Severe Thunderstorm Warning 402, NWS Norman, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
246 PM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Few if any changes were needed in the long term, and most of the
focus today was on short term concerns. An MCS moved through
overnight and morning convection persisted behind it, and then
began forward propagating southeast. Increasing instability ahead
of it should increase the damaging wind potential into southern
Oklahoma. Locally heavy rainfall amounts and flooding/flash
flooding are possible, but the storms should have enough
forward momentum to preclude a significant flash flood threat.
The greatest concern may be from near Velma, to Sulphur, to Atoka
where heavy rainfall fell yesterday morning.

Uncertainty is above normal tonight given effects from significant
convection ongoing. Overturning may limit instability some but a
strong low-level jet may replenish low level moisture and
instability this evening/overnight to support maintenance of High
Plains MCS that is expected to evolve and most east-southeast. At
least some severe weather potential is possible, with the greatest
chance of significant severe and hail to our west, evolving into
mostly a wind/heavy rain threat tonight. If convective intensity
maintains into central Oklahoma, moisture transport vectors and
strong theta-e advection along with decreasing Corfidi vectors may
lead to localized flooding becoming the main threat later tonight.

We increased rain chances Monday within band of particularly high
PWAT values, along synoptic boundary, although best forcing for
ascent will be north of us with departing trough. Any convection
that occurs could produce heavy rainfall amounts and a localized
flooding/flash flooding threat especially where the ground is
saturated.

A drier/warmer pattern is expected for the rest of the week.
Little/no changes were made as the focus has been mostly on short
term hazards.

BRB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  69  84  72  95 /  50  50  50  10
Hobart OK         71  88  72  99 /  50  30  30  10
Wichita Falls TX  72  98  76  99 /  30  10  40   0
Gage OK           65  85  69  98 /  60  20  10   0
Ponca City OK     68  83  72  96 /  70  50  50  10
Durant OK         72  93  75  95 /  20  10  20   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...High Wind Warning until 5 PM CDT this afternoon for OKZ012-013-
     017>020-024-025.

TX...None.
&&

03/12

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1229 PM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-251730-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1229 PM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is an enhanced risk for severe thunderstorms late this
afternoon through tonight for portions of western Oklahoma and
Hardeman County Texas. A slight risk surrounds the enhanced risk
and includes much of the remainder of Oklahoma and western north
Texas.

Location...
The enhanced risk is roughly west of a line from Arnett...to
Clinton...to Hobart Oklahoma...to Goodlett Texas.

Timing...
Main time for severe storms later today will be from 1 pm through
3 am.

Impacts...
Hail up to the size of baseballs.
Damaging wind gusts up to 80 mph.
Heavy rainfall that may cause localized flooding.
The tornado risk is low.

Discussion...
Thunderstorms will continue to develop near and south of
Interstate 40 through this afternoon. A few severe storms with
hail up to the size of quarters and damaging wind gusts up to 60
mph will be possible with these storms as they slowly progress
east southeastward. Additional development will be possible late
this afternoon through early this evening across portions of
southwestern OK and western north Texas. Discrete supercells with
a threat of very large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a tornado
will be possible with these storms.

Then, late tonight, a thunderstorm complex will move out of Kansas
and into northwestern OK. Damaging straight line wind gusts will
likely accompany this complex through the early morning hours
Monday across northern Oklahoma.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel across the
risk area should prepare for severe weather operations today and
tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Thunderstorms...
There will be a chance for thunderstorms Monday into early
Tuesday. A few strong thunderstorms are possible Monday.

.Heat...
Heat index values from 100 to 105 degrees are forecast through
much of this week. If you will be outdoors, limit strenuous
activities and take frequent breaks.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
318 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0317 PM     TSTM WND GST     ADA                     34.77N 96.68W
06/24/2018  E60 MPH          PONTOTOC           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RBARNES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
327 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 W ADA                 34.78N 96.68W
06/24/2018  E60 MPH          PONTOTOC           OK   PUBLIC

&&

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
328 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BYNG                    34.87N 96.67W
06/24/2018                   PONTOTOC           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CARPORT WAS FLIPPED AND A FENCE WAS BLOWN
            DOWN.

&&

PW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
331 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0319 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 E ADA                 34.78N 96.59W
06/24/2018  E60 MPH          PONTOTOC           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PW