Alert archive / California / Frost Advisories in 2018
Frost Advisory 1, NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued this frost advisory at Feb 18, 2018, 4:44 PM PST for 8 counties in California. It took effect at Feb 20, 2018, 12:00 AM PST. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 18, 2018, 4:44 PM PST (00:44 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 20, 2018, 12:00 AM PST
- Expired
- Feb 20, 2018, 9:00 AM PST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA
Counties Alameda County, CA, Contra Costa County, CA, Marin County, CA, Monterey County, CA, San Mateo County, CA, Santa Clara County, CA, Santa Cruz County, CA, Sonoma County, CA
The radar
The San Francisco radar (KMUX), 44 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Oakland, CA (KOAK), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 26 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1155 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -24 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 77 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
642 WWUS76 KMTR 190044 NPWMTR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 444 PM PST Sun Feb 18 2018 ...WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND AREAS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING... ...WIDESPREAD FROST LIKELY IN MANY COASTAL AREAS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING... .A strong cold moved through the region on Sunday morning and is producing much cooler and blustery conditions. There will be enough wind on Sunday night to keep temperatures from falling below freezing in most areas. However, winds are expected to diminish by Monday night and this will set the stage for widespread freezing temperatures across inland areas from late Monday night into Tuesday morning. In addition, frost is likely in coastal areas as temperatures drop to near freezing. CAZ506-507-510>513-516>518-528-191400- /O.CON.KMTR.FZ.W.0001.180220T0800Z-180220T1700Z/ North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- Santa Cruz Mountains-Santa Clara Valley Including San Jose- Southern Salinas Valley/Arroyo Seco and Lake San Antonio- Santa Lucia Mountains and Los Padres National Forest- Mountains Of San Benito County And Interior Monterey County Including Pinnacles National Park- Northern Salinas Valley/Hollister Valley and Carmel Valley- Including the cities of Santa Rosa, South Santa Rosa, Napa, San Rafael, Petaluma, Novato, Rohnert Park, Angwin, Lagunitas-Forest Knolls, Woodacre, Concord, Antioch, Livermore, Walnut Creek, Pleasanton, Pittsburg, San Ramon, Blackhawk, Scotts Valley, Boulder Creek, Day Valley, San Jose, Greenfield, King City, and Salinas 444 PM PST Sun Feb 18 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO 9 AM PST TUESDAY... A Freeze Warning remains in effect from midnight Monday night to 9 AM PST Tuesday. * LOCATION...All inland areas of the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area, including the valleys and hills. * TEMPERATURES...Widespread overnight lows from the mid 20s to lower 30s. * TIMING...Several hours of subfreezing temperatures possible from late Monday night through mid morning Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures can damage or kill plants that are sensitive to cold. Please check on the elderly and make sure animals have a warm shelter. A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. && $$ CAZ505-508-509-529-530-191400- /O.NEW.KMTR.FR.Y.0001.180220T0800Z-180220T1700Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- San Francisco Bay Shoreline-San Francisco Peninsula Coast- Northern Monterey Bay-Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast- Including the cities of Tamalpais-Homestead, Sausalito, Oakland, Fremont, Hayward, Daly City, Berkeley, Pacifica, Santa Cruz, Watsonville, Live Oak, Seaside, Monterey, and Marina 444 PM PST Sun Feb 18 2018 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO 9 AM PST TUESDAY... The National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area has issued a Frost Advisory, which is in effect from midnight Monday night to 9 AM PST Tuesday. * LOCATION...All coastal and bayside areas of the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area, except the city of San Francisco. * TEMPERATURES...Widespread overnight lows from 30 to 35. * TIMING...Several hours of temperatures near freezing from late Monday night through mid morning Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Frost can damage outdoor vegetation that is very sensitive to cold. Please check on the elderly and make sure animals have a warm shelter. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Frost Advisory means that frost is possible. Sensitive outdoor plants may be damaged if left uncovered. && $$
5 follow-up statements
644 WWUS76 KMTR 191150 NPWMTR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 350 AM PST Mon Feb 19 2018 ...WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND AREAS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING... ...WIDESPREAD FROST LIKELY IN MANY COASTAL AREAS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING... .A very cold air mass continues to settle into the region in wake of Sunday's cold frontal passage. Wind speeds are expected to diminish by late Monday night and will set the stage for widespread freezing temperatures across inland areas from late tonight into Tuesday morning. In addition, frost is likely in coastal areas as temperatures drop to near freezing. CAZ506-507-510>513-516>518-528-192200- /O.CON.KMTR.FZ.W.0001.180220T0800Z-180220T1700Z/ North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- Santa Cruz Mountains-Santa Clara Valley Including San Jose- Southern Salinas Valley/Arroyo Seco and Lake San Antonio- Santa Lucia Mountains and Los Padres National Forest- Mountains Of San Benito County And Interior Monterey County Including Pinnacles National Park- Northern Salinas Valley/Hollister Valley and Carmel Valley- Including the cities of Santa Rosa, South Santa Rosa, Napa, San Rafael, Petaluma, Novato, Rohnert Park, Angwin, Lagunitas-Forest Knolls, Woodacre, Concord, Antioch, Livermore, Walnut Creek, Pleasanton, Pittsburg, San Ramon, Blackhawk, Scotts Valley, Boulder Creek, Day Valley, San Jose, Greenfield, King City, and Salinas 350 AM PST Mon Feb 19 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM PST TUESDAY... A Freeze Warning remains in effect from midnight tonight to 9 AM PST Tuesday. * LOCATION...All inland areas of the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area, including the valleys and hills. * TEMPERATURES...Widespread overnight lows from the mid 20s to lower 30s. * TIMING...Several hours of subfreezing temperatures possible from late Monday night through mid morning Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures can damage or kill plants that are sensitive to cold. Please check on the elderly and make sure animals have a warm shelter. A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. && $$ CAZ505-508-509-529-530-192200- /O.CON.KMTR.FR.Y.0001.180220T0800Z-180220T1700Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- San Francisco Bay Shoreline-San Francisco Peninsula Coast- Northern Monterey Bay-Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast- Including the cities of Tamalpais-Homestead, Sausalito, Oakland, Fremont, Hayward, Daly City, Berkeley, Pacifica, Santa Cruz, Watsonville, Live Oak, Seaside, Monterey, and Marina 350 AM PST Mon Feb 19 2018 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM PST TUESDAY... A Frost Advisory remains in effect from midnight tonight to 9 AM PST Tuesday. * LOCATION...All coastal and bayside areas of the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area, except the city of San Francisco. * TEMPERATURES...Widespread overnight lows from 30 to 35. * TIMING...Several hours of temperatures near freezing from late Monday night through mid morning Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Frost can damage outdoor vegetation that is very sensitive to cold. Please check on the elderly and make sure animals have a warm shelter. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Frost Advisory means that frost is possible. Sensitive outdoor plants may be damaged if left uncovered. && $$
327 WWUS76 KMTR 192137 NPWMTR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 137 PM PST Mon Feb 19 2018 ...WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND AREAS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING... ...WIDESPREAD FROST LIKELY IN MANY COASTAL AREAS LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING... .Clear skies, diminishing winds and a very cold airmass mass will lead to widespread freezing temperatures across inland areas from late tonight into Tuesday morning. In addition, frost is likely in coastal areas as temperatures drop to near freezing. CAZ506-507-510>513-516>518-528-200600- /O.CON.KMTR.FZ.W.0001.180220T0800Z-180220T1700Z/ North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- Santa Cruz Mountains-Santa Clara Valley Including San Jose- Southern Salinas Valley/Arroyo Seco and Lake San Antonio- Santa Lucia Mountains and Los Padres National Forest- Mountains Of San Benito County And Interior Monterey County Including Pinnacles National Park- Northern Salinas Valley/Hollister Valley and Carmel Valley- Including the cities of Santa Rosa, South Santa Rosa, Napa, San Rafael, Petaluma, Novato, Rohnert Park, Angwin, Lagunitas-Forest Knolls, Woodacre, Concord, Antioch, Livermore, Walnut Creek, Pleasanton, Pittsburg, San Ramon, Blackhawk, Scotts Valley, Boulder Creek, Day Valley, San Jose, Greenfield, King City, and Salinas 137 PM PST Mon Feb 19 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM PST TUESDAY... a Freeze Warning remains in effect from midnight tonight to 9 AM PST Tuesday. * LOCATION...All inland areas of the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area, including the valleys and hills. * TEMPERATURES...Widespread overnight lows from the mid 20s to lower 30s. * TIMING...Several hours of subfreezing temperatures possible from late Monday night through mid morning Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures can damage or kill plants that are sensitive to cold. Please check on the elderly and make sure animals have a warm shelter. A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. && $$ CAZ505-508-509-529-530-200600- /O.CON.KMTR.FR.Y.0001.180220T0800Z-180220T1700Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- San Francisco Bay Shoreline-San Francisco Peninsula Coast- Northern Monterey Bay-Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast- Including the cities of Tamalpais-Homestead, Sausalito, Oakland, Fremont, Hayward, Daly City, Berkeley, Pacifica, Santa Cruz, Watsonville, Live Oak, Seaside, Monterey, and Marina 137 PM PST Mon Feb 19 2018 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM PST TUESDAY... a Frost Advisory remains in effect from midnight tonight to 9 AM PST Tuesday. * LOCATION...All coastal and bayside areas of the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area, except the city of San Francisco. * TEMPERATURES...Widespread overnight lows from 30 to 35. * TIMING...Several hours of temperatures near freezing from late Monday night through mid morning Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Frost can damage outdoor vegetation that is very sensitive to cold. Please check on the elderly and make sure animals have a warm shelter. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Frost Advisory means that frost is possible. Sensitive outdoor plants may be damaged if left uncovered. && $$
506 WWUS76 KMTR 200505 NPWMTR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 905 PM PST Mon Feb 19 2018 ...WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND AREAS LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING... ...WIDESPREAD FROST LIKELY IN MANY COASTAL AREAS LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING... .Clear skies, diminishing winds and a very cold airmass mass will lead to widespread freezing temperatures across inland areas from late tonight into Tuesday morning. In addition, frost is likely in coastal areas as temperatures drop to near freezing. CAZ506-507-510>513-516>518-528-201700- /O.CON.KMTR.FZ.W.0001.180220T0800Z-180220T1700Z/ North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- Santa Cruz Mountains-Santa Clara Valley Including San Jose- Southern Salinas Valley/Arroyo Seco and Lake San Antonio- Santa Lucia Mountains and Los Padres National Forest- Mountains Of San Benito County And Interior Monterey County Including Pinnacles National Park- Northern Salinas Valley/Hollister Valley and Carmel Valley- Including the cities of Santa Rosa, South Santa Rosa, Napa, San Rafael, Petaluma, Novato, Rohnert Park, Angwin, Lagunitas-Forest Knolls, Woodacre, Concord, Antioch, Livermore, Walnut Creek, Pleasanton, Pittsburg, San Ramon, Blackhawk, Scotts Valley, Boulder Creek, Day Valley, San Jose, Greenfield, King City, and Salinas 905 PM PST Mon Feb 19 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST TUESDAY... A Freeze Warning remains in effect until 9 AM PST Tuesday. * LOCATION...All inland areas of the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area, including the valleys and hills. * TEMPERATURES...Widespread overnight lows from the mid 20s to lower 30s. * TIMING...Several hours of subfreezing temperatures possible from late Monday night through mid morning Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures can damage or kill plants that are sensitive to cold. Please check on the elderly and make sure animals have a warm shelter. A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. && $$ CAZ505-508-509-529-530-201700- /O.CON.KMTR.FR.Y.0001.180220T0800Z-180220T1700Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- San Francisco Bay Shoreline-San Francisco Peninsula Coast- Northern Monterey Bay-Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast- Including the cities of Tamalpais-Homestead, Sausalito, Oakland, Fremont, Hayward, Daly City, Berkeley, Pacifica, Santa Cruz, Watsonville, Live Oak, Seaside, Monterey, and Marina 905 PM PST Mon Feb 19 2018 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST TUESDAY... A Frost Advisory remains in effect until 9 AM PST Tuesday. * LOCATION...All coastal and bayside areas of the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area, except the city of San Francisco. * TEMPERATURES...Widespread overnight lows from 30 to 35. * TIMING...Several hours of temperatures near freezing from late Monday night through mid morning Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Frost can damage outdoor vegetation that is very sensitive to cold. Please check on the elderly and make sure animals have a warm shelter. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Frost Advisory means that frost is possible. Sensitive outdoor plants may be damaged if left uncovered. && $$
653 WWUS76 KMTR 201057 NPWMTR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 257 AM PST Tue Feb 20 2018 ...WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND AREAS THIS MORNING... ...WIDESPREAD FROST LIKELY IN MANY COASTAL AREAS THIS MORNING... .Clear skies, diminishing winds and a very cold airmass mass will lead to widespread freezing temperatures across inland areas through this morning. In addition, frost is likely in coastal areas as temperatures drop to near freezing. CAZ506-507-510>513-516>518-528-201700- /O.CON.KMTR.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180220T1700Z/ North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- Santa Cruz Mountains-Santa Clara Valley Including San Jose- Southern Salinas Valley/Arroyo Seco and Lake San Antonio- Santa Lucia Mountains and Los Padres National Forest- Mountains Of San Benito County And Interior Monterey County Including Pinnacles National Park- Northern Salinas Valley/Hollister Valley and Carmel Valley- Including the cities of Santa Rosa, South Santa Rosa, Napa, San Rafael, Petaluma, Novato, Rohnert Park, Angwin, Lagunitas-Forest Knolls, Woodacre, Concord, Antioch, Livermore, Walnut Creek, Pleasanton, Pittsburg, San Ramon, Blackhawk, Scotts Valley, Boulder Creek, Day Valley, San Jose, Greenfield, King City, and Salinas 257 AM PST Tue Feb 20 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING... A Freeze Warning remains in effect until 9 AM PST this morning. * LOCATION...All inland areas of the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area, including the valleys and hills. * TEMPERATURES...Widespread overnight lows from the mid 20s to lower 30s. * TIMING...Several hours of subfreezing temperatures possible from late Monday night through mid morning Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Freezing temperatures can damage or kill plants that are sensitive to cold. Please check on the elderly and make sure animals have a warm shelter. A Freeze Warning means sub-freezing temperatures are imminent or highly likely. These conditions will kill crops and other sensitive vegetation. && $$ CAZ505-508-509-529-530-201700- /O.CON.KMTR.FR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180220T1700Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- San Francisco Bay Shoreline-San Francisco Peninsula Coast- Northern Monterey Bay-Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast- Including the cities of Tamalpais-Homestead, Sausalito, Oakland, Fremont, Hayward, Daly City, Berkeley, Pacifica, Santa Cruz, Watsonville, Live Oak, Seaside, Monterey, and Marina 257 AM PST Tue Feb 20 2018 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM PST THIS MORNING... A Frost Advisory remains in effect until 9 AM PST this morning. * LOCATION...All coastal and bayside areas of the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area, except the city of San Francisco. * TEMPERATURES...Widespread overnight lows from 30 to 35. * TIMING...Several hours of temperatures near freezing from late Monday night through mid morning Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Frost can damage outdoor vegetation that is very sensitive to cold. Please check on the elderly and make sure animals have a warm shelter. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Frost Advisory means that frost is possible. Sensitive outdoor plants may be damaged if left uncovered. && $$
442 WWUS76 KMTR 201707 NPWMTR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 907 AM PST Tue Feb 20 2018 CAZ506-507-510>513-516>518-528-201815- /O.EXP.KMTR.FZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180220T1700Z/ North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- Santa Cruz Mountains-Santa Clara Valley Including San Jose- Southern Salinas Valley/Arroyo Seco and Lake San Antonio- Santa Lucia Mountains and Los Padres National Forest- Mountains Of San Benito County And Interior Monterey County Including Pinnacles National Park- Northern Salinas Valley/Hollister Valley and Carmel Valley- Including the cities of Santa Rosa, South Santa Rosa, Napa, San Rafael, Petaluma, Novato, Rohnert Park, Angwin, Lagunitas-Forest Knolls, Woodacre, Concord, Antioch, Livermore, Walnut Creek, Pleasanton, Pittsburg, San Ramon, Blackhawk, Scotts Valley, Boulder Creek, Day Valley, San Jose, Greenfield, King City, and Salinas 907 AM PST Tue Feb 20 2018 ...FREEZE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... The Freeze Warning is no longer in effect. $$ CAZ505-508-509-529-530-201815- /O.EXP.KMTR.FR.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180220T1700Z/ Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- San Francisco Bay Shoreline-San Francisco Peninsula Coast- Northern Monterey Bay-Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast- Including the cities of Tamalpais-Homestead, Sausalito, Oakland, Fremont, Hayward, Daly City, Berkeley, Pacifica, Santa Cruz, Watsonville, Live Oak, Seaside, Monterey, and Marina 907 AM PST Tue Feb 20 2018 ...FROST ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... The Frost Advisory is no longer in effect. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this frost advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this frost advisory went out at Feb 18, 2:19 PM PST, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 2:19 PM PST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
219 PM PST Sun Feb 18 2018
.SYNOPSIS...Blustery and much colder weather conditions have
developed across the region today in wake of a strong frontal
passage. Post frontal shower will be possible over the Pacific and
along the coast late tonight into Monday morning with snow levels
dropping to or below 1,000 feet. Widespread freezing temperatures
are then expected for inland areas once winds subside Monday
night into Tuesday morning. Cool and unsettled weather is expected
to persist through the end of next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...as of 2:15 PM PST Sunday...A significant change in
the weather pattern is in the air, with mostly cloudy to overcast
skies and higher relative humidity, much cooler temperatures (5 to
15 degrees cooler than this time yesterday), gusty northwest
winds (peak gusts so far today 55mph at Altamont Pass, 51mph at
Mount Diablo), a decreasing pressure tend, and some light
precipitation (generally less than 0.10") earlier today. This
sudden shift is due to a relatively dry but very cold 521dm 500mb
upper low descending into California from western Canada. While
the parent upper low remains situated over Washington state early
this afternoon, the child surface cold front is sliding southward
across the area today and is currently passing over the Monterey
Bay/Big Sur region -- after already passing through the San
Francisco Bay Area this morning.
In the wake of this front, much colder temperatures are
anticipated from tonight and through the coming days. Monday
night/Tuesday morning is currently on track to be the coldest
period, with record low temperatures forecast for many areas
including downtown San Francisco (38, a record going back to
1897). A freeze warning is currently in effect for tonight from
midnight to 9am for all inland areas (excluding the shorelines) of
the San Francisco Bay area and Monterey Bay area. Please be sure
to prepare your pipes, cover your plants, bring in your pets, and
check to make sure your extended family have enough warmth
overnight.
In addition to the cold temperatures, snow levels are likely to
drop to 1000 feet or lower when the coldest post frontal air mass
surges into our area later tonight. Latest model guidance suggest
light snow accumulations are possible over the highest elevations
across the area, but primarily over the Santa Cruz mountains,
particularly along the Skyline corridor, and over the majority of
the Big Sur mountains. Accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are
possible in the Santa Cruz mountains and 4 to 8 inches in the Big
Sur mountains, each locally higher with heavier showers. This snow
will be generated by convective snow showers which will create
spotty accumulation amounts, with locally higher and lower amounts
depending on where these showers move. A winter storm advisory is
in effect from midnight tonight to 10am Monday morning for both
of these locations due to the hazardous travel conditions
anticipated from any wintry precip tonight/tomorrow morning.
In addition, 700mb temps <-15 to 16C, 850mb temps <-5 to 7C,
500-1000mb thicknesses 522 to 524dm, a very shallow
nocturnal/marine inversion (0-200 feet), and some model output
indicate a very real possibility that there may be snow in the
air/ mixed with rain as low as 200 feet around the Monterey
Peninsula/Carmel Valley/Big Sur areas.
Overall, this storm system will be relatively dry because the
majority of the air mass is continental in nature. The short-
term forecast models tend to agree that nearly all precipitation
will occur within proximity to the coast as some moister air is
entrained into the system from off the coast. This explains why
other higher elevation areas farther inland are not forecast to
see much (if any) precipitation despite cold temperatures.
Models are showing a pair of weaker shortwave troughs passing
through the area midweek -- which would introduce additional
cloudiness (leading to warmer overnight temperatures/less risk of
widespread freezing Wed morning) and a slight chance of additional
precipitation for the area.
&&
.AVIATION...As of 9:40 AM PST Sunday...An approaching cold front
has resulted in local MVFR cigs along the coast, over the East
Bay and South Bay and into the Salinas Valley. Elsewhere it's VFR.
Skies will trend toward VFR and winds will become gusty from the
west-northwest. The SFO-SAC pressure gradient will reach nearly 4
mb this afternoon, but the ACV-SFO gradient is forecast to remain
nearly flat today into Monday morning then increasing to nearly 6
mb later Monday afternoon.
Vicinity of KSFO...Intermittent MVFR cigs until 19z though latest
satellite imagery shows partial clearing in the vicinity of KSFO.
West winds 20 to 30 knots, with gusts to 36 at times today into
this evening.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to KSFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...A few MVFR cigs this morning becoming VFR.
Gusty west-northwest winds today. Cigs will return this evening
and overnight leading to instability showers of rain possibly snow
toward 12z Monday and thereafter.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Here are record low temperatures and the years they occurred for
Monday through Wednesday this week.
Location Monday Tuesday Wednesday
SF Bay Area
Healdsburg 28 in 1932 22 in 1922 28 in 1929
Santa Rosa 26 in 1932 26 in 1913 26 in 1913
Calistoga 25 in 1918 25 in 2006 25 in 2006
Kentfield 27 in 1932 27 in 1913 29 in 1953
San Rafael 32 in 1990 32 in 2006 33 in 1955
Napa 29 in 1990 28 in 1920 29 in 1955
San Francisco 38 in 1897 38 in 1897 36 in 1890
SFO Airport 36 in 1990 37 in 2011 34 in 1955
Half Moon Bay 34 in 1954 32 in 2013 31 in 2006
Oakland Airport 35 in 1955 34 in 2006 33 in 1955
Richmond 35 in 1990 35 in 1990 35 in 1981
Livermore 27 in 1956 28 in 1942 27 in 1955
Moffett Field 35 in 1949 34 in 2006 32 in 1955
San Jose 32 in 1990 30 in 1897 25 in 1897
Gilroy 27 in 1964 30 in 1990 31 in 1976
Monterey Bay Area
Santa Cruz 30 in 1990 29 in 1913 30 in 1955
Salinas 29 in 1990 31 in 2006 31 in 1970
Salinas Airport 29 in 1933 28 in 1953 30 in 1953
Monterey 35 in 1990 35 in 2006 36 in 1952
King City 25 in 1955 22 in 1953 23 in 1953
&&
.MARINE...as of 8:41 AM PST Sunday...Gusty northerly winds will
push a cold front southward over the California coastal waters and
bays this morning. Winds will increase by tonight resulting in
gale conditions, especially over the outer waters. Gusty winds
will generate fresh swell and steep wind waves. Another cold front
will swiftly move southward over the coastal waters late
Wednesday night reinforcing gusty winds and hazardous conditions.
&&
.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.Tngt...Winter Weather Advisory...CAZ512-517
SCA...SF Bay
SCA...Mry Bay
SCA...Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm
SCA...Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm
SCA...Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm
SCA...Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm
SCA...Pt Arena to Pigeon Pt 10-60 nm until 12 AM
SCA...Pigeon Pt to Pt Piedras Blancas 10-60 nm until 12 AM
GLW...Pt Arena to Pigeon Pt 10-60 nm from 12 AM
GLW...Pigeon Pt to Pt Piedras Blancas 10-60 nm from 12 AM
&&
PUBLIC FORECAST: DRP
AVIATION: Sims
MARINE: Sims
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www.youtube.com/nwsbayareaHazardous weather outlook, Feb 17, 9:20 PM PST, 19 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service San Francisco CA 920 PM PST Sat Feb 17 2018 CAZ006-505>513-516>518-528>530-181400- San Francisco- Coastal North Bay Including Point Reyes National Seashore- North Bay Interior Valleys-North Bay Mountains- San Francisco Bay Shoreline-San Francisco Peninsula Coast- East Bay Interior Valleys-East Bay Hills and the Diablo Range- Santa Cruz Mountains-Santa Clara Valley Including San Jose- Southern Salinas Valley/Arroyo Seco and Lake San Antonio- Santa Lucia Mountains and Los Padres National Forest- Mountains Of San Benito County And Interior Monterey County Including Pinnacles National Park- Northern Salinas Valley/Hollister Valley and Carmel Valley- Northern Monterey Bay-Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast- 920 PM PST Sat Feb 17 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterey Bay Area. .DAY ONE...Saturday night Mild weather conditions will continue with seasonal temperatures overnight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday A strong cold front is forecast to sweep across the region on Sunday morning. This cold front will potentially result in the following weather hazards: * Locally strong and gusty west to northwest winds from Sunday afternoon through Monday. The strongest winds are expected near the coast where wind gusts up to 40 mph are possible. At this time winds are expected to remain just below wind advisory levels except perhaps at a few isolated windy spots along the coast. * Most forecast models indicate the potential for post-frontal showers across portions of the region from Sunday night into Monday, mainly along coastal areas and in the Santa Cruz Mountains and Santa Lucia Mountains. Snow levels are forecast to drop as low as 1,500 feet on Sunday night and as low as 1,000 feet on Monday, or perhaps even lower. The greatest potential for snow accumulation will be in the Santa Cruz Mountains where 1 to 3 inches of snow accumulation is possible, and in the Santa Lucia Mountains of northwest Monterey County where 2 to 6 inches of snowfall will be possible. Winter Weather Advisories may be issued once forecast confidence increases regarding snow amounts. All other mountain areas including the North Bay Mountains and East Bay Hills are expected to see no precipitation or just a dusting of snow. * In wake of the frontal passage, one of the coldest air masses in recent years will settle in over the region. As winds subside Monday night into Tuesday morning, overnight temperatures will likely fall below freezing across most inland areas and potentially even in some coastal locations. A Freeze Watch is in effect for all inland portions of the San Francisco and Monterey Bay Areas late Monday night into Tuesday morning. Earlier it appeared that Tuesday night could be as cold, or even colder, as Monday night. However, recent models indicate that cloud cover will increase on Tuesday night ahead of another incoming weather system. That cloud cover should result in moderating temperatures on Tuesday night, except perhaps for the far southern portion of the region.
The office that day
Everything else NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 9:21 PM PST | Small Craft Advisory for Rough Bar | MTR | 23 hr |
Nearby
Frost Advisories in California, 2018Every frost advisory in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.