, 11:19 AM EDT for Carbon County, Monroe County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2018, 11:19 AM EDT (15:19 UTC)
Expired
Oct 11, 2018, 2:15 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Carbon County, PA, Monroe County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 224 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 92 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 119 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
92 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
552 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at Oct 11, 9:19 AM EDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 9:19 AM EDT, 2 hours before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 3:29 AM EDT, 7 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
329 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-120730-
Sussex-Warren-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
329 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New Jersey, east
central Pennsylvania and northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Occasional moderate to heavy rain may lead to localized flooding
today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-NJZ008>010-012>022-025>027-PAZ070-071-101>106-
120730-
New Castle-Cecil-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-
Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-
Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-
Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-Delaware-
Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-
Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
329 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Delaware, northeast
Maryland, central New Jersey, northern New Jersey, northwest New
Jersey, southern New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

DEZ002>004-MDZ019-020-NJZ023-024-120730-
Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Talbot-Caroline-Cape May-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
329 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TONIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Delaware, southern
Delaware, northeast Maryland and southern New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ451>455-120730-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
329 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ450-120730-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
329 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 4 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ430-431-120730-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
329 AM EDT Thu Oct 11 2018

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware Bay Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 3:24 AM EDTGale WarningPHI33 hr
Oct 11, 3:24 AM EDTWind AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 3 more31 hr
Oct 11, 1:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICamden, Gloucester33 min
Oct 11, 1:43 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHISussex, Warren7 hr
Oct 11, 2:39 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIWarren4 hr
Oct 11, 3:58 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset4 hr
Oct 11, 4:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIAtlantic36 min
Oct 11, 4:41 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI34 min
Oct 11, 5:45 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem77 min
Oct 11, 7:15 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Somerset4 hr
Oct 11, 7:50 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIKent25 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2018Every areal flood advisory in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.