Severe Thunderstorm Warning 81, NWS Morristown, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
308 PM EDT Sun Jun 24 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight and Monday)...After ongoing convection
diminishes later early this evening expect a bit of a lull in the
action, but a mid level short wave is forecast to be moving into
the area late tonight into Monday. This is expected to bring
another round of numerous showers and thunderstorms for the latter
part of the night into Monday. Some of these storms may be strong
to severe with damaging winds the primary threat, so will keep
mention of this in the HWO. With the expected increase in precip
and cloud cover Monday especially north/central, will keep high
temperatures lower than today.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)...Afternoon convection
will linger into at least the first half of the Monday night
period. Should ease from west to east as the evening progresses.
Tuesday the upper ridge remains weak over the forecast area but
should suppress convection over the majority of the Tennessee
Valley while higher terrain and Plateau areas could see scattered
afternoon storms.

The focus shifts to the upper low/trough over the Mississippi River
Valley on Tuesday night. The atmosphere will remain rather moist and
unsettled over our area during this time period. However, by
Wednesday afternoon, the models have been consistent in having the
southern portion of that trough rather active. More widespread
showers and thunderstorms will likely occur on Wednesday into
the first part of Thursday. Expect diminishing rain chances later
Thursday afternoon.

By Friday the upper ridge should suppress the majority of
convection with the exception of along the frontal boundary which
may get hung up across the far southern third of the forecast area.
Under the influence of the upper high, daytime temperatures will be
summer-like in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Overnight temperatures
will generally be in the 70s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             73  90  72  91 /  30  50  30  20
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  71  86  70  89 /  60  70  40  20
Oak Ridge, TN                       72  86  70  90 /  70  70  40  30
Tri Cities Airport, TN              69  82  66  85 /  60  70  50  30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...None.
VA...None.
&&

LW/AC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
259 PM EDT Sun Jun 24 2018

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-251900-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-NW Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott-Russell-Washington-
259 PM EDT Sun Jun 24 2018 /159 PM CDT Sun Jun 24 2018/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Southwest North
Carolina...East Tennessee and Southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Strong to severe storms will be possible late this afternoon into
tonight. Damaging winds will be the main threat with these
storms. Hail up to quarter size and localized flash flooding will
also be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A few strong to severe storms will also be possible Monday.
Damaging winds will be the main threat with these storms. Hail up
to quarter size will also be possible. Heavy rainfall will also
lead to localized flash flooding especially in areas of poor
drainage.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed at some point today through
Monday.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
416 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

TNZ083>085-100-242100-
Rhea TN-Bradley TN-Meigs TN-McMinn TN-
416 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL RHEA...NORTHEASTERN
BRADLEY...SOUTHWESTERN MEIGS AND MCMINN COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EDT...

At 416 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of Dayton, moving east at 20 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Athens, Dayton, Decatur, Etowah, Charleston, Niota, Calhoun,
Riceville, Hillsview, Clear Water, Big Spring and Dentville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3529 8495 3531 8497 3536 8497 3538 8500
      3549 8500 3553 8451 3528 8450 3527 8452
      3527 8459
TIME...MOT...LOC 2016Z 268DEG 18KT 3539 8490

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
418 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

TNZ081-082-099-242100-
Sequatchie TN-Bledsoe TN-Hamilton TN-
418 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL SEQUATCHIE...SOUTH
CENTRAL BLEDSOE AND NORTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM
EDT/400 PM CDT/...

At 417 PM EDT/317 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near Soddy-Daisy, or 8 miles east of Dunlap, moving east
at 20 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Dunlap, Soddy-Daisy, Sale Creek, Flat Top Mountain, North Chickamauga
Creek Gorge, Mowbray Mountain, Birchwood and Shady Grove.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3525 8538 3542 8537 3545 8510 3544 8511
      3543 8510 3544 8506 3542 8503 3541 8502
      3538 8503 3537 8502 3538 8500 3536 8498
      3525 8496 3521 8499
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 269DEG 13KT 3534 8524

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
420 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

TNZ036-067-069-071-242115-
Anderson TN-Roane TN-Knox TN-NW Blount TN-
420 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR KNOX...SOUTHWESTERN ANDERSON...
NORTHERN BLOUNT AND NORTHEASTERN ROANE COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM EDT...

At 420 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Oak Ridge, moving east at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Knoxville, Oak Ridge, Clinton, Alcoa, Farragut, Oliver Springs,
Louisville, Rockford, Eagleton Village, Halls, Karns, Kimberlin
Heights, Wildwood, Maloneyville, Lake Forest, Mascot, Bearden, Powell
and Seymour.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3586 8422 3590 8428 3588 8428 3589 8431
      3589 8433 3588 8433 3589 8439 3604 8437
      3605 8434 3608 8436 3611 8436 3609 8371
      3592 8375 3589 8379 3583 8377 3577 8378
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 278DEG 20KT 3597 8428

DH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
338 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

TNZ081-098-242130-
Sequatchie TN-Marion TN-
338 PM CDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN SEQUATCHIE AND
MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 337 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Kimball, or 7 miles northwest of Jasper, moving east at 20 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Jasper, South Pittsburg, Whitwell, Kimball, Monteagle, Powells
Crossroads, Orme, Martin Springs, Cartwright, Fiery Gizzard State
Park, Haletown (guild), Griffith Creek, Chimneys State Park, Hicks
Gap State Park, Sequatchie Cave, Foster Falls State Park, New Hope
and Lone Oak.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3522 8587 3524 8585 3524 8582 3522 8577
      3522 8574 3524 8569 3529 8571 3529 8569
      3531 8565 3532 8536 3503 8541 3500 8543
      3499 8546 3499 8586
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 272DEG 16KT 3513 8572

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
447 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

TNZ069-071-073-242145-
Knox TN-NW Blount TN-North Sevier TN-
447 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN KNOX...NORTHERN BLOUNT
AND WEST CENTRAL SEVIER COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM EDT...

At 447 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Farragut, or 9 miles northwest of Alcoa, moving east at 15 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Knoxville, Maryville, Alcoa, Farragut, Louisville, Rockford, Eagleton
Village, Friendsville, Townsend, Walland, Kimberlin Heights,
Wildwood, McMahan, Lake Forest, Bearden, Seymour and Karns.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3578 8417 3581 8417 3583 8420 3598 8416
      3593 8366 3567 8374 3567 8376
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 283DEG 14KT 3588 8410

DH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Morristown TN
449 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

TNZ081-083>085-099-100-242130-
Sequatchie TN-Rhea TN-Bradley TN-Hamilton TN-Meigs TN-McMinn TN-
449 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN RHEA...NORTHERN
BRADLEY...SOUTHEASTERN SEQUATCHIE...SOUTHWESTERN MEIGS...SOUTHWESTERN
MCMINN AND CENTRAL HAMILTON COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM EDT/430 PM CDT/...

At 449 PM EDT/349 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 7 miles southwest of
Decatur to 6 miles west of Soddy-Daisy. Movement was east at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Chattanooga, Cleveland, Dayton, Soddy-Daisy, Signal Mountain, Etowah,
Walden, Lakesite, Charleston, Fairmount, Harrison, Red Bank,
Graysville, Calhoun, Flat Top Mountain, North Chickamauga Creek
Gorge, Hillsview, Big Spring, Middle Valley and Birchwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3536 8537 3539 8528 3536 8523 3543 8518
      3553 8492 3544 8465 3530 8448 3527 8452
      3527 8467 3523 8471 3523 8470 3521 8470
      3512 8539
TIME...MOT...LOC 2049Z 273DEG 11KT 3543 8485 3529 8529