Small Craft Advisory 241, NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
159 PM PST Sun Dec 2 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Dry and seasonably cool weather is forecast through
Monday. The next storm system is forecast to track to the
southeast offshore during the middle part of the week. This
system will likely bring periods of rain to our region from
Tuesday through early Thursday. Dry weather is expected to return
by Friday, with additional rainfall expected next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...As of 1:59 PM PST Sunday...Skies are clear across
the district, except for some cumulus cloud buildups along the
ridge lines. Temperatures are running cooler than yesterday at
this time with readings in the 50s. Chilly temperatures are
expected tonight, especially in inland valley locations where
lower to mid 30s will be common. Lows Tuesday morning will be more
mild as increasing clouds are expected out ahead of the next
storm system.

This storm system is still on track to affect the area late
Tuesday into Wednesday. Latest model guidance still keeps the core
of the associated upper low offshore, with the bulk of the
expected precipitation expected to fall from Big Sur southward.
Rain is forecast to begin along the coast late Tuesday night, and
spread inland as the low nears, and then moves south along the
coast. Showers to taper off on Thursday when the system finally
pushes inland over Southern California. Storm-total rainfall
estimates from late Tuesday through early Thursday give up to 3
inches in the Santa Lucias, but roughly 0.5 to 1.5 inches
elsewhere.

Friday is expected to be dry. Then a weak system moving across
Northern California could bring shower chances to the area on
Saturday. A stronger system is now forecast to come in on Sunday
and bring wet and unsettled conditions to the state.

&&

.AVIATION...As of 9:39 AM PST Sunday...For 18Z TAFs. Mainly clear
skies and light winds will prevail through the period with
increasing high clouds anticipated overnight ahead of the next in
the series of approaching cold fronts.

Vicinity of KSFO...VFR through the period with increasing high
clouds. Generally light winds through the period.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to KSFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR through the period with increasing high
clouds. Generally light winds through the period.

&&

.MARINE...as of 9:00 AM PST Sunday...Northerly winds and swell
will continue to diminish through the day today. Winds will turn
southerly overnight ahead of an approaching frontal system that
will move through the region on Tuesday. These southerly winds
will being increase Monday night and persist through Tuesday
night. As the system exits the waters Thursday, winds will shift
back out of the northwest.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
     .Tngt...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC FORECAST: Sims
AVIATION: CW
MARINE: CW

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