Alert archive / Tennessee / Special Weather Statements in 2018

Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

June 15, 2018Davidson County, Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this special weather statement at Jun 15, 2018, 4:48 PM CDT for Davidson County, Tennessee. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 15, 2018, 4:48 PM CDT (21:48 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2018, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
27 min
Issued by
NWS Nashville, TN

County Davidson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 31 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1125 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1125 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-124 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1084 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-24 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 15, 3:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 3:30 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
330 PM CDT Fri Jun 15 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Temperatures have warmed into the low 90s for most places west of
the Plateau...with dew points in the mid 60s to low 70s. A few
isolated thunderstorms have begun to pulse up over western
Kentucky and we could see this development sink south over the
next few hours. Any storms will be slow moving with periods of
heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and lightning, and they should
dissipate this evening with the setting sun.

The large upper ridge over the eastern U.S. will continue to
suppress precip chances during the day Saturday, but dewpoints in
the low 70s will persist. Couple this with high temperatures in
the low to mid 90s and the apparent temperatures will be nearly
100 in some areas mainly west of I-65 and north of I-40. This will
fall short of heat advisory criteria, but will certainly be warm
enough to warrant some frequent breaks if you're working or
playing outside Saturday afternoon. Precip chances will increase
slightly on Sunday as an area of moisture moves north from the
Gulf. This should increase cloud cover enough to bring
temperatures down a degree or two from Saturday's highs, however
the air will still feel quite heavy especially after any afternoon
thunderstorms pass by.

The bulk of the work week will see mainly afternoon thunderstorms
fed by diurnal heating. Slightly higher chances of precip may
enter the forecast mid week as the ridge breaks down and a band of
deeper moisture sinks south over Kentucky and into Middle
Tennessee. By the end of the week the ridge is expected to begin
building once again, but we never quite rid the area of the high
surface dewpoints, so warm and muggy temperatures with slight
chance to chance of thunderstorms will continue into next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BNA/MQY/CKV/CSV...A surface ridge is locked in place over Middle
Tennessee this afternoon with generally light wind and VFR
weather. There is a small chance of a shower west of I-65 this
afternoon, and we'll be keeping an eye on radar, but we're leaving
the 18Z TAF's dry since POP's are so low. Light radiation fog is
possible toward morning, mainly at MQY & CKV, but otherwise good
flying weather the next 24 hrs.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      71  95  73  92  73 /  10  10  10  30  20
Clarksville    70  92  71  90  72 /  10   0  10  20  10
Crossville     64  87  67  86  68 /   0  20  10  30  20
Columbia       69  92  70  89  71 /  10  10  10  40  20
Lawrenceburg   67  91  70  88  69 /  10  20  10  40  20
Waverly        70  92  72  88  71 /  10  10  10  30  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......11
AVIATION........08
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 5:02 AM CDT, 11 hours 46 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
502 AM CDT Fri Jun 15 2018

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-161015-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
502 AM CDT Fri Jun 15 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

Shamburger

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 4:23 PM CDT, 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
423 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2018

TNZ007-152200-
Robertson TN-
423 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ROBERTSON COUNTY
UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

At 422 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Springfield, moving southwest at 15 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Springfield, Greenbrier, Coopertown and Ridgetop.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3655 8689 3650 8671 3637 8681 3642 8699
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 026DEG 13KT 3647 8685

13
Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:30 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 15, 4:43 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 15, 4:45 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
445 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2018

TNZ027-059-152215-
Williamson TN-Davidson TN-
445 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN DAVIDSON AND
NORTHEASTERN WILLIAMSON COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

At 444 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Belle Meade, or near Nashville, moving south at 10 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Franklin, Brentwood, Forest Hills, Oak Hill, Belle Meade, Bellevue
and Berry Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3614 8693 3613 8671 3596 8671 3598 8699
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 007DEG 9KT 3609 8684

13
Special weather statement, Jun 15, 4:48 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
448 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2018

TNZ007-008-027-152215-
Robertson TN-Davidson TN-Sumner TN-
448 PM CDT FRI JUN 15 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL DAVIDSON...
SOUTHWESTERN SUMNER AND SOUTHEASTERN ROBERTSON COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM
CDT...

At 448 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Ridgetop, or 11 miles southeast of Springfield, moving south at 15
mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 30 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hendersonville, Goodlettsville, White House, Millersville,
Greenbrier, Ridgetop and Joelton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3640 8689 3645 8667 3633 8658 3627 8689
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 347DEG 12KT 3637 8677

13

The office that day

Everything else NWS Nashville, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 15, 4:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOHXRobertson37 min
Jun 15, 4:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOHXMontgomery, Stewart32 min
Jun 15, 4:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOHXDavidson30 min
Jun 15, 5:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOHXDavidson30 min
Jun 15, 5:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOHXDavidson33 min
Jun 15, 5:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDavidson29 min
Jun 15, 5:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOHXWilliamson36 min
Jun 15, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXWilliamson32 min
Jun 15, 6:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOHXWilliamson16 min
Jun 15, 6:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOHXMaury28 min
Jun 15, 6:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXMaury24 min
Jun 15, 6:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementOHXMaury47 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Tennessee, 2018Every special weather statement in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.