Special Weather Statement, NWS Mobile, AL

Area Forecast Discussion...Corrected
National Weather Service Mobile AL
438 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

.NEAR TERM /Now Through Wednesday/...Tropical storm Gordon continues
to lift northwest with the latest forecast track from the
National Hurricane Center changing little with a landfall over
the Mississippi Gulf Coast this evening. There remains a small
window of opportunity for Gordon to increase to category 1
hurricane strength before landfall. Radar continues to show
rainbands over the coastal waters getting better defined,
spiraling westward and gradually inland as Gordon gains latitude.
There has been a history of brief strong wind gusts in rainbands
passing over observation points. In fact, Buoy 42012 indicated
sustained winds of 40.8 kts (47 mph) and peak gusts to 50.5 kts (58
mph) at 430 PM. We have also received reports of some water run-up
beginning on Dauphin Island. Conditions will continue to deteriorate
going into the evening.

All tropical hazards remain unchanged. The main takeaway
forecasters want to emphasize is that the bulk of the impacts,
strong winds/heavy rains in squalls, coastal flooding/surge, and
the potential of tornadoes will all be a threat tonight in warned
areas, to the east of where Gordon makes landfall. Remember
impacts from landfalling tropical systems can occur well away from
where the center makes landfall. Stay tuned.

Gordon is forecast to be weakening as it lifts northwest across
southwest Mississippi on Wednesday. Even so, there remains a heavy
rain and flooding threat in any detached rainbands during the
day. /10

.SHORT TERM /Wednesday night Through Friday night/...Upper level
ridge over the Mid-Atlantic builds west during the short term.
Lingering deep layer tropical moisture plume stretching southeast
into the western zones from the remnants of Gordon over southwest
Arkansas supports maintaining a likelihood (60%) PoP over the
western zones Thursday. Some of the rains could be locally heavy.
Chance east. Chances of showers and storms trend closer to
seasonal on Friday. /10

.LONG TERM /Saturday Through Tuesday/...Deep layer ridge builds
yet again over the Mid-Atlantic through the course of the medium
range while a trof axis in the higher levels is positioned over
the Plains. Environmental moisture remains sufficient for daily
rain chances to remain near seasonal levels given the westward
passage of mid level impulses on the southern periphery of the
deep ridge to aid in ascent. /10

&&

.MARINE...Impactful weather this period will be tonight. As
Tropical Storm Gordon gains latitude with the center approaching
the MS Gulf coast, marine conditions will deteriorate with high
winds and visibility reducing rains in squalls, elevated waves
over bays/sounds and high seas over the open Gulf waters. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  85  73  88  71  89  71  89 / 100 100  40  60  20  40  20  50
Pensacola   75  84  75  88  74  88  74  88 / 100  90  30  50  20  40  20  40
Destin      76  85  76  88  75  87  74  87 / 100  90  20  40  20  40  30  50
Evergreen   72  86  72  90  71  90  70  90 /  80  90  30  50  20  20  10  40
Waynesboro  71  83  71  86  70  89  69  89 / 100  90  50  60  20  40  10  30
Camden      74  85  73  90  71  91  71  90 /  70  90  30  50  20  20  10  30
Crestview   72  86  71  90  71  89  70  89 /  80  90  20  40  20  40  20  40

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday evening for ALZ052-059-
     261>266.

     Tropical Storm Warning for ALZ261-262.

     Hurricane Warning for ALZ263>266.

     High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for ALZ265-266.

FL...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday evening for FLZ201>204.

     Tropical Storm Warning for FLZ201-202-204-206.

     High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday evening for MSZ067-075-076-
     078-079.

     Tropical Storm Warning for MSZ075-076-078-079.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ634-635-655.

     Hurricane Warning for GMZ630>633-650-670-675.

&&

This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mob

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

ALZ265-266-052200-
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...
...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Hurricane Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Hurricane Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation likely tonight.

ALZ263-264-052200-
Mobile Central-Baldwin Central-
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Hurricane Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Hurricane Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation likely tonight.

ALZ261-262-FLZ201-MSZ075-076-078-079-052200-
Mobile Inland-Baldwin Inland-Escambia Inland-Perry-Greene-Stone-
George-
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Alabama, northwest
Florida and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required tonight.

ALZ051-053>058-060-FLZ205-052200-
Choctaw-Clarke-Wilcox-Monroe-Conecuh-Butler-Crenshaw-Covington-
Okaloosa Inland-
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama,
southwest Alabama and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Brief strong wind gusts possible with the passage of Tropical Storm
Gordon's outer rain bands.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation not expected to be required.

ALZ052-059-FLZ203-MSZ067-052200-
Washington-Escambia-Santa Rosa Inland-Wayne-
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Alabama,
southwest Alabama, northwest Florida and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required tonight.

FLZ202-204-052200-
Escambia Coastal-Santa Rosa Coastal-
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Flash Flood Watch.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required tonight.

FLZ206-052200-
Okaloosa Coastal-
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   High Rip Current Risk.
   Tropical Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required tonight.

GMZ630>633-650-670-675-052200-
Northern Mobile Bay-Southern Mobile Bay-Mississippi Sound-
Perdido Bay-
Coastal waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS out 20 NM-
Waters from Pensacola FL to Pascagoula MS from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL from
20 to 60 NM-
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama
and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Hurricane Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Hurricane Warning.

GMZ634-635-655-052200-
Pensacola Bay System-Western Choctawhatchee Bay-
Coastal waters from Okaloosa Walton County Line FL to Pensacola FL
out 20 NM-
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama
and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/mob (see
Fast Access Product Section) for more information about the
following hazards.

   Tropical Storm Warning.

GMZ636-052200-
Eastern Choctawhatchee Bay-
457 PM CDT Tue Sep 4 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal waters of Alabama
and northwest Florida.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Winds and waves locally higher with the passage of Tropical Storm
Gordon's outer rain bands.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
352 PM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     TROPICAL STORM   15 SSE ROMAR BEACH      30.07N 87.55W
09/04/2018                   GMZ650             AL   BUOY

            BUOY 42012 REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35
            KNOTS (40 MPH) AND GUSTS TO 47 KNOTS (54
            MPH.).

&&

JFB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
500 PM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TROPICAL STORM   15 SSE ROMAR BEACH      30.06N 87.55W
09/04/2018                   GMZ650             AL   BUOY

            BUOY 42012 REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40.8
            KNOTS (47 MPH) AND GUSTS TO 50.5 KNOTS (58
            MPH.).

&&

DRJ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
521 PM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

ALZ057-058-042300-
Butler AL-Crenshaw AL-
521 PM CDT TUE SEP 4 2018

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...BUTLER AND CRENSHAW COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 521 PM CDT, the strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 3 miles southeast of Lapine to 4 miles north of
Rutledge to 3 miles west of Glenwood, and moving west at 35 mph.

Winds gusts of 40 to 50 mph will be possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Greenville, Luverne, Rutledge, Glenwood, Petrey, Highland Home and
Lapine.

LAT...LON 3166 8616 3165 8616 3163 8617 3168 8691
      3196 8689 3196 8641 3203 8641 3204 8640
      3205 8640 3205 8630 3197 8630 3197 8620
      3196 8618 3189 8617 3183 8618 3181 8620
      3177 8620 3167 8615
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 098DEG 31KT 3192 8625 3178 8629 3165 8623