Alert archive / Tennessee / Flood Watches in 2018

Flood Watch 2, NWS Nashville, TN

February 20, 201821 counties in Tennessee

NWS Nashville, TN issued this flood watch at Feb 20, 2018, 2:32 PM CST for 21 counties in Tennessee. It took effect at Feb 21, 2018, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 20, 2018, 2:32 PM CST (20:32 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 21, 2018, 12:00 PM CST
Expired
Feb 25, 2018, 2:55 AM CST
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Nashville, TN
Flood severity
None
All 21 counties

Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Macon County, TN, Maury County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 24 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-02-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-02-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 327 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1151 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
327 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
257 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

072 
WGUS64 KOHX 202032
FFAOHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
232 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

...Widespread Flooding Possible as Early as Wednesday Afternoon 
and Continuing into Next Weekend...

.Two separate weather systems will bring moderate to heavy 
rainfall into Middle TN this week. The first will be Wednesday and
Thursday, and a second this weekend. Between the two systems, 3 
to 6 inches of rainfall will be possible for areas within the 
watch, with the highest totals expected for counties closest to 
the TN River. With grounds already saturated and area rivers and
streams in flux due to previous rains, both river flooding and 
flooding outside rivers will be a big concern throughout this 
week.

TNZ005>008-023>027-056>060-211000-
/O.NEW.KOHX.FA.A.0002.180221T1800Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-
Cheatham-Davidson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Waverly, 
New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Linden, Lobelville, Centerville, 
Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, and Columbia
232 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Nashville has issued a

* Flood Watch for a portion of Middle Tennessee, including the 
  following areas, Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, 
  Houston, Humphreys, Lewis, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, 
  Robertson, Stewart, Sumner, and Williamson. 

* From Wednesday afternoon through late Saturday night

* 3 to 6 inches of rain between Wednesday and Saturday this week
  on top of already saturated grounds.

* While isolated Flash Flooding is not out of the question
  Wednesday night or this weekend, area rivers and streams are
  going to be on the rise starting Wednesday night. Those who
  experienced flooding this past week and are in this Flood Watch
  need to pay special attention to rainfall accumulations as 
  flooding is expected to return to those locations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

27
11 follow-up statements
429 
WGUS64 KOHX 210929
FFAOHX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
329 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

...Widespread Flooding Possible as Early as Wednesday Afternoon
and Continuing into Next Weekend...

.Two separate weather systems will bring moderate to heavy
rainfall into Middle TN this week. The first will be Wednesday
and Thursday, and a second this weekend. Between the two systems,
3 to 5 inches of rainfall will be possible for areas within the 
watch, with the highest totals expected for counties closest to 
the Tennessee River. With grounds already saturated and area 
rivers and streams in flux due to previous rains, both river 
flooding and flooding outside rivers will be a big concern 
throughout this week.

TNZ005>008-023>027-056>060-212200-
/O.CON.KOHX.FA.A.0002.180221T1800Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-
Cheatham-Davidson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Waverly, 
New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Linden, Lobelville, Centerville, 
Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, and Columbia
329 AM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Middle Tennessee, including the following areas, 
  Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, 
  Lewis, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, Robertson, Stewart, Sumner, 
  and Williamson. 

* From noon CST today through late Saturday night

* 3 to 5 inches of rain between Wednesday and Saturday night on 
  top of already saturated grounds. 

* While isolated Flash Flooding is not out of the question 
  Wednesday night or this weekend, area rivers and streams are 
  going to be on the rise starting Wednesday night. Those who 
  experienced flooding this past week and are in this Flood 
  Watch need to pay special attention to rainfall accumulations 
  as flooding is expected to return to those locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
006 
WGUS64 KOHX 212240
FFAOHX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
440 PM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

...Widespread Flooding Possible as Early as Tonight and 
Continuing into the Weekend...

.A series of upper level storm systems will cause occasional
moderate to heavy rainfall in Middle TN tonight through at least 
Saturday. The first system tonight and Thursday will bring rain 
amounts of up to 2 inches in the northwest counties with much 
lighter amounts on the Plateau. Some showers are possible Friday 
but rain chances and amounts will increase sharply Friday night 
through Saturday. By the time rains end on Sunday morning, storm 
total amounts should range from 1 to 2 inches on the Plateau up to
4 or 5 inches over northwestern portions of the midstate. With 
grounds already saturated...and area rivers and stream levels 
still high from previous rains...river flooding as well as 
flooding outside of rivers may occur tonight through at least 
Saturday especially over north and west parts of Middle Tennessee.
 
TNZ005>008-023>027-056>060-221115-
/O.CON.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-
Cheatham-Davidson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Waverly, 
New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Linden, Lobelville, Centerville, 
Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, and Columbia
440 PM CST Wed Feb 21 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Middle Tennessee, including the following areas, 
  Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, 
  Lewis, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, Robertson, Stewart, Sumner, 
  and Williamson. 

* Through late Saturday night

* 3 to 5 inches of rain from tonight through Saturday night on 
  top of already saturated grounds. 

* While isolated Flash Flooding is not out of the question tonight
  or this weekend, area rivers and streams are going to be on the
  rise starting tonight or Thursday. Those who experienced 
  flooding this past week and are in this Flood Watch need to pay 
  special attention to rainfall accumulations as flooding is 
  expected to return to those locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
919 
WGUS64 KOHX 221126
FFAOHX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
526 AM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

...Widespread Flooding May Develop By Late This Weekend...

.Several episodes of potentially heavy rainfall are expected over
the next several days, which will fall on grounds that have
already been saturated from previous rains. Rainfall totals are
expected to average between three and five inches over the
northwestern half of the Mid-State, to between one and a half and
three inches over the southeast. With grounds already 
saturated...and area rivers and stream levels still high from 
previous rains...river flooding as well as flooding outside of 
rivers may occur today through at least Saturday night especially
over north and west parts of Middle Tennessee.

TNZ005>008-023>027-056>060-222300-
/O.CON.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-
Cheatham-Davidson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Waverly, 
New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Linden, Lobelville, Centerville, 
Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, and Columbia
526 AM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Middle Tennessee, including the following areas, 
  Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, 
  Lewis, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, Robertson, Stewart, Sumner, 
  and Williamson. 

* Through Saturday night

* 3 to 5 inches of rain today through Saturday night on top of 
  already saturated grounds. 

* Isolated flash flooding is possible with each episode of
  rainfall weekend, and area rivers and streams are going to be on
  the rise. Those who experienced flooding this past week and are
  in this Flood Watch need to pay special attention to rainfall 
  accumulations as flooding is expected to return to those 
  locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
19
868 
WGUS64 KOHX 221132
FFAOHX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
532 AM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

...Widespread Flooding May Develop By Late This Weekend...

.Several episodes of potentially heavy rainfall are expected over
the next several days, which will fall on grounds that have
already been saturated from previous rains. Rainfall totals are
expected to average between three and five inches over the
northwestern half of the Mid-State, to between one and a half and
three inches over the southeast. With grounds already saturated...
and area rivers and stream levels still high from previous
rains...river flooding as well as flooding outside of rivers may
occur today through at least Saturday night especially over north
and west parts of Middle Tennessee.

TNZ005>008-023>027-056>060-222300-
/O.CON.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-
Cheatham-Davidson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Waverly, 
New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Linden, Lobelville, Centerville, 
Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, and Columbia
532 AM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Middle Tennessee, including the following areas, 
  Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, 
  Lewis, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, Robertson, Stewart, Sumner, 
  and Williamson. 

* Through late Saturday night

* 3 to 5 inches of rain today through Saturday night on top of 
  already saturated grounds. 

* Isolated flash flooding is possible with each episode of
  rainfall this weekend, and area rivers and streams are going to
  be on the rise. Those who experienced flooding this past week 
  and are in this Flood Watch need to pay special attention to 
  rainfall accumulations as flooding is expected to return to 
  those locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor latest forecasts and be alert for possible 
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be 
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
560 
WGUS64 KOHX 222057
FFAOHX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
257 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

...Widespread Flooding May Develop By Late This Weekend...

.Several episodes of rainfall are expected over the next several 
days. The potential currently of heaviest rainfall looks to be
on Saturday night. This rainfall will fall on grounds that have 
already been saturated from previous rains. Rainfall totals are 
expected to average between three and five inches across the
watch area, with locally higher amounts approaching 6 inches, 
over the northwestern half of the Mid-State. With grounds already 
saturated, and area rivers and stream levels still high from 
previous rains, river flooding as well as flooding outside of 
rivers may occur through at least Saturday night especially over 
northern and western portions of Middle Tennessee.

TNZ005>008-023>027-056>060-231000-
/O.CON.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-
Cheatham-Davidson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Waverly, 
New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Linden, Lobelville, Centerville, 
Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, and Columbia
257 PM CST Thu Feb 22 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Middle Tennessee, including the following areas, 
  Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, 
  Lewis, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, Robertson, Stewart, Sumner, 
  and Williamson. 

* Through late Saturday night

* 3 to 5 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts approaching
  6 inches, through Saturday night on top of already saturated 
  grounds. 

* Isolated flash flooding is possible with each episode of 
  rainfall through this weekend, and area rivers and streams
  are going to be on the rise. Those who experienced flooding
  this past week and are in this Flood Watch need to pay
  special attention to rainfall accumulations as flooding is
  expected to return to those locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor latest forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
31
750 
WGUS64 KOHX 230917
FFAOHX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
317 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...Widespread Flooding May Occur This Weekend...

.While there is a decreased chance of rain today across most of
Middle Tennessee, a strong low pressure system will sweep through
the mid state Saturday and Saturday night, with additional heavy
rainfall expected. Storm total amounts from today through Saturday
night will range from around 1 inch across the Cumberland Plateau,
to around 2 inches in the Clarksville and Dover areas. This will
fall on ground that is largely saturated, and will drain into
streams and rivers that are already running high from previous 
heavy rainfall. Therefore, localized flash flooding and river 
flooding are possible during and after this next heavy rain event.

TNZ005>008-023>027-056>060-232200-
/O.CON.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-
Cheatham-Davidson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Waverly, 
New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Linden, Lobelville, Centerville, 
Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, and Columbia
317 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Middle Tennessee, including the following areas, 
  Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, 
  Lewis, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, Robertson, Stewart, Sumner, 
  and Williamson. 

* Through Saturday night.

* 1 to 2 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts possible, on
  top of already saturated ground. 

* Isolated flash flooding is possible this weekend, and area
  rivers and streams are going to increase. Those who experienced
  flooding this past week and are in the current Flood Watch are
  urged to pay special attention to rainfall accumulations as 
  flooding is expected to return to those locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor latest forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
796 
WGUS64 KOHX 232148
FFAOHX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
348 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...Widespread Flooding May Occur This Weekend...

.While another round of showers is expected as the evening hours
progress tonight, a strong low pressure system will sweep through
the mid state Saturday and Saturday night, with additional heavy
rainfall expected. Storm total amounts through Saturday night 
will range from around 1 inch across the Cumberland Plateau, to 
around 2 inches in the Clarksville and Dover areas. This will fall
on ground that is largely saturated, and will drain into streams 
and rivers that are already running high from previous heavy 
rainfall. Therefore, localized flash flooding and river flooding 
are possible during and after this next heavy rain event.

TNZ005>008-023>027-056>060-241000-
/O.CON.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-
Cheatham-Davidson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Waverly, 
New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Linden, Lobelville, Centerville, 
Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, and Columbia
348 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Middle Tennessee, including the following areas, 
  Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, 
  Lewis, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, Robertson, Stewart, Sumner, 
  and Williamson. 

* Through late Saturday night

* 1 to 2 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts possible
  especially for locations north of I-40 and west of I-24, on
  top of already saturated ground. 

* Isolated flash flooding is possible this weekend, and area 
  rivers and streams are going to increase. Those who 
  experienced flooding this past week and are in the current 
  Flood Watch are urged to pay special attention to rainfall 
  accumulations as flooding is expected to return to those 
  locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor latest forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
31
454 
WGUS64 KOHX 240546
FFAOHX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1146 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...Widespread Flooding May Occur This Weekend...

.While another round of showers is expected as the evening hours
progress tonight, a strong low pressure system will sweep through
the mid state Saturday and Saturday night, with additional heavy
rainfall expected. Storm total amounts through Saturday night
will range from around 1 inch across the Cumberland Plateau, to
around 2 inches in the Clarksville and Dover areas. This will
fall on ground that is largely saturated, and will drain into
streams and rivers that are already running high from previous
heavy rainfall. Therefore, localized flash flooding and river
flooding are possible during and after this next heavy rain
event.

TNZ005>008-023>027-056>060-241400-
/O.CON.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-
Cheatham-Davidson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Waverly, 
New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Linden, Lobelville, Centerville, 
Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, and Columbia
1146 PM CST Fri Feb 23 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Middle Tennessee, including the following areas, 
  Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, 
  Lewis, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, Robertson, Stewart, Sumner, 
  and Williamson. 

* Through late Saturday night

* 1 to 2 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts possible 
  especially for locations north of I-40 and west of I-24, on 
  top of already saturated ground. 

* Isolated flash flooding is possible this weekend, and area 
  rivers and streams are going to increase. Those who 
  experienced flooding this past week and are in the current 
  Flood Watch are urged to pay special attention to rainfall 
  accumulations as flooding is expected to return to those 
  locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor latest forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
519 
WGUS64 KOHX 240805
FFAOHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
205 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...Widespread Flooding May Occur This Weekend...

.A strong low pressure system will sweep through the mid state
Saturday night, with additional heavy rainfall expected. 
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are forecast during 
the next 24 hours. This will fall on ground that is largely 
saturated, and will drain into streams and rivers that are already
running high from previous heavy rainfall. Therefore, localized 
flash flooding and river flooding are possible during and after 
this next heavy rain event.

TNZ009-010-028>031-062-242200-
/O.EXA.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Macon-Clay-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson-Rutherford-
Including the cities of Lafayette, Celina, Lebanon, Mount Juliet,
Hartsville, Carthage, South Carthage, Gordonsville, Gainesboro, 
Murfreesboro, Smyrna, and La Vergne
205 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Nashville has expanded the

* Flood Watch to include a portion of Middle Tennessee, 
  including the following areas, Clay, Jackson, Macon, 
  Rutherford, Smith, Trousdale, and Wilson. 

* Through late tonight

* 1 to 2 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts possible, on 
  top of already saturated ground. 

* Isolated flash flooding is possible this weekend, and area 
  rivers and streams are going to increase. Those who 
  experienced flooding this past week and are in the current 
  Flood Watch are urged to pay special attention to rainfall 
  accumulations as flooding is expected to return to those 
  locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor latest forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

TNZ005>008-023>027-056>060-242200-
/O.CON.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson-
Cheatham-Davidson-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Waverly, 
New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Linden, Lobelville, Centerville, 
Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, and Columbia
205 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Middle Tennessee, including the following areas, 
  Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, Humphreys, 
  Lewis, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, Robertson, Stewart, Sumner, 
  and Williamson. 

* Through late tonight

* 1 to 2 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts possible, on 
  top of already saturated ground. 

* Isolated flash flooding is possible this weekend, and area 
  rivers and streams are going to increase. Those who 
  experienced flooding this past week and are in the current 
  Flood Watch are urged to pay special attention to rainfall 
  accumulations as flooding is expected to return to those 
  locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor latest forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
917 
WGUS64 KOHX 242202
FFAOHX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
402 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...Heavy Rain and Flooding Possible Tonight into Early Sunday...

.A strong low pressure system will move through Middle Tennessee
tonight, with additional heavy rainfall and strong storms expected.
Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected
overnight. This will fall on ground that is pretty saturated, and
will drain into streams and rivers that are already running high
due to previous heavy rainfall. Therefore, localized flash 
flooding and river flooding are possible during and after this 
heavy rain event.

TNZ005>010-023>031-056>060-062-251200-
/O.CON.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Houston-Humphreys-
Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson-Perry-
Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-Rutherford-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Lafayette, Celina, 
Erin, Waverly, New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Lebanon, Mount Juliet, Hartsville, 
Carthage, South Carthage, Gordonsville, Gainesboro, Linden, 
Lobelville, Centerville, Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, 
Columbia, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, and La Vergne
402 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of Middle Tennessee, including the following areas, 
  Cheatham, Clay, Davidson, Dickson, Hickman, Houston, 
  Humphreys, Jackson, Lewis, Macon, Maury, Montgomery, Perry, 
  Robertson, Rutherford, Smith, Stewart, Sumner, Trousdale, 
  Williamson, and Wilson. 

* Through late tonight

* 1 to 2 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts possible, 
  on top of already saturated ground. 

* Isolated flash flooding is possible, and area rivers and 
  streams are going to increase. Those who experienced flooding 
  this past week and are in the current Flood Watch are urged to 
  pay special attention to rainfall accumulations as flooding is 
  expected to return to those locations. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts.

You should monitor latest forecasts and be alert for possible
Flood Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be
prepared to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$
572 
WGUS64 KOHX 250855
FFAOHX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Nashville TN
255 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

...Flooding Rains Come to an End, for Now...

.While flooding rains have come to an end this morning and no
flood threat exists for now, additional rainfall this week could 
lead to localized flooding and further rises on area rivers and 
streams. Please stay weather aware as we close in on mid-week.

TNZ005>010-023>031-056>060-062-251000-
/O.CAN.KOHX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-180225T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Houston-Humphreys-
Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson-Perry-
Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-Rutherford-
Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, 
Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Lafayette, Celina, 
Erin, Waverly, New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, 
Kingston Springs, Nashville, Lebanon, Mount Juliet, Hartsville, 
Carthage, South Carthage, Gordonsville, Gainesboro, Linden, 
Lobelville, Centerville, Hohenwald, Franklin, Brentwood, 
Columbia, Murfreesboro, Smyrna, and La Vergne
255 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch for a portion of Middle Tennessee has been
cancelled. 

$$

27

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Feb 20, 12:11 PM CST, 2 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 20, 12:11 PM CST, 2 hours 21 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1211 PM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Will be updating the suite of forecast products to remove any
morning wording shortly after noontime. Will tweak afternoon
wx elements to go along with current conditions and consensus
of short range model solutions. Will also tweak hrly temp,
dewpoint, and wind speed/direction grids.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

You'll be greeted by unusually warm temperatures when you head out
the door this morning. Warm southerly winds kept temperatures in
the 60s in most areas overnight, and at 4 am, the temperature at
both Nashville and Clarksville was 68 degrees!

Still looks like more record-breaking warmth today, and it won't
take a lot of sunshine to do it. When we start the day, we'll only
be about 10 degrees away from our record high of 78 degrees at
Nashville, set back in 2014. In fact, we're still expecting a high
of 81 degrees this afternoon at Nashville. South winds will be
gusty all day, with some gusts between 25 and 30 mph.

More warm lows are expected for tonight, ranging mostly in the
lower and middle 60s. However, a cold front will be working its
way into our extreme northwestern counties by 12z Wednesday,
dropping temperatures into the middle 50s at Clarksville by 15z,
and down to 52 by 18z. Meanwhile, the southeastern half of the
Mid-State will be warm enough, long enough, to allow for highs to
top out tomorrow in the lower to middle 70s. The cold front
should pass by Nashville around noon, sending temperatures on a
slow downward trend thereafter.

The cold front goes stationary over our southeastern areas
Wednesday night, and then starts to lift back north as a warm
front by late night and on Thursday, bringing southerly winds
back to all but our northwestern areas by Thursday afternoon.

The slow movement of the front in Middle Tennessee Wednesday night
and Thursday, allows locally heavy rainfall amounts to accumulate
on Wednesday and Wednesday night. Totals during that period will
range between one and two inches over northwestern and north-
central areas, with amounts below an inch elsewhere.

The rain on Wednesday and Wednesday night will essentially "prime
the pump" for even more rainfall late-week and over the weekend.
The bulk of the rain over the next five days will fall between 12z
Wednesday and 12z Sunday, when areas north of a Lobelville-to-
Portland line will line pick up between 3 and 5 inches, with some
locally higher amounts possible. Models differ on the rain totals
for Saturday afternoon and night, and have trended our grids toward
a compromise. Thus, it's certainly possible, if some of the "wetter"
models verify, some spots over our northwest could see more than 6
inches of rainfall during the upcoming 5-day period.

The rain finally pushes east of our area during the daylight hours
on Sunday, with little or no rain expected for the remainder of
the forecast period, between Sunday and next Tuesday.

Temperatures for the extended periods remain above normal, though
probably not quite as toasty as what we're experiencing now.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

CKV/BNA/MQY/CSV...For CKV/BNA/MQY will go with the trend of any
current VFR ceiling thresholds slowly progressing to MVFR
thresholds by 21/18Z. For CSV, will go with a continuance of MVFR
ceilings thru 21/18Z. Sfc pressure gradient should support sly
sustained winds 10-14kts gusting up to 22kts at times thru
21/18Z. Because of overall slow progression of moisture ahead of
approaching sfc frontal system, think light rainfall at best
expected near end of valid terminal forecast period. VFR vsbys
expected to continue thru 21/18Z.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......31
AVIATION........31
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 20, 5:08 AM CST, 9 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
508 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-211115-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-
Jackson-Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-
Maury-Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-
Coffee-Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
508 AM CST Tue Feb 20 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Middle
Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Multiple rounds of rainfall the next several days will lead to
rises on area rivers, lakes and streams, as well as localized
flooding. The first round will be Wednesday night and Thursday,
and a second event this weekend. Total rainfall amounts from
Wednesday though Saturday night range from 1 to 2 inches along
the Cumberland Plateau to 4 to 6 inches around Clarksville, Dover
and Waverly.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may become necessary Wednesday night and
Thursday.

Nearby

Flood Watches in Tennessee, 2018Every flood watch in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.