Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 45, NWS Milwaukee, WI

May 21, 2018Lake County, Illinois; Kenosha County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this river flood warning at May 21, 2018, 1:14 PM CDT for Lake County, Illinois; Kenosha County, Wisconsin. It took effect at May 22, 2018, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2018, 1:14 PM CDT (18:14 UTC)
In effect from
May 22, 2018, 7:00 AM CDT
Expired
May 26, 2018, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Lake County, IL, Kenosha County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Fox River near New Munster (NMSW3). The gauge peaked at 10.95 ft at May 20, 2018, 1:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor810121405/2105/2205/2305/2405/2505/2605/27
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
11 ft
Moderate stage
13 ft
Major stage
14 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05545750, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

263 
WGUS43 KMKX 211814
FLWMKX


Flood Warning
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
114 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

...The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Illinois...Wisconsin...

  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Lake and Kenosha Counties


&& 
ILC097-WIC059-220613-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0045.180522T1200Z-180526T0600Z/
/NMSW3.1.ER.180522T1200Z.180523T1200Z.180526T0000Z.NO/
114 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/sullivan has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At  1:00 PM Monday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...At 11.8 feet...Floodwaters surround a home at the 
  intersection of Highway 50 and Highway W in the Town of Wheatland 
  area. Water is about 8 inches deep over 77th Street in the Town of 
  Wheatland area. Water is in the back yards of some homes in the 
  Village of Salem Lakes area. This level is the 50 percent chance 
  flood meaning there is a 50 percent chance in any given year of the
  river reaching this level.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811
      4245 8827 4255 8825

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Mon  Tue  Wed  Thu
New Munster     11.0  10.0  10.74 01 PM 05/21  10.7 11.5 11.9 11.6

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
New Munster     12.43  10 PM 05/15   -0.22      11.90 07 AM 05/23

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.

New Munster: 6 am-noon  Mon May 21  0.52
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Mon May 21  0.40
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Mon May 21  0.07
New Munster: midn-6 am  Tue May 22  0.02
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
6 follow-up statements
762 
WGUS83 KMKX 212019
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
319 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...Wisconsin...


  Fox River
    near New Munster
    

&& 
ILC097-WIC059-220818-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0045.180522T1200Z-180525T1500Z/
/NMSW3.1.ER.180522T1200Z.180523T1200Z.180525T0900Z.NO/
319 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At 3 PM Monday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to rise above flood stage Tuesday
  morning, crest near 11.6 feet by Wednesday and fall below flood
  stage by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 11.6 feet...Water surrounds a home near the intersection
  of Highway 50 and Highway W in the Town of Wheatland. Water is in
  the back yards of some homes in the Village of Salem Lakes. 
  Floodwaters are about 6 inches deep over 77th Street in the Town of
  Wheatland.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811 4245 8827 4255 8825

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location        stage  stage    stage/time      Mon  Tue  Wed  Thu
New Munster     11.0   10.0   10.74 3 PM 5/21   10.7 11.4 11.6 11.2

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                    7 days          stage          next 7 days
New Munster     12.43  10 PM 5/15    -0.20        11.60 7 AM 5/23

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.

New Munster: 6 am-noon  Mon May 21  0.52
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Mon May 21  0.34
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Mon May 21  0.05
New Munster: midn-6 am  Tue May 22  0.03
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
585 
WGUS83 KMKX 220229
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
929 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
 

  Rock River
    near Lake Koshkonong
    at Newville
    at Afton affecting Rock County 

  Fox River (North)
    near Berlin
    
  Fox River (South)
    near New Munster
    

&& 
WIC055-105-221429-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-180527T0000Z/
/NVLW3.1.ER.180516T1315Z.180520T1415Z.180526T1800Z.NO/
929 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong.
* At 8:15 PM Monday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is currently experiencing a broad crest that
  is expected to last into Wednesday and then is forecast to fall
  below flood stage next weekend.
* Impact...At 10.5 feet...Floodwaters reach Oxbow Bend Road in the 
  area of the gage on the east side of the lake.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4293 8897 4283 8883 4282 8891 4278 8899 4288 8911 4291 8904

$$

WIC105-221429-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVEW3.1.ER.180519T0050Z.180520T0515Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
929 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Newville.
* At 8:10 PM Monday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 6.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring...No forecast is available.
* Forecasts are not issued for this location. This warning will 
  remain in effect until the river falls below flood stage.
* Impact...At 6.5 feet...Floodwaters are in the back yards of homes 
  and businesses near east Mallwood Road Drive in Newville.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4286 8902 4286 8896 4280 8900 4279 8906 4283 8910 4284 8905

$$

WIC105-221429-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AFTW3.1.ER.180514T1515Z.180522T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
929 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At 8:15 PM Monday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is currently cresting and is forecast to fall
  to near flood stage early next week.
* Impact...At 10.1 feet...Floodwaters affect the property of a home 
  on South Christian Road on the east side of the river in the Afton 
  area. Minor erosional flood damage occurs to lowland and 
  agricultural land adjacent to the river the Afton and Janesville 
  areas.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898 4257 8909 4261 8910

$$

WIC047-221429-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180525T1800Z/
/BERW3.1.ER.180506T1830Z.180516T1400Z.180525T1200Z.NO/
929 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near Berlin.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to fall below flood stage Friday.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Floodwaters are over the banks in parts of 
  downtown Berlin including Riverside and Webster Street Parks.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4398 8899 4398 8888 4391 8888 4389 8901 4395 8911 4396 8908

$$

ILC097-WIC059-221429-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0045.180523T0000Z-180523T1200Z/
/NMSW3.1.ER.180523T0000Z.180523T0000Z.180523T0600Z.NO/
929 PM CDT Mon May 21 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest near flood stage Tuesday
  evening.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811 4245 8827 4255 8825

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location        stage  stage    stage/time      Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri

Lake Koshkonong 10.0    9.0   10.30 8 PM 5/21  10.2 10.2 10.1 10.1
Newville         6.5    5.5    6.50 8 PM 5/21   Not a forecast pt
Afton            9.0    8.0    9.77 8 PM 5/21   9.7  9.6  9.6  9.5
Berlin          13.0   12.0   13.43 8 PM 5/21  13.3 13.2 13.0 12.9
New Munster     11.0   10.0   10.72 9 PM 5/21  11.0 10.8 10.4  9.9

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                    7 days         stage           next 7 days

Lake Koshkonong 10.33  5 PM 5/20    -0.01         10.30 7 AM 5/22
Newville         6.56  9 AM 5/20    -0.01         ..Not available..
Afton            9.79  9 AM 5/21     0.00          9.80 1 AM 5/22
Berlin          13.70  3 AM 5/17    -0.06         13.40 1 AM 5/22
New Munster     12.43 10 PM 5/15    -0.13         11.00 7 PM 5/22

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Mon May 21  0.02
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Tue May 22  0.02
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00

Newville: 6 pm-midn  Mon May 21  0.02
Newville: midn-6 am  Tue May 22  0.02
Newville: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Newville: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Newville: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Newville: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Newville: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Newville: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00

Afton: 6 pm-midn  Mon May 21  0.02
Afton: midn-6 am  Tue May 22  0.01
Afton: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00

Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Mon May 21  0.03
Berlin: midn-6 am  Tue May 22  0.02
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00

New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Mon May 21  0.03
New Munster: 1 am-7 am  Tue May 22  0.03
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
565 
WGUS83 KMKX 220937
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
437 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...Illinois...

  Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong affecting Jefferson and Rock 
  Counties 
  Rock River At Afton affecting Rock County 
  Fox River Near Berlin affecting Green Lake County 
  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Lake and Kenosha Counties 
 

&& 
WIC055-105-222137-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-180527T0000Z/
/NVLW3.1.ER.180516T1315Z.180520T1415Z.180526T1800Z.NO/
437 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong.
* At  3:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 10.5 feet...Floodwaters reach Oxbow Bend Road in the 
  area of the gage on the east side of the lake.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4293 8897 4283 8883 4282 8891 4278 8899
      4288 8911 4291 8904

$$

WIC105-222137-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AFTW3.1.ER.180514T1515Z.180522T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
437 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At  3:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.8 feet by this 
  morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 10.1 feet...Floodwaters affect the property of a home 
  on South Christian Road on the east side of the river in the Afton 
  area. Minor erosional flood damage occurs to lowland and 
  agricultural land adjacent to the river the Afton and Janesville 
  areas. This level is the 20 percent chance flood meaning that there
  is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the river reaching this
  level. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898
      4257 8909 4261 8910

$$

WIC047-222137-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180525T1800Z/
/BERW3.1.ER.180506T1830Z.180516T1400Z.180525T1200Z.NO/
437 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near Berlin.
* At  3:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Floodwaters are over the banks in parts of 
  downtown Berlin including Riverside and Webster Street Parks.  
  There is minor flooding in the Berlin area. This is the 50 percent 
  flood level meaning there is a 50 percent chance in any given year 
  that the river will reach this level.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4398 8899 4398 8888 4391 8888 4389 8901
      4395 8911 4396 8908

$$

ILC097-WIC059-222137-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0045.180523T0000Z-180523T1200Z/
/NMSW3.1.ER.180523T0000Z.180523T0000Z.180523T0600Z.NO/
437 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At  4:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Floodwaters begin to affect 77th St. in the
  Town of Wheatland. Floodwaters are near some homes along Highway W 
  in the Village of Salem Lakes and Town of Wheatland areas.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811
      4245 8827 4255 8825

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Berlin          13.0  12.0  13.43 03 AM 05/22  13.3 13.2 13.0 12.9
New Munster     11.0  10.0  10.74 04 AM 05/22  11.0 10.8 10.4  9.9
Lake Koshkonong 10.0   9.0  10.29 03 AM 05/22  10.3 10.2 10.1 10.1
Afton            9.0   8.0   9.76 03 AM 05/22   9.7  9.6  9.6  9.5

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Berlin          13.70  03 AM 05/17   -0.04      13.40 07 AM 05/22
Afton            9.79  09 AM 05/21    0.00       9.80 07 AM 05/22
New Munster     12.43  10 PM 05/15   -0.09      11.00 07 PM 05/22
Lake Koshkonong 10.33  05 PM 05/20   -0.01      10.30 07 AM 05/22

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.

Berlin: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.03

New Munster: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00

Afton: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00

Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00
424 
WGUS83 KMKX 221457
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
957 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...Illinois...
 
  Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong affecting Jefferson and Rock 
  Counties 
  Rock River At Afton affecting Rock County 
  Fox River Near Berlin affecting Green Lake County 
  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Lake and Kenosha Counties 

&& 
WIC055-105-230257-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-180527T0600Z/
/NVLW3.1.ER.180516T1315Z.180520T1415Z.180527T0000Z.NO/
957 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong.
* At  8:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 10.5 feet...Floodwaters reach Oxbow Bend Road in the 
  area of the gage on the east side of the lake.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4293 8897 4283 8883 4282 8891 4278 8899
      4288 8911 4291 8904

$$

WIC105-230257-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-180529T0600Z/
/AFTW3.1.ER.180514T1515Z.180521T1345Z.180529T0000Z.NO/
957 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At  8:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 10.1 feet...Floodwaters affect the property of a home 
  on South Christian Road on the east side of the river in the Afton 
  area. Minor erosional flood damage occurs to lowland and 
  agricultural land adjacent to the river the Afton and Janesville 
  areas. This level is the 20 percent chance flood meaning that there
  is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the river reaching this
  level. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898
      4257 8909 4261 8910

$$

WIC047-230257-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180526T0000Z/
/BERW3.1.ER.180506T1830Z.180516T1400Z.180525T1800Z.NO/
957 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near Berlin.
* At  8:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Floodwaters are over the banks in parts of 
  downtown Berlin including Riverside and Webster Street Parks.  
  There is minor flooding in the Berlin area. This is the 50 percent 
  flood level meaning there is a 50 percent chance in any given year 
  that the river will reach this level.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4398 8899 4398 8888 4391 8888 4389 8901
      4395 8911 4396 8908

$$

ILC097-WIC059-230257-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0045.180523T0600Z-180523T1200Z/
/NMSW3.1.ER.180523T0600Z.180523T0600Z.180523T0600Z.NO/
957 AM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At  9:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage after 
  midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Floodwaters begin to affect 77th St. in the
  Town of Wheatland. Floodwaters are near some homes along Highway W 
  in the Village of Salem Lakes and Town of Wheatland areas.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811
      4245 8827 4255 8825

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Berlin          13.0  12.0  13.42 08 AM 05/22  13.4 13.2 13.1 12.9
New Munster     11.0  10.0  10.75 09 AM 05/22  10.9 10.7 10.2  9.8
Lake Koshkonong 10.0   9.0  10.28 08 AM 05/22  10.3 10.3 10.2 10.1
Afton            9.0   8.0   9.74 08 AM 05/22   9.7  9.6  9.5  9.4

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Berlin          13.70  03 AM 05/17   -0.03      13.40 01 PM 05/22
Afton            9.79  09 AM 05/21   -0.04       9.73 01 PM 05/22
New Munster     12.43  10 PM 05/15    0.01      11.00 01 AM 05/23
Lake Koshkonong 10.33  05 PM 05/20   -0.01      10.30 01 PM 05/22

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.

Berlin: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.03

New Munster: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00

Afton: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.01

Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.01
101 
WGUS83 KMKX 222024
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
324 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...Illinois...
  Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong affecting Jefferson and Rock 
  Counties 
  Rock River At Afton affecting Rock County 
  Fox River Near Berlin affecting Green Lake County 
  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Lake and Kenosha Counties 
 

&& 
WIC055-105-230823-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-180527T0600Z/
/NVLW3.1.ER.180516T1315Z.180520T1415Z.180527T0000Z.NO/
324 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong.
* At  2:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 10.5 feet...Floodwaters reach Oxbow Bend Road in the 
  area of the gage on the east side of the lake.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4293 8897 4283 8883 4282 8891 4278 8899
      4288 8911 4291 8904

$$

WIC105-230823-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-180529T0600Z/
/AFTW3.1.ER.180514T1515Z.180521T1345Z.180529T0000Z.NO/
324 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At  2:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 10.1 feet...Floodwaters affect the property of a home 
  on South Christian Road on the east side of the river in the Afton 
  area. Minor erosional flood damage occurs to lowland and 
  agricultural land adjacent to the river the Afton and Janesville 
  areas. This level is the 20 percent chance flood meaning that there
  is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the river reaching this
  level. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898
      4257 8909 4261 8910

$$

WIC047-230823-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180526T0000Z/
/BERW3.1.ER.180506T1830Z.180516T1400Z.180525T1800Z.NO/
324 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near Berlin.
* At  2:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Friday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.3 feet...There is minor flooding in the Berlin area 
  including in Riverside and Webster Street Parks in Berlin.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4398 8899 4398 8888 4391 8888 4389 8901
      4395 8911 4396 8908

$$

ILC097-WIC059-230823-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0045.180523T0600Z-180523T1200Z/
/NMSW3.1.ER.180523T0600Z.180523T0600Z.180523T0600Z.NO/
324 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At  3:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage after 
  midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Floodwaters begin to affect 77th St. in the
  Town of Wheatland. Floodwaters are near some homes along Highway W 
  in the Village of Salem Lakes and Town of Wheatland areas.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811
      4245 8827 4255 8825

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Tue  Wed  Thu  Fri
Berlin          13.0  12.0  13.40 02 PM 05/22  13.4 13.2 13.1 12.9
New Munster     11.0  10.0  10.73 03 PM 05/22  10.9 10.7 10.2  9.8
Lake Koshkonong 10.0   9.0  10.26 02 PM 05/22  10.3 10.3 10.2 10.1
Afton            9.0   8.0   9.74 02 PM 05/22   9.7  9.6  9.5  9.4

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Berlin          13.70  03 AM 05/17   -0.04      13.40 07 PM 05/22
Afton            9.79  09 AM 05/21   -0.02       9.70 07 PM 05/22
New Munster     12.43  10 PM 05/15    0.00      11.00 01 AM 05/23
Lake Koshkonong 10.33  05 PM 05/20   -0.04      10.30 07 PM 05/22

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.

Berlin: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00

New Munster: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00

Afton: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00

Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00
016 
WGUS83 KMKX 230257
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
957 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Illinois...Wisconsin...
 
  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Lake and Kenosha Counties
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
 
  Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong affecting Jefferson and Rock 
  Counties 
  Fox River Near Berlin affecting Green Lake County 
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
  Rock River At Afton affecting Rock County 
 

&& 
WIC055-105-231456-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-180527T1200Z/
/NVLW3.1.ER.180516T1315Z.180520T1415Z.180527T0600Z.NO/
957 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong.
* At  8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 10.5 feet...Floodwaters reach Oxbow Bend Road in the 
  area of the gage on the east side of the lake.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4293 8897 4283 8883 4282 8891 4278 8899
      4288 8911 4291 8904

$$

WIC105-231456-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0038.000000T0000Z-180529T0600Z/
/AFTW3.1.ER.180514T1515Z.180521T1345Z.180529T0000Z.NO/
957 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At  8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 10.1 feet...Floodwaters affect the property of a home 
  on South Christian Road on the east side of the river in the Afton 
  area. Minor erosional flood damage occurs to lowland and 
  agricultural land adjacent to the river the Afton and Janesville 
  areas. This level is the 20 percent chance flood meaning that there
  is a 20 percent chance in any given year of the river reaching this
  level. 

&&
 
LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898
      4257 8909 4261 8910

$$

WIC047-231456-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0034.000000T0000Z-180527T0000Z/
/BERW3.1.ER.180506T1830Z.180516T1400Z.180526T1800Z.NO/
957 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near Berlin.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 13.3 feet...There is minor flooding in the Berlin area 
  including in Riverside and Webster Street Parks in Berlin.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4398 8899 4398 8888 4391 8888 4389 8901
      4395 8911 4396 8908

$$

ILC097-WIC059-230327-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-180523T0252Z/
/NMSW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
957 PM CDT Tue May 22 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At  9:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 10.8 feet 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Floodwaters begin to affect 77th St. in the
  Town of Wheatland. Floodwaters are near some homes along Highway W 
  in the Village of Salem Lakes and Town of Wheatland areas.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811
      4245 8827 4255 8825

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation, soil moisture conditions, and predicted
precipitation for the basin. Precipitation is for the next 24 hours 
in the future from April through September and for 48 hours in the 
future from October through March.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Wed  Thu  Fri  Sat
Berlin          13.0  12.0  13.38 08 PM 05/22  13.3 13.2 13.1 12.9
New Munster     11.0  10.0  10.69 09 PM 05/22  10.7 10.3  9.9  9.4
Lake Koshkonong 10.0   9.0  10.25 08 PM 05/22  10.3 10.2 10.1 10.0
Afton            9.0   8.0   9.72 08 PM 05/22   9.6  9.5  9.4  9.3

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Berlin          13.70  03 AM 05/17   -0.05      13.40 01 AM 05/23
Afton            9.79  09 AM 05/21   -0.05       9.70 01 AM 05/23
New Munster     12.43  10 PM 05/15   -0.03      10.80 07 AM 05/23
Lake Koshkonong 10.33  05 PM 05/20   -0.05      10.30 07 AM 05/23

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Berlin: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Berlin: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00
Berlin: 6 am-noon  Thu May 24  0.01
Berlin: noon-6 pm  Thu May 24  0.00

New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
New Munster: 1 am-7 am  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Thu May 24  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Thu May 24  0.00

Afton: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Thu May 24  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Thu May 24  0.00

Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Tue May 22  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Wed May 23  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Thu May 24  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Thu May 24  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Thu May 24  0.00

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 21, 11:44 AM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 21, 11:44 AM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1144 AM CDT Mon May 21 2018

.UPDATE...Have hoisted a Dense Fog Advisory for the lakeshore
counties through mid morning Tuesday. Pattern continues to look
favorable heading into tonight with lighter winds and moist
airmass remaining. Already seeing some lakeshore areas down to a
1/2 mile or so.

PC

&&

.AVIATION(18Z TAFS)...Plenty of IFR/LIFR expected through tonight
into Tuesday morning. While the rains will be heading out later
today into this evening, the moisture and increasingly lighter
winds will lead to a sustaining of the stratus and development of
fog. Model trends suggest our eastern forecast area will be most
vulnerable with greatest confidence closer to the lake at this
time. Low level RH progs show a potentially slow erosion of the
stratus Tuesday morning with better improvement during the
afternoon.

PC

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 925 AM CDT Mon May 21 2018)

UPDATE...Going forecast looks in good shape. Tweaked temps down
just a smidge. Meso models still show rain exiting later today and
this evening. Monitoring fog trends/webcams especially for tonight
into Tuesday morning. Things could get on the soupy side for
parts of the area with lighter wind regime and plenty of moisture.

PC

MARINE...Main concern will be fog through Tuesday morning. Webcams
showing a lighter fog offshore but things may deteriorate later
today into tonight as winds slacken.

PC

PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 615 AM CDT Mon May 21 2018)

UPDATE...

Rain continues to steadily march north into the area this morning.
Rain and a few thunderstorms will persist across the region for
most of the day today.

AVIATION(12Z TAFS)...

Flight conditions will rapidly deteriorate this morning as rain
and low ceilings move into the region. For KMKE and KENW, fog is
expected to develop along Lake Michigan, with easterly winds
pushing that fog inland far enough to affect the terminals.
Elsewhere, occasional fog/mist is expected, but it should not be
as dense as near the lake.

Showers will become less numerous later this evening, but low
clouds will persist overnight, along with some fog. Conditions
should finally start to improve after sunrise on Tuesday.

PREV DISCUSSION... (Issued 320 AM CDT Mon May 21 2018)

SHORT TERM...

Today and Tonight...Forecast Confidence is High...

Showers and a few thunderstorms are pushing north toward the
region early this morning, on the nose of a weak low level jet and
ahead of an approaching mid level trough. This activity should
gradually expand in coverage as it overspreads the area this
morning. Rain will continue through the day today, with a few
thunderstorms also possible, mainly south of I-94. Some patchy fog
is also possible near Lake Michigan, where easterly winds may
bring some fog onshore from the lake.

Temperatures today will be on the cool side, with most locations
only reaching the upper 50s to near 60. For those counties
bordering the lake, the onshore flow will keep readings in the
low 50s.

Showers should become more isolated in nature tonight, with clouds likely
sticking around into Tuesday. Lows tonight will range from the
mid 40s east to low 50s west. Patchy fog will also be possible.

LONG TERM...

Tuesday and Wednesday...Forecast confidence is high:

Could see a little drizzle or some sprinkles Tuesday morning as
the trough exits. Clouds will hang on during the morning, with
some sunshine possible by mid to late afternoon. High temperatures
will climb back to around normal values, except for cooler
conditions near Lake Michigan.

It should be mainly dry Wedensday, though could see an isolated
shower/storm in the west in the afternoon as a wave pushes into
the area. Above normal temps will return on Wednesday.

Thursday through Sunday...Forecast confidence is medium to high:

A warm and moist airmass will be in place late week into the
weekend under southerly low level flow between departing high
pressure and approaching low pressure. Could see multiple rounds
of showers and thunderstorms Thursday through Saturday until the
low and cold front finally clear the area Saturday night.
Confidence is high in a wet pattern, but obviously less confidence
in the timing of individual rounds.

Above normal temperatures will continue for this period. Exact
high temps will depend on the timing of precipitation and the
possibility of clouds/rain during the day. Overall though, this
has the potential to be the warmest and most humid airmass of the
season thus far.

MARINE...

East winds are expected across the nearshore waters today and
tonight. This will result in 2-3 foot waves in most locations.
Some fog may also be possible today and tonight, and conditions
will need to be monitored for the potential for a marine dense fog
advisory.

Conditions should begin to improve on Tuesday as winds become
northwesterly. Light winds will continue into at least lake week,
with little wave action expected. Conditions generally look quiet
until late in the week or the weekend, when thunderstorms will
again be possible.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Dense Fog Advisory until 7 AM CDT Tuesday for WIZ052-060-066-071-
     072.

LM...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CDT Tuesday for LMZ643>646.

&&

Today/Tonight and Aviation/Marine...Boxell
Tuesday THROUGH Sunday...DDV
Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 11:09 AM CDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1109 AM CDT Mon May 21 2018

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-221615-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
1109 AM CDT Mon May 21 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Areas of dense fog will affect the lakeshore counties through
tonight. The dense fog will reduce the visibility to one quarter
mile or less at times. A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect through
tonight for Sheboygan, Ozaukee, Milwaukee, Racine and Kenosha
counties.

Isolated thunderstorms are possible into this evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There are chances for thunderstorms at times from Wednesday
through the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ643>646-221615-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
1109 AM CDT Mon May 21 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms are possible into this evening.

A Marine Dense Fog Advisory is in effect through tonight. Frequent
visibilities less than one mile in dense fog can be expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

There are chances for thunderstorms at times from Wednesday night
through the weekend.

www.weather.gov/mkx

MBK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 11:01 AM CDTDense Fog AdvisoryMKXDane, Dodge, Green, Iowa, Jefferson, Kenosha and 9 more21 hr
May 21, 11:05 AM CDTMarine Dense Fog AdvisoryMKX27 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2018River Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.