Flash Flood Warning 55, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

222 
WGUS71 KPBZ 312056
FFSPBZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
456 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2018

PAC051-312200-
/O.CON.KPBZ.FF.W.0055.000000T0000Z-180731T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fayette PA-
456 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR
EASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY...

At 454 PM EDT, radar indicated that heavy rain had tapered off, but 
another area of light to moderate rain will cross the warned area.

FLASH FLOODING...     Occurring.

ESTIMATED RAINFALL... Up to 2 inches.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL...up to 1/4 inch.

Some locations that may experience flooding include...
Uniontown...                      Connellsville...
South Connellsville...            Farmington...
Seven Springs...                  Dunbar...
Everson...                        Vanderbilt...
Dawson...                         Markleysburg...
Chalkhill...                      Ohiopyle...

Please report flooding by calling 412-262-1988, posting to 
the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPITTSBURGH. 

&&

LAT...LON 3990 7940 3985 7942 3982 7936 3979 7937
      3979 7935 3978 7939 3974 7941 3972 7939
      3972 7967 4012 7974 4011 7971 4011 7969
      4008 7964 4009 7962 4008 7959 4010 7958
      4014 7948 4007 7936 4004 7934 4004 7930

$$

446 
WGUS71 KPBZ 312153
FFSPBZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
553 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2018

PAC051-312202-
/O.EXP.KPBZ.FF.W.0055.000000T0000Z-180731T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Fayette PA-
553 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2018

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR EASTERN FAYETTE COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
600 PM EDT...

The heavy rain has ended and flood water will continue to recede so 
the warning will be allowed to expire.  Please continue to heed any 
remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3990 7940 3985 7942 3982 7936 3979 7937
      3979 7935 3978 7939 3974 7941 3972 7939
      3972 7967 4012 7974 4011 7971 4011 7969
      4008 7964 4009 7962 4008 7959 4010 7958
      4014 7948 4007 7936 4004 7934 4004 7930

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
229 PM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Daily chances for showers and storms are expected through the
week with increased moisture and passage of a slow-moving low
pressure system.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A shortwave trough responsible for ongoing convection will help
sharpen the warm front that is straddling the forecast area.
North of the frontal boundary, broad convective coverage with
light-moderate rain can be expected.

To the boundary's south, a moist, unstable warm sector will
support semi-organized convection in a moderate-shear, moist
environment. Given warm-sector storms, the combination of low
LCL, enhanced low-level CAPE and broad hodographs with
increasingly-favorable critical angle will favor rotating storms
capable of a tornado or two and damaging wind gusts during the
afternoon.

Any afternoon convection will shift ewd tonight and decay with
loss of heating, but showers and storms will increase in
coverage early Wed morning and begin spreading nwwd with time.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A stagnant upper-level ridge in the wrn CONUS and the Bermuda
High to the east will maintain a trough in the central CONUS
thru the next couple of days. Today's surface low will not
migrate far Wed and Thu, and its associated cold front advancing
across the OH Valley will maintain chances for showers/storms
for much of Wed before diminishing in coverage on Thu.
Temperature should be near or slightly below seasonal average (in
the lower 80s) Wed-Fri owing to persistent cloud cover.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The unsettled pattern continues. There are still enough
differences in model runs to maintain a forecast of daily
shower/storm chances following a diurnal cycle. So far,
Saturday appears to be the drier day of the weekend compared to
Sunday. Temperature will climb to slightly above seasonal
average as heights and thicknesses increase.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Large area of rain with embedded thunderstorms will spread
eastward across the PA and WV terminals over the next several
hours. By and large, thunderstorm coverage will be focused HLG-
MGW with mainly a steady rain further north with some convective
enhancement. VFR ceilings generally prevailing through the rain,
with localized IFR visibilities in the heavier showers (LIFR
visibilities briefly possible MGW 1930-21Z.

Behind the precipitation edge later this afternoon, widespread
MVFR to IFR stratus has developed and is presently expected to
continue through the overnight hours. Areas of fog are also
possible before another axis of rain spreads in tomorrow
morning.

Winds will be light but erratic in direction, with an overall
east to southeast tendency, becoming variable toward 12Z.

OUTLOOK... Periodic restrictions are likely this week
with persistent moist southerly flow and multiple crossing
disturbances.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
OH...None.
PA...None.
WV...None.

&&

Kramar

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

MDZ001-OHZ057>059-068-069-PAZ021-029-031-073>076-WVZ002>004-012-021-
509>514-011845-
Garrett-Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Allegheny-Washington-
Greene-Westmoreland-Westmoreland Ridges-Fayette-Fayette Ridges-
Brooke-Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia-
Ridges of Eastern Monongalia and Northwestern Preston-Preston-
Eastern Preston-Western Tucker-Eastern Tucker-
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Maryland, east
central Ohio, southwest Pennsylvania, northern West Virginia and
northern panhandle of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

A few strong to severe thunderstorms capable of damaging wind gusts
and an isolated tornado will be possible this afternoon.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Heavy rain from showers and thunderstorms could produce localized
flash flooding on Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ039>041-048>050-PAZ007>009-013>016-020-022-023-WVZ001-011845-
Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson-Mercer-
Venango-Forest-Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-Beaver-Armstrong-Indiana-
Hancock-
238 PM EDT Tue Jul 31 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio, northwest
Pennsylvania, west central Pennsylvania, western Pennsylvania and
northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.