Fire Weather Watch 21, NWS Norman, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
406 PM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

.DISCUSSION...
After another freeze tonight in portions of the area, fire weather
will again be the primary focus. The freeze warning will be
continued with this package.

Warmer temperatures are expected Monday, especially in the west.
Increasing southwest winds and humidity down to about 10-15% in
the far southwest combined with the dry fuels give critical
values in the Red Flag Threat Index. Will issue a Red Flag Warning
for Beckham County down toward Knox and Baylor Counties. Areas
farther north and a little east will be borderline depending on
how low the humidity goes and how high the winds become, so will
issue a Fire Weather Watch from the northwest corner down to
Woodward, Weatherford, Hobart, Wichita Falls and Archer City.
Tuesday looks to be another potentially significant fire weather
day with temperatures climbing into the 90s, RH falling into the
single digits and winds of 20 to 30 mph with higher gusts. RFTI
grids shake out to extreme in much of the western portion of the
forecast area with some grids reaching "historically critical" in
portions of southwest Oklahoma and western sections of north
Texas. Red Flag conditions look likely so have will issue the Red
Flag Warning for Tuesday with this package.

A storm system later this week brings increasing precipitation
chances. Have not made any significant adjustments to the forecast
in this time period keeping POPs in the high chance category.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  32  70  55  86 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         33  78  55  94 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  36  80  56  92 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           31  76  54  93 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     24  65  48  87 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         35  71  53  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Monday for OKZ004>020-
     022>032-040-042-043-048.

     Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 9 PM CDT Tuesday for OKZ004>006-
     009>011-014>017-021>023-033>038-044.

     Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening
     for OKZ004-009-010-014>016-022-035-037.

     Red Flag Warning from noon to 9 PM CDT Monday for OKZ021-033-034-
     036.

TX...Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 9 PM CDT Tuesday for TXZ083>089.

     Fire Weather Watch from Monday afternoon through Monday evening
     for TXZ086-089.

     Red Flag Warning from noon to 9 PM CDT Monday for TXZ083>085-087-
     088.

&&

99/99

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Norman OK
1143 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-161645-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1143 AM CDT Sun Apr 15 2018

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

.Fire Weather...
Elevated fire weather is expected west of an Enid to El Reno and
Lawton line this afternoon, due to breezy northwest winds and low
humidity.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

.Fire Weather...
Fire weather conditions will be at least elevated each afternoon
through Thursday. The most significant fire weather days will be
near critical conditions on Monday and extreme conditions on
Tuesday, mainly across western Oklahoma and western sections of
north Texas.

.Thunderstorms...
Thunderstorm chances will increase Thursday night and Friday.
Strong to severe storms are possible across southwest Oklahoma
and western north Texas on Friday.

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