High Surf Advisory 4, NWS Melbourne, FL

820 
WHUS42 KMLB 290758
CFWMLB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
358 AM EDT Thu Mar 29 2018

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-300000-
/O.NEW.KMLB.RP.S.0010.180329T0800Z-180330T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-180329T1400Z/
Southern Brevard County-Indian River-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Northern Brevard County-
358 AM EDT Thu Mar 29 2018

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Melbourne has issued a High Rip
Current Risk, which is in effect through this evening. 

* WAVES AND SURF...Breaking waves in the surf zone will be 5 to 7  
  feet. 

* TIMING...The surf zone will be hazardous due to rough surf and
  life threatening rip currents through this evening. 

* IMPACTS...Heavy breaking waves can knock you down and make you
  susceptible to seaward flowing rip currents. Volusia County
  Ocean Rescue reported 27 water rescues on Wednesday with one 
  person transported to the hospital.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High surf will affect the beaches and produce localized beach
erosion and dangerous swimming conditions.

There is also a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as jetties and
piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards...beach patrol flags and
signs.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

561 
WHUS42 KMLB 291407
CFWMLB

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1007 AM EDT Thu Mar 29 2018

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-300000-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-180329T1400Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.RP.S.0010.000000T0000Z-180330T0000Z/
Southern Brevard County-Indian River-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Northern Brevard County-
1007 AM EDT Thu Mar 29 2018

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

* TIMING...The greatest threat for strong rip currents will be
  early this afternoon due to tidal effects.

* IMPACTS...Even though the High Surf Advisory has expired, rough
  surf conditions will continue. When the rip current risk is 
  high, the surf is dangerous for all levels of swimmers. Volusia 
  County Ocean Rescue reported 27 water rescues on Wednesday with 
  one person transported to the hospital. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

There is a high risk of rip currents.

Rip currents are powerful channels of water flowing quickly away
from shore, which occur most often at low spots or breaks in the
sandbar and in the vicinity of structures such as jetties and
piers. Heed the advice of lifeguards...beach patrol flags and
signs.

Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
409 AM EDT Wed Mar 28 2018

.DISCUSSION...

...Hazardous Beach and Boating Conditions Today...

Today-Tonight...Surface high pressure centered to our east will have
an axis extending across north Florida today then settle closer to
east central Florida late tonight.  This will maintain a mild
onshore wind flow which gradually veers from east/southeast starting
out the day to south/southeast late tonight. Ridging aloft over
the area will make only slow eastward progress through tonight.
This will maintain a strong low level subsidence inversion, so no
appreciable increase in moisture is indicated and we will remain
dry. High temperatures will be near normal in the upper 70s to
lower 80s and overnight lows should be a few degrees above normal
in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

If going to the beaches, the surf zone will be hazardous due to
large breaking waves and rip currents.

Thursday...Upper-level anticyclone gives way to approach of broad
longwave trough, which reaches MS River by late in the day.
Meanwhile, expansive surface high remains offshore Carolina/GA/FL
coast with ridge axis extending across central peninsula. Ridge axis
drops to southern peninsula overnight. Dry pattern continues with
warming trend. Max temps averaging near 5 degrees above climo inland
(mid 80s) to near/slightly above climo along coast.

Friday-Tuesday...Upper trough axis reaches eastern seaboard early
Saturday, with passage of trailing shortwave across north FL late
Sunday. Flow becomes zonal Monday, then weakly anticyclonic Tuesday.
ECMWF has come into much better agreement with GFS timing and
moisture characteristics of associated cold front. Front likely to
drop to northern FL Fri afternoon, bringing scattered showers to the
northern third of CWA, isolated showers central portions, and
remaining dry across the south. Front should slowly progress to the
southern peninsula during Saturday, with highest POPs (30-40
percent) shifting from northern CWA (Fri night) to southern CWA (Sat
and Sat night). Front should then lift back northward toward central
FL Sun as shortwave approaches, with highest rain chances across
central/south areas. Isolated showers may linger Sun night-Mon,
mainly across the south. Building surface high over the western
Atlantic Tue may tap upstream moisture to prolong small shower
chance areawide.

Temps remain above normal Fri in advance of front, then briefly
cooler Sat (several degrees below normal) as front drops south and
considerable cloud cover encompasses region. Warming trend becomes
re-established Sun-Tue as low-mid 80s return (possibly even some
upper 80s inland early next week).

&&

.AVIATION...VFR with a few ceilings at or above FL035, especially
along the coast.

&&

.MARINE...
Today-Tonight...Hazardous conditions for small craft operation will
continue.  Southeast winds will be 10-15 knots, except closer to a
solid 15 knots in the southern waters. A long period northeast
swell will keep sea heights elevated 5-7 feet nearshore and 8-10
feet offshore.

Thursday...SE winds increase to around 15 kt during the day, then
veer south around 10 kt overnight. Long fetch of onshore winds
continues, with seas remaining 8-10 ft away from the immediate coast
and 5-8 ft close to the beaches. High Surf Advisory will continue
through the morning high tide cycle, with Small Craft Advisory for
hazardous seas necessary through the afternoon.

Friday-Sunday...Frontal trough will drop into the northern waters
late in the day, then progress very slowly southward overnight into
Sat morning. Gradient should slacken as boundary approaches,
followed by NW wind shift near 10 kt. NE flow will bridge the front
Sat, becoming 10-15 kt. Winds will then veer E 10 kt Sat night and 5-
10 kt Sun as high pressure zone extends from offshore Mid Atlantic
coast to FL panhandle.  Combined seas will subside significantly, to
3-4 ft nearshore and up to 5 ft offshore Fri, then 2-3 ft nearshore
and up to 4 ft offshore over the weekend. Periods of scattered
showers through the forecast period due to the the nearby lingering
frontal/moisture band.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  78  61  81  64 /   0   0   0  10
MCO  81  61  86  63 /   0   0   0  10
MLB  78  64  80  65 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  77  64  80  64 /   0   0   0  10
LEE  82  61  85  64 /   0   0   0  10
SFB  80  61  84  63 /   0   0   0  10
ORL  80  62  85  64 /   0   0   0  10
FPR  77  63  80  64 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Surf Advisory until 10 AM EDT Thursday for Coastal Volusia
     County-Indian River-Martin-Northern Brevard County-Southern
     Brevard County-St. Lucie.

AM...Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 4 PM EDT Thursday
     for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-
     Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-
     Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
     Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to
     Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to
     Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lascody
LONG TERM....Spratt

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
750 PM EDT Tue Mar 27 2018

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-281000-
Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to Volusia-
Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Volusia-
Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm-
Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Inland Volusia County-
Northern Lake County-Orange-Seminole-Southern Brevard County-
Osceola-Indian River-Okeechobee-St. Lucie-Martin-
Coastal Volusia County-Southern Lake County-
Northern Brevard County-
750 PM EDT Tue Mar 27 2018

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A building long period swell will keep conditions hazardous for
small craft operation tonight with seas of 7 to 8 feet.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
Large swells will keep high seas in place through Thursday. The
swells will also increase the danger for rip currents through
late week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation will not be needed tonight.

Combs/Cristaldi