Alert archive / Wisconsin / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 24, NWS Milwaukee, WI

February 24, 2018Jefferson County, Rock County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this river flood warning at Feb 24, 2018, 3:44 AM CST for Jefferson County, Rock County, Wisconsin. It took effect at Feb 26, 2018, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for .

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 24, 2018, 3:44 AM CST (09:44 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 26, 2018, 12:00 PM CST
Expired
Feb 25, 2018, 3:44 AM CST
In force
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Jefferson County, WI, Rock County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Rock River at Lake Koshkonong (NVLW3). The gauge peaked at 9.11 ft at Feb 26, 2018, 2:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderatemajor8101202/2402/2502/26
Action stage
9 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
11.5 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05427235, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

825 
WGUS43 KMKX 240944
FLWMKX


Flood Warning
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
344 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/Sullivan has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Wisconsin...

  Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong affecting Jefferson and Rock 
  Counties
  Rock River At Afton affecting Rock County
  East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville affecting 
  Lafayette County


&& 
WIC055-105-242143-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0024.180226T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVLW3.1.ER.180226T2100Z.180227T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
344 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/sullivan has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong.
* At  2:15 AM Saturday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 10.2 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. Additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Floodwaters affect homes and boat docks in 
  the Blackhawk Island area of Lake Koshkonong on the north side of 
  the lake. Floodwaters spread over low spots on Blackhawk Island 
  Road in the area where the Rock River enters the lake.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4293 8897 4283 8883 4282 8891 4278 8899
      4288 8911 4291 8904

$$

WIC105-242143-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0025.180225T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/AFTW3.1.ER.180225T1800Z.180227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
344 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/sullivan has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At  2:15 AM Saturday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 9.4 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 9.1 feet...Floodwaters affect property of a home on 
  South Christian Road on the east side of the river in the Afton 
  area.  There is minor erosional flood damage to lowland and 
  agricultural land in the Afton and Janesville areas.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898
      4257 8909 4261 8910

$$

WIC065-242143-
/O.NEW.KMKX.FL.W.0026.180224T0944Z-180224T2153Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.180224T0715Z.180224T0800Z.180224T0953Z.NO/
344 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The National Weather Service in Milwaukee/sullivan has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall to below flood stage by 
  early this morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Floodwaters cover a portion of Highway H 
  and floodwaters are into McKellar Park in Blanchardville.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4283 8992 4284 8984 4279 8981 4272 8984
      4272 8991 4279 8991

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted 
future 24 hour or 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed
Blanchardville  11.0   9.0  11.09 02 AM 02/24   9.7 10.9  7.6  5.6
Lake Koshkonong 10.0   9.0   8.39 02 AM 02/24   8.9  9.5 10.1 10.2
Afton            9.0   8.0   8.07 02 AM 02/24   8.5  9.1  9.3  9.4

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Blanchardville  16.02  08 AM 02/21    3.58      10.90 06 AM 02/24
Afton           11.12  10 PM 02/20    0.67       9.40 06 AM 02/27
Lake Koshkonong  8.39  02 AM 02/24    0.49      10.20 12 PM 02/27

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Blanchardville: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Blanchardville: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Blanchardville: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Blanchardville: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.05
Blanchardville: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.32
Blanchardville: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.01
Blanchardville: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Blanchardville: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Afton: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.03
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.26
Afton: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.03
Afton: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.02
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.28
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.04
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00
3 follow-up statements
106 
WGUS83 KMKX 241010
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
410 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...The Food Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
 
  Sheboygan River At Sheboygan affecting Sheboygan County
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...
 
  East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville affecting Lafayette
  County 
 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...Illinois...

  Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong affecting Jefferson and Rock 
  Counties 
  Rock River At Afton affecting Rock County 
  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Lake and Kenosha Counties 
  Milwaukee River Near Cedarburg affecting Ozaukee County 
  Pecatonica River At Martintown affecting Green County 
  Sugar River At Brodhead affecting Green and Rock Counties 
 

&& 
WIC055-105-242209-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0024.180226T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVLW3.1.ER.180226T2100Z.180227T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
410 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong.
* At  2:15 AM Saturday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 10.2 feet by Tuesday early afternoon. additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Floodwaters affect homes and boat docks in 
  the Blackhawk Island area of Lake Koshkonong on the north side of 
  the lake. Floodwaters spread over low spots on Blackhawk Island 
  Road in the area where the Rock River enters the lake.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4293 8897 4283 8883 4282 8891 4278 8899
      4288 8911 4291 8904

$$

WIC105-242209-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0025.180225T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/AFTW3.1.ER.180225T1800Z.180227T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
410 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At  2:15 AM Saturday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 9.4 feet by Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 9.1 feet...Floodwaters affect property of a home on 
  South Christian Road on the east side of the river in the Afton 
  area.  There is minor erosional flood damage to lowland and 
  agricultural land in the Afton and Janesville areas.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898
      4257 8909 4261 8910

$$

WIC065-242209-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-180225T0000Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.180224T0715Z.180224T1200Z.180224T1200Z.NO/
410 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Floodwaters cover a portion of Highway H 
  and floodwaters are into McKellar Park in Blanchardville.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4283 8992 4284 8984 4279 8981 4272 8984
      4272 8991 4279 8991

$$

ILC097-WIC059-242209-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180228T1800Z/
/NMSW3.2.ER.180220T1955Z.180221T2000Z.180228T1200Z.NO/
410 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At  3:00 AM Saturday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet...Water is up to the first floor levels of 
  some homes in the Town of Wheatland and Village of Salem Lakes area
  along Riverside Drive and Shorewood Drive.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811
      4245 8827 4255 8825

$$

WIC089-242209-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180224T2248Z/
/CEDW3.1.ER.180222T0935Z.180223T2200Z.180224T1648Z.NO/
410 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Milwaukee River Near Cedarburg.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this morning.
* Impact...At 11.9 feet...The following roads and intersections are 
  flooded and closed: Highway I and Hawthorne Drive in the Town of 
  Saukville, Blueberry Drive and Hawthorne Drive in the Town of 
  Saukville, Highway W between Highway 33 and Highway 57 in the 
  Village and Town of Saukville. Water is near some homes along 
  Island Drive and Shoreland Parkway in the Mequon area. This level 
  is the 10 percent flood meaning there is a 10 percent chance of the
  river reaching this level in any given year.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4333 8798 4331 8792 4327 8794 4323 8793
      4323 8805 4330 8803

$$

WIC045-242209-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180227T0055Z/
/MTNW3.2.ER.180220T0845Z.180223T0815Z.180226T1855Z.NO/
410 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pecatonica River At Martintown.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.4 feet...Some homes in Martintown area have 
  floodwaters in their basements and first floors, Highways MM and 
  West Indies Road upstream in the Browntown area are flooded. 
  Martintown Road and West River Road in Martintown are flooded as is
  Highway 73 about 1 mile downstream in Winslow Illinois. This level 
  is the 20 percent chance flood meaning there is a 20 percent chance
  of the river reaching this level in any given year.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4272 8992 4272 8984 4263 8980 4251 8970
      4251 8988 4260 8993

$$

WIC117-241040-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-180224T1449Z/
/SEBW3.1.ER.180223T0745Z.180223T1130Z.180223T1837Z.NO/
410 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Sheboygan River At Sheboygan.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 12:37 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 5.4 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Water nears a Road in Kiwanis Park in 
  Sheboygan. There is localized flooding of River Park in Sheboygan 
  Falls and Esslingen Park in Sheboygan.  Water covers docks and 
  piers in the Sheboygan area.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4377 8771 4372 8771 4371 8776 4370 8780
      4375 8782 4377 8776

$$

WIC045-105-242209-
/O.CON.KMKX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180226T0300Z/
/BROW3.2.ER.180220T0827Z.180222T1145Z.180225T2100Z.NO/
410 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sugar River At Brodhead.
* At  2:00 AM Saturday the stage was 7.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Some roads are flooded about 6 miles 
  downstream in Avon Township of Rock County.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4267 8950 4267 8933 4259 8930 4249 8922
      4249 8942 4261 8951

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted 
future 24 hour or 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed
Blanchardville  11.0   9.0  11.09 02 AM 02/24   9.7 10.9  7.6  5.6
New Munster     11.0  10.0  12.24 03 AM 02/24  12.0 11.7 11.5 11.2
Cedarburg       11.0  10.0  11.62 02 AM 02/24  10.4  8.8  8.2  7.9
Martintown      13.5   9.5  19.54 02 AM 02/24  18.3 15.6 12.4 10.1
Lake Koshkonong 10.0   9.0   8.39 02 AM 02/24   8.9  9.5 10.1 10.2
Afton            9.0   8.0   8.07 02 AM 02/24   8.5  9.1  9.3  9.4
Brodhead         5.0   4.5   7.05 02 AM 02/24   5.9  4.9  3.9  3.2
Sheboygan        8.0   6.0   7.83 02 AM 02/24   6.3  5.4  5.1  4.0

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Blanchardville  16.02  08 AM 02/21    3.58      11.30 06 AM 02/24
Cedarburg       11.81  02 AM 02/24    0.37      11.40 06 AM 02/24
Martintown      20.10  02 AM 02/23   -0.54      19.10 06 AM 02/24
Afton           11.12  10 PM 02/20    0.67       9.40 06 AM 02/27
Brodhead         9.76  06 AM 02/22   -1.30       6.70 06 AM 02/24
Sheboygan        9.68  08 AM 02/21   -0.19       7.40 06 AM 02/24
New Munster     13.37  02 PM 02/21   -0.52      12.10 06 AM 02/24
Lake Koshkonong  8.39  02 AM 02/24    0.49      10.20 12 PM 02/27

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Blanchardville: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Blanchardville: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Blanchardville: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Blanchardville: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.05
Blanchardville: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.32
Blanchardville: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.01
Blanchardville: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Blanchardville: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
New Munster: 1 am-7 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.19
New Munster: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.06
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.24
Cedarburg: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.11
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Martintown: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Martintown: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Martintown: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Martintown: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.04
Martintown: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.31
Martintown: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Martintown: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Martintown: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Afton: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.03
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.26
Afton: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.03
Afton: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Brodhead: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Brodhead: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Brodhead: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Brodhead: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.04
Brodhead: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.28
Brodhead: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.02
Brodhead: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Brodhead: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.02
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.28
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.04
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Sheboygan: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Sheboygan: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Sheboygan: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Sheboygan: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Sheboygan: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.24
Sheboygan: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.14
Sheboygan: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Sheboygan: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00
092 
WGUS83 KMKX 241622
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
1022 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Wisconsin...Illinois...
 
  Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong affecting Jefferson and Rock 
  Counties 
  Rock River At Afton affecting Rock County 
  East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville affecting Lafayette
  County 
  Fox River Near New Munster affecting Lake and Kenosha Counties 
  Milwaukee River Near Cedarburg affecting Ozaukee County 
  Pecatonica River At Martintown affecting Green County 
  Sugar River At Brodhead affecting Green and Rock Counties 
 

&& 
WIC055-105-250421-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0024.180226T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/NVLW3.1.ER.180226T1800Z.180228T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong.
* At  9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 8.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Monday early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 10.2 feet by Tuesday evening. additional 
  rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Floodwaters affect homes and boat docks in 
  the Blackhawk Island area of Lake Koshkonong on the north side of 
  the lake. Floodwaters spread over low spots on Blackhawk Island 
  Road in the area where the Rock River enters the lake.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4293 8897 4283 8883 4282 8891 4278 8899
      4288 8911 4291 8904

$$

WIC105-250421-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0025.180226T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/AFTW3.1.ER.180226T0000Z.180228T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1022 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At  9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue 
  to rise to near 9.4 feet by Tuesday evening.
* Impact...At 9.1 feet...Floodwaters affect property of a home on 
  South Christian Road on the east side of the river in the Afton 
  area.  There is minor erosional flood damage to lowland and 
  agricultural land in the Afton and Janesville areas.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898
      4257 8909 4261 8910

$$

WIC065-250421-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-180227T0120Z/
/BCHW3.1.ER.180224T0715Z.180224T1500Z.180226T1320Z.NO/
1022 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Branch Pecatonica River Near Blanchardville.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Floodwaters cover a portion of Highway H 
  and floodwaters are into McKellar Park in Blanchardville.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4283 8992 4284 8984 4279 8981 4272 8984
      4272 8991 4279 8991

$$

ILC097-WIC059-250421-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-180301T1800Z/
/NMSW3.2.ER.180220T1955Z.180221T2000Z.180301T1200Z.NO/
1022 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Fox River Near New Munster.
* At 10:00 AM Saturday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet...Water is up to the first floor levels of 
  some homes in the Town of Wheatland and Village of Salem Lakes area
  along Riverside Drive and Shorewood Drive.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4262 8832 4262 8814 4252 8813 4245 8811
      4245 8827 4255 8825

$$

WIC089-250400-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-180225T0400Z/
/CEDW3.1.ER.180222T0935Z.180223T2200Z.180224T2200Z.NO/
1022 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Milwaukee River Near Cedarburg.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 11.9 feet...The following roads and intersections are 
  flooded and closed: Highway I and Hawthorne Drive in the Town of 
  Saukville, Blueberry Drive and Hawthorne Drive in the Town of 
  Saukville, Highway W between Highway 33 and Highway 57 in the 
  Village and Town of Saukville. Water is near some homes along 
  Island Drive and Shoreland Parkway in the Mequon area. This level 
  is the 10 percent flood meaning there is a 10 percent chance of the
  river reaching this level in any given year.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4333 8798 4331 8792 4327 8794 4323 8793
      4323 8805 4330 8803

$$

WIC045-250421-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-180301T2248Z/
/MTNW3.2.ER.180220T0845Z.180223T0815Z.180301T1648Z.NO/
1022 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pecatonica River At Martintown.
* At  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 19.4 feet...Some homes in Martintown area have 
  floodwaters in their basements and first floors, Highways MM and 
  West Indies Road upstream in the Browntown area are flooded. 
  Martintown Road and West River Road in Martintown are flooded as is
  Highway 73 about 1 mile downstream in Winslow Illinois. This level 
  is the 20 percent chance flood meaning there is a 20 percent chance
  of the river reaching this level in any given year.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4272 8992 4272 8984 4263 8980 4251 8970
      4251 8988 4260 8993

$$

WIC045-105-250421-
/O.EXT.KMKX.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180226T0600Z/
/BROW3.2.ER.180220T0827Z.180222T1145Z.180226T0000Z.NO/
1022 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Sugar River At Brodhead.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 6.5 feet...There is widespread flooding of lowland and 
  agricultural land. Downstream in the Avon Bottoms area of Rock 
  County, there is flooding in Sugar River Park. Some roads are 
  flooded in Avon Township, about 6 miles downstream of Brodhead.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4267 8950 4267 8933 4259 8930 4249 8922
      4249 8942 4261 8951

$$

&& 

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted
future 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location       stage  stage    stage/time       Sat  Sun  Mon  Tue
Blanchardville  11.0   9.0  11.70 09 AM 02/24  11.4 11.0  9.2  5.6
New Munster     11.0  10.0  12.16 10 AM 02/24  12.1 11.9 11.9 11.6
Cedarburg       11.0  10.0  11.55 09 AM 02/24  10.9  9.8  8.8  8.4
Martintown      13.5   9.5  19.27 08 AM 02/24  18.9 17.8 15.6 14.8
Lake Koshkonong 10.0   9.0   8.49 09 AM 02/24   9.3  9.7 10.0 10.2
Afton            9.0   8.0   8.10 09 AM 02/24   8.4  9.0  9.2  9.4
Brodhead         5.0   4.5   6.48 09 AM 02/24   6.0  5.0  4.3  3.6

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days          stage           next 7 days
Blanchardville  16.02  08 AM 02/21    5.05      11.70 12 PM 02/24
Cedarburg       11.81  02 AM 02/24    0.34      11.20 12 PM 02/24
Martintown      20.10  02 AM 02/23   -0.75      19.20 12 PM 02/24
Afton           11.12  10 PM 02/20    0.61       9.40 06 PM 02/27
Brodhead         9.76  06 AM 02/22   -1.52       6.40 12 PM 02/24
New Munster     13.37  02 PM 02/21   -0.41      12.20 12 PM 02/24
Lake Koshkonong  8.49  09 AM 02/24    0.42      10.20 06 PM 02/27

Below is the latest predicted precipitation information in 6 hour
increments for the listed sites. This information is updated twice
daily - in the morning and evening. Precipitation prediction is for
48 hours into the future from October through March and for 24
hours into the future from April through September.

Blanchardville: 6 am-noon  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Blanchardville: noon-6 pm  Sat Feb 24  0.05
Blanchardville: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.32
Blanchardville: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.01
Blanchardville: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Blanchardville: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Blanchardville: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Blanchardville: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.00

New Munster: 6 am-noon  Sat Feb 24  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Sat Feb 24  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.20
New Munster: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.06
New Munster: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
New Munster: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
New Munster: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.00
New Munster: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Cedarburg: 6 am-noon  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.24
Cedarburg: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.10
Cedarburg: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Cedarburg: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Cedarburg: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Cedarburg: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Martintown: 6 am-noon  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Martintown: noon-6 pm  Sat Feb 24  0.05
Martintown: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.30
Martintown: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Martintown: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Martintown: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Martintown: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Martintown: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Afton: 6 am-noon  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Sat Feb 24  0.03
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.26
Afton: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.03
Afton: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Brodhead: 6 am-noon  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Brodhead: noon-6 pm  Sat Feb 24  0.03
Brodhead: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.28
Brodhead: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.02
Brodhead: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Brodhead: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Brodhead: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Brodhead: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Sat Feb 24  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Sat Feb 24  0.02
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.27
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.04
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.00
838 
WGUS83 KMKX 250147
FLSMKX


Flood Statement
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
747 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...The Food Warning is cancelled for the following river in 
Wisconsin...


  Rock River
  
    Near Lake Koshkonong
    At Afton
 

&& 
WIC055-105-250217-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-180225T0147Z/
/NVLW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
747 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Rock River Near Lake Koshkonong.
* At 6:15 PM Saturday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest below flood stage near
  9.4 feet Wednesday.
* Impact...At 9.5 feet...Water is into low lying areas along Lake 
  Koshkonong.

&&
 
LAT...LON 4293 8897 4283 8883 4282 8891 4278 8899 4288 8911 4291 8904

$$

WIC105-250217-
/O.CAN.KMKX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-180225T0147Z/
/AFTW3.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
747 PM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Rock River At Afton.
* At 6:15 PM Saturday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to crest below flood stage near
  8.7 feet Wednesday.
* Impact...At 8.8 feet...Floodwaters affect lowland and agricultural 
  land adjacent to the river in the Afton and Janesville areas.
  
&&
 
LAT...LON 4274 8910 4274 8903 4261 8900 4257 8898 4257 8909 4261 8910

$$

&&

River forecasts are available for some but not all river gaging
locations. The 7 day river forecast takes into account past
precipitation...soil moisture conditions etc..and predicted 
future 24 hour or 48 hour basin-average precipitation.
 
(stages in ft.)        Bank-      Latest         Forecast stages
-               Flood  full      observed        ...for 6 pm...
Location        stage stage     stage/time      Sun  Mon  Tue  Wed
Lake Koshkonong 10.0   9.0    8.61 6 PM 2/24    8.8  9.2  9.3  9.4
Afton            9.0   8.0    8.15 6 PM 2/24    8.5  8.6  8.7  8.7

-                   Highest      24 hour change
-                   observed     in river stage
-                   stage in      (ft.) up to      Highest stage
-                   the last    latest observed     forecast in
-                   7 days           stage          next 7 days
Afton           11.12  10 PM 2/20    0.23         8.70 6 AM 2/27
Lake Koshkonong  8.61   6 PM 2/24    0.36         9.40 6 AM 2/28

Below is predicted precipitation information in 6 hour increments
for the listed sites. This information is updated twice daily-morning
and evening. Precipitation prediction is for 48 hours into the future
from October through March and for 24 hours into the future from
April through September.

Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.28
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.04
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Lk Koshkonong: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

Afton: 6 pm-midn  Sat Feb 24  0.28
Afton: midn-6 am  Sun Feb 25  0.03
Afton: 6 am-noon  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Afton: 6 pm-midn  Sun Feb 25  0.00
Afton: midn-6 am  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Afton: 6 am-noon  Mon Feb 26  0.00
Afton: noon-6 pm  Mon Feb 26  0.00

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 24, 3:15 AM CST, 29 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 24, 3:15 AM CST, 29 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
315 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

.SHORT TERM...

Today And Tonight...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Main focus for the next 24 hours will be with an approaching
shortwave and deepening surface low. Precipitation will develop
over Iowa late this morning and afternoon, pushing into southern
Wisconsin during the afternoon and evening timeframe. There will
be a very small window for a brief mix of precipitation along the
very leading edge of the precipitation, but no impacts are
expected, and any mix should quickly transition to all rain.

Forecast models are showing some elevated instability across the
area this afternoon and especially this evening, and have included
a chance for thunderstorms.

Rain should be most widespread during the evening hours, as the
surface low and main mid level wave push through. Winds ahead of
the surface low will be gusty from the east, and with temperatures
hanging out in the mid to upper 30s, it looks like a very raw
evening and night across the region. Given the easterly flow and
plenty of moisture, we will also need to watch for fog potential
tonight.

Rain will end during the latter half of the overnight as a cold
front sweeps through. Westerly winds will become quite gusty after
3-4 AM, with a few gusts approaching 40 MPH by Sunday morning.

Sunday Through Monday Night...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Main issue Sunday will be the strong winds. Strong cold air
advection develops in the wake of the cold front Sunday morning.
Plenty of downward mixing is expected, with a tight pressure
gradient and rather steep low level lapse rates.

Area forecast soundings from the NAM and GFS are showing
potential for southwesterly to westerly 35 to 40 knot average wind
speeds in the boundary layer Sunday morning, highest toward the
Sheboygan area. Thus, some gusts may reach Wind Advisory levels
Sunday morning. Will let the next shift take another look at these
potential wind gusts, before deciding on any headlines. Rather
mild temperatures in the upper 30s to lower 40s are anticipated
Sunday.

Winds will weaken Sunday afternoon and night, as the pressure
gradient relaxes. Winds should gradually shift to the south
southwest Monday into Monday night. This should allow for gradual
warm air advection during the Monday into Monday night period.
Thus, the mild temperatures are expected to continue. Monday highs
may reach into the lower 50s, which is a bit warmer than currently
forecast.

.LONG TERM...

Tuesday Through Friday...Forecast Confidence Is Medium.

Another mild day looks to occur Tuesday, before a cold front or
weak inverted trough pushes east through the region Tuesday
afternoon or night. There is some uncertainty in this, with the
GFS showing a cold front and the ECMWF and Canadian more of an
inverted trough. GFS forecast soundings are not showing a lot of
moisture with this system. Kept lower end PoPs for now. It would
be a rain to snow transition Tuesday night, as temperatures drop.

GFS/Canadian models then show some cyclogenesis Wednesday into
Wednesday night, as a compact low shifts northeast toward and
across northern Illinois. This low lingers Thursday, before
shifting to the east Thursday night and Friday. The ECMWF
continues to show a much weaker low during this time. This may be
due to the ECMWF not phasing the northern and southern stream 500
mb shortwave troughs, which the GFS and Canadian models phase.

The GFS/Canadian bring a fair amount of QPF into the area late
Wednesday night into Thursday, much less on the ECMWF. Will
continue higher end PoPs for Wednesday night into Thursday evening
across the area. Right now, it looks to be a snow to rain change
on Thursday morning, then a change back to light snow Thursday
evening.

Will need to watch this system's track, as a further southward
push would bring more snow than currently forecast, and colder
temperatures. Overall, temperatures look to remain above seasonal
normals through most of the week.

&&

.AVIATION(09Z TAFS)...

MVFR ceilings are pushing into the area this morning, and should
gradually fill in as the morning goes on. Rain and perhaps even a
few thunderstorms will move through from late afternoon into the
late night hours, along with IFR to LIFR vis and ceilings. Winds
will be from the east during this time, with a few gusts to around
25 KT.

Later tonight, precipitation will end as a front sweeps through
the region. Behind that front, westerly winds look to become quite
gusty, with the strong west winds continuing into Sunday morning.
From late Saturday night and Sunday morning, a few wind gusts to
around 35 KT will be possible.

&&

.MARINE...

Easterly winds will increase today and this evening across the
nearshore, with gusts between 25 and 30 kt at times. A Small Craft
Advisory will be in effect starting at 6 PM, with waves building
overnight to as much as 10 ft, particularly north of Port
Washington.

Winds will then quickly become westerly with the passage of a
cold front, increasing to gale force by dawn. Expect at least a
few gale gusts to continue into Sunday afternoon.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST Sunday
     for LMZ643>646.

     Gale Warning from 6 AM to 9 PM CST Sunday for LMZ643>646.

&&

Today/Tonight and Aviation/Marine...Boxell
Sunday through Friday...Wood
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 24, 3:37 AM CST, 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
337 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-250945-
Marquette-Green Lake-Fond Du Lac-Sheboygan-Sauk-Columbia-Dodge-
Washington-Ozaukee-Iowa-Dane-Jefferson-Waukesha-Milwaukee-
Lafayette-Green-Rock-Walworth-Racine-Kenosha-
337 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central
Wisconsin, south central Wisconsin and southeast Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The Pecatonica River will fall from moderate to minor flood stage
by this evening. Other rivers, including the Sugar River, remain
at minor flood stage. Several roads adjacent to these swollen
rivers and streams remain closed across southern Wisconsin.

There is a chance of thunderstorms tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A Wind Advisory may be needed later tonight into Sunday morning,
mainly in east central and southeast Wisconsin. The current
forecast is for westerly wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

LMZ643>646-250945-
Sheboygan to Port Washington WI-
Port Washington to North Point Light WI-
North Point Light to Wind Point WI-
Wind Point WI to Winthrop Harbor IL-
337 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Small Craft Advisory is in effect tonight, for gusty east to
southeast winds and high waves.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

A Gale Warning is in effect Sunday. A period of strong westerly
winds are expected Sunday, as low pressure moves through the
region.

Winds and waves may reach Small Craft Advisory levels Wednesday
night into Friday, as another low pressure system moves through
the region.

Wood
www.weather.gov/mkx

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 3:07 AM CSTGale WarningMKX39 hr
Feb 24, 3:07 AM CSTSmall Craft AdvisoryMKX24 hr
Feb 24, 3:44 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMKXRock24 hr
Feb 24, 3:44 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningMKXLafayette65 hr
Feb 24, 1:57 PM CSTWind AdvisoryMKXFond du Lac, Kenosha, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Racine, Sheboygan and 2 more25 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Wisconsin, 2018Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.