Alert archive / Oregon / Wind Advisories in 2018

Wind Advisory 33, NWS Medford, OR

December 13, 2018Jackson County, Klamath County, Lake County, Oregon; Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California

NWS Medford, OR issued this wind advisory at Dec 13, 2018, 1:18 PM PST for Jackson County, Klamath County, Lake County, Oregon; Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California. It took effect at Dec 13, 2018, 10:00 PM PST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 13, 2018, 1:18 PM PST (21:18 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 13, 2018, 10:00 PM PST
Expired
Dec 14, 2018, 7:00 PM PST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Jackson County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2018-12-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2018-12-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 107 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1193 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
195 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

570 
WWUS76 KMFR 132118
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
118 PM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

CAZ081-141200-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0012.181214T0300Z-181214T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0013.181214T0600Z-181214T2100Z/
Central Siskiyou County-
Including the city of Weed
118 PM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
PST FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a High Wind
Warning...which is in effect from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM PST
Friday. The High Wind Watch is no longer in effect. 

* Winds: South 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing: Winds will increase through this evening and tonight, 
  reaching a peak Friday morning into early afternoon.

* Locations include: The southern Shasta Valley, including Weed,
  Gazelle, and portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 97. 

* Impacts: Strong winds may make travel difficult, especially for
  high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. Property
  or tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of
58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-141200-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0012.181214T1200Z-181215T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.181214T1500Z-181215T0300Z/
Modoc County-
Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County-
Central and Eastern Lake County-
Including the cities of Lakeview and Valley Falls
118 PM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM PST FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Wind
Advisory...which is in effect from 7 AM to 7 PM PST Friday.  

* Winds: South to southwest 30 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Timing: Winds will increase tonight into Friday morning,
  reaching a peak in the afternoon.

* Locations include: Paisley, Summer Lake, Valley Falls, Fort
  Rock, Davis Creek, portions of highways 395, 31, and 140, the
  higher terrain of the Fremont-Winema National Forest, and the 
  Hart and Warner ranges. 

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, especially
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about.  

* View the hazard area in detail at
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

ORZ026-141200-
/O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.181214T0600Z-181214T2100Z/
Jackson County-
Including the city of Ashland
118 PM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM PST
FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Wind
Advisory...which is in effect from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM PST
Friday. 

* Winds...Southeast at 20 to 25 mph, with gusts up to 35 mph. 

* Timing...Wind will increase through the evening and tonight,
  reaching a peak Friday morning. 

* Locations include...Ashland, Talent, and Phoenix, including
  portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 66. 

* Impacts...Gusty winds may make travel difficult, especially
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about.  

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 25 to 39 mph are expected 
with higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving 
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra 
caution.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-141200-
/O.EXT.KMFR.HW.A.0012.181214T0900Z-181214T2100Z/
South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast-
Including the cities of North Bend, Reedsport, Bandon, 
Port Orford, Brookings, Harbor, and Gold Beach
118 PM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM PST FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* Winds: South to southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph 
  possible near Cape Blanco. 

* Timing: Early Friday morning until Friday afternoon. Winds may 
  start weakening as early as noon Friday. 

* Locations include: Highway 101 from near Pistol River to 
  Reedsport. Exposed locations such as capes, bluffs, and 
  headlands are most likely to see strong winds. Populated areas 
  such as North Bend may see less wind. 

* Impacts: Strong winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 
  Property or tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Watch means there is the potential for a hazardous
high wind event. Sustained winds of at least 40 mph, or gusts of
58 mph or stronger may occur. Continue to monitor the latest
forecasts.

&&

$$
8 follow-up statements
235 
WWUS76 KMFR 132233
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
233 PM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

ORZ021-022-141200-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0012.181214T0900Z-181214T2100Z/
/O.EXB.KMFR.HW.W.0013.181214T0900Z-181214T2100Z/
South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast-
Including the cities of North Bend, Reedsport, Bandon, 
Port Orford, Brookings, Harbor, and Gold Beach
233 PM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM PST FRIDAY...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a High Wind
Warning...which is in effect from 1 AM to 1 PM PST Friday. 

* Winds: South to southwest 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  possible near Cape Blanco. 

* Timing: Winds will increase this evening and tonight, reaching 
  a peak Friday morning. Winds may start weakening as early as 
  noon Friday.
 
* Locations include: Highway 101 from near Pistol River to 
  Reedsport. Exposed locations such as capes, bluffs, and 
  headlands are most likely to see strong winds. Populated areas 
  such as North Bend may see less wind. 

* Impacts: Strong winds will make travel difficult or hazardous, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. Property or tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts of
58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

CAZ081-141200-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.181214T0600Z-181214T2100Z/
Central Siskiyou County-
Including the city of Weed
233 PM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM PST FRIDAY...

* Winds: South 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing: Winds will increase through this evening and tonight, 
  reaching a peak Friday morning into early afternoon. 

* Locations include: The southern Shasta Valley, including Weed, 
  Gazelle, and portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 97. 

* Impacts: Strong winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 
  Property or tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

ORZ026-141200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.181214T0600Z-181214T2100Z/
Jackson County-
Including the city of Ashland
233 PM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM PST FRIDAY...

* Winds...Southeast at 20 to 25 mph, with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Timing...Wind will increase through the evening and tonight, 
  reaching a peak Friday morning. 

* Locations include...Ashland, Talent, and Phoenix, including 
  portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 66. 

* Impacts...Gusty winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 25 to 39 mph are expected
with higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-141200-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.181214T1500Z-181215T0300Z/
Modoc County-
Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County-
Central and Eastern Lake County-
Including the cities of Lakeview and Valley Falls
233 PM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM PST FRIDAY...

* Winds: South to southwest 30 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Timing: Winds will increase tonight into Friday morning, 
  reaching a peak in the afternoon. 

* Locations include: Paisley, Summer Lake, Valley Falls, Fort 
  Rock, Davis Creek, portions of highways 395, 31, and 140, the 
  higher terrain of the Fremont-Winema National Forest, and the 
  Hart and Warner ranges. 

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$
556 
WWUS76 KMFR 141157
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
357 AM PST Fri Dec 14 2018


CAZ081-142100-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181214T2100Z/
Central Siskiyou County-
Including the city of Weed
357 AM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds: South 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing: Winds will continue to increase tonight, and are
  expected to peak Friday morning into early afternoon. 

* Locations include: The southern Shasta Valley, including Weed, 
  Gazelle, and portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 97. 

* Impacts: Strong winds may make travel difficult, especially for
  high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. Property
  and tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-142100-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181214T2100Z/
South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast-
Including the cities of North Bend, Reedsport, Bandon, 
Port Orford, Brookings, Harbor, and Gold Beach
357 AM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds: South to southwest 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  possible near Cape Blanco. 

* Timing: Winds will continue to increase tonight and are expected
  to peak Friday morning. Winds may start weakening as early as 
  noon Friday. 

* Locations include: Highway 101 from near Pistol River to 
  Reedsport. Exposed locations such as capes, bluffs, and 
  headlands are most likely to see strong winds. Populated areas 
  such as North Bend may see less wind. 

* Impacts: Strong winds will make travel difficult or hazardous,
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown
  about. Property and tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

ORZ026-142100-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181214T2100Z/
Jackson County-
Including the city of Ashland
357 AM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds...Southeast at 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...Winds will continue to increase tonight and are 
  expected to peak late Friday morning. 

* Locations include...Ashland, Talent, and Phoenix, including 
  portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 66. 

* Impacts...Gusty winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 25 to 39 mph are expected
with higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-142300-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.181214T1500Z-181215T0300Z/
Modoc County-
Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County-
Central and Eastern Lake County-
Including the cities of Lakeview and Valley Falls
357 AM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM
PST THIS EVENING...

* Winds: South to southwest 30 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Timing: Winds will continue to increase tonight into Friday
  morning reaching a peak Friday afternoon. 

* Locations include: Paisley, Summer Lake, Valley Falls, Fort 
  Rock, Davis Creek, portions of highways 395, 31, and 140, the 
  higher terrain of the Fremont-Winema National Forest, and the 
  Hart and Warner ranges. 

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

BTL
969 
WWUS76 KMFR 141937
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
1137 AM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-150300-
/O.EXB.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Modoc County-
Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County-
Central and Eastern Lake County-
Including the cities of Lakeview and Valley Falls
1137 AM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a High Wind
Warning...which is in effect until 7 PM PST this evening. 

* Winds: South to southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph
  in the warning area. Winds will be slightly weaker in the
  advisory area. 

* Timing: Winds will reach a peak this afternoon, and weaken
  through the evening.
 
* Locations in the Warning include: Highway 31 in the vicinity of
  Paisley to Summer Lake, Highway 299 at Cedar Pass, and the 
  higher terrain of the Fremont Winema National Forest, and the 
  Hart and Warner Ranges.

* Locations in the Advisory include: Paisley, Summer Lake, Valley
  Falls, Fort Rock, Davis Creek, portions of highways 395, 31, and
  140.

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

CAZ081-142100-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181214T2100Z/
Central Siskiyou County-
Including the city of Weed
1137 AM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds: South 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing: Winds will peak late this morning to early this 
  afternoon.
 
* Locations include: The southern Shasta Valley, including Weed, 
  Gazelle, and portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 97. 

* Impacts: Strong winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 
  Property and tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-142100-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181214T2100Z/
South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast-
Including the cities of North Bend, Reedsport, Bandon, 
Port Orford, Brookings, Harbor, and Gold Beach
1137 AM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds: South to southwest 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  possible near Cape Blanco. 

* Timing: Winds will peak late this morning to early this
  afternoon.

* Locations include: Highway 101 from near Pistol River to 
  Reedsport. Exposed locations such as capes, bluffs, and 
  headlands are most likely to see strong winds. Populated areas 
  such as North Bend may see less wind. 

* Impacts: Strong winds will make travel difficult or hazardous, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. Property and tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

ORZ026-142100-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181214T2100Z/
Jackson County-
Including the city of Ashland
1137 AM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds...Southeast at 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...Winds will peak late this morning to early this
  afternoon.

* Locations include...Ashland, Talent, and Phoenix, including 
  portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 66. 

* Impacts...Gusty winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 25 to 39 mph are expected
with higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$
667 
WWUS76 KMFR 142024
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
1224 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-150300-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Modoc County-
Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County-
Central and Eastern Lake County-
Including the cities of Alturas, Canby, Likely, Beatty, Bly, 
Sprague River, Adel, Lakeview, and Valley Falls
1224 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

* Winds: South to southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  in the warning area. Winds will be slightly weaker in the 
  advisory area. 

* Timing: Winds will reach a peak this afternoon, and weaken 
  through the evening. 

* Locations in the Warning include: Highway 31 in the vicinity 
  of Paisley to Summer Lake, Highway 299 at Cedar Pass, and the 
  higher terrain of the Fremont Winema National Forest, and the 
  Hart and Warner Ranges. 

* Locations in the Advisory include: Paisley, Summer Lake, Valley
  Falls, Fort Rock, Davis Creek, Alturas, Canby, Silver Lake, 
  portions of highways 395, 31, and 140. 

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

CAZ081-142130-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181214T2100Z/
Central Siskiyou County-
Including the city of Weed
1224 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds: South 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing: Winds will peak early this afternoon. 

* Locations include: The southern Shasta Valley, including Weed, 
  Gazelle, and portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 97. 

* Impacts: Strong winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 
  Property and tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-142130-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181214T2100Z/
South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast-
Including the cities of North Bend, Reedsport, Bandon, 
Port Orford, Brookings, Harbor, and Gold Beach
1224 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds: South to southwest 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  possible near Cape Blanco. 

* Timing: Winds will peak early this afternoon. 

* Locations include: Highway 101 from near Pistol River to 
  Reedsport. Exposed locations such as capes, bluffs, and 
  headlands are most likely to see strong winds. Populated areas 
  such as North Bend may see less wind. 

* Impacts: Strong winds will make travel difficult or hazardous, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. Property and tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

CAZ084-ORZ029-150300-
/O.EXA.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Klamath Basin-
Including the cities of Dorris, Newell, Macdoel, Tulelake, 
Altamont, and Klamath Falls
1224 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Medford has issued a Wind
Advisory...which is in effect until 7 PM PST this evening. 

* Winds: South to southwest 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing: Winds will reach a peak this afternoon, and weaken 
  through the evening. 

* Locations include: Klamath Falls, Bonanza, Dorris, Merrill,
  portions of highways 97, 39, 139 and 140.
 
* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

ORZ026-142130-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181214T2100Z/
Jackson County-
Including the city of Ashland
1224 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds...Southeast at 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...Winds will peak until early this afternoon. 

* Locations include...Ashland, Talent, and Phoenix, including 
  portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 66. 

* Impacts...Gusty winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 25 to 39 mph are expected
with higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$
246 
WWUS76 KMFR 142050
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
1250 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018


ORZ021-022-142200-
/O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181214T2100Z/
South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast-
Including the cities of North Bend, Reedsport, Bandon, 
Port Orford, Brookings, Harbor, and Gold Beach
1250 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

Although gusty winds are still psossibel through this afternoon,
expecially in showers, widespread winds have decreased and no 
longer pose an immediate threat. Therefore, the High Wind Warning
for the coast has been allowed to expire. 

$$

CAZ081-142300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181214T2300Z/
Central Siskiyou County-
Including the city of Weed
1250 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds: South 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing: Winds will peak early this afternoon.

* Locations include: The southern Shasta Valley, including Weed, 
  Gazelle, and portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 97. 

* Impacts: Strong winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 
  Property and tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-150300-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Modoc County-
Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County-
Central and Eastern Lake County-
Including the cities of Alturas, Canby, Likely, Beatty, Bly, 
Sprague River, Adel, Lakeview, and Valley Falls
1250 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

* Winds: South to southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  in the warning area. Winds will be slightly weaker in the 
  advisory area. 

* Timing: Winds will reach a peak this afternoon, and weaken 
  through the evening. 

* Locations in the Warning include: Highway 31 in the vicinity 
  of Paisley to Summer Lake, Highway 299 at Cedar Pass, and the 
  higher terrain of the Fremont Winema National Forest, and the 
  Hart and Warner Ranges. 

* Locations in the Advisory include: Paisley, Summer Lake, 
  Valley Falls, Fort Rock, Davis Creek, Alturas, Canby, Silver 
  Lake, portions of highways 395, 31, and 140. 

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

ORZ026-142300-
/O.EXT.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181214T2300Z/
Jackson County-
Including the city of Ashland
1250 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

* Winds...Southeast at 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...Winds will peak until early this afternoon.

* Locations include...Ashland, Talent, and Phoenix, including 
  portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 66. 

* Impacts...Gusty winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 25 to 39 mph are expected
with higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

CAZ084-ORZ029-150300-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Klamath Basin-
Including the cities of Dorris, Newell, Macdoel, Tulelake, 
Altamont, and Klamath Falls
1250 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

* Winds: South to southwest 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing: Winds will reach a peak this afternoon, and weaken 
  through the evening. 

* Locations include: Klamath Falls, Bonanza, Dorris, Merrill, 
  portions of highways 97, 39, 139 and 140. 

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$
495 
WWUS76 KMFR 142102
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
102 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018


CAZ085-ORZ030-031-150300-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Modoc County-
Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County-
Central and Eastern Lake County-
Including the cities of Adin, Alturas, Canby, Day, Likely, 
Lookout, Beatty, Bly, Chemult, Crescent, Gilchrist, 
Sprague River, Adel, Lakeview, and Valley Falls
102 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

* Winds: South to southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  in the warning area. Winds will be slightly weaker in the 
  advisory area. 

* Timing: Winds will reach a peak this afternoon, and weaken 
  through the evening. 

* Locations in the Warning include: Highway 31 in the vicinity 
  of Paisley to Summer Lake, Highway 299 at Cedar Pass, and the 
  higher terrain of the Fremont Winema National Forest, and the 
  Hart and Warner Ranges. 

* Locations in the Advisory include: All other areas, including
  Klamath Falls, Lakeview, Alturas, Chiloquin, Tulelake, Bly,
  Chemult, and Fort Rock. 

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

CAZ081-142300-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181214T2300Z/
Central Siskiyou County-
Including the city of Weed
102 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds: South 40 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Timing: Winds will peak early this afternoon.

* Locations include: The southern Shasta Valley, including Weed, 
  Gazelle, and portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 97. 

* Impacts: Strong winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 
  Property and tree damage is possible. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage. Travel will be
impacted, especially for high profile vehicles.

&&

$$

ORZ026-142300-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181214T2300Z/
Jackson County-
Including the city of Ashland
102 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* Winds...Southeast at 25 to 35 mph, with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Timing...Winds will peak until early this afternoon.

* Locations include...Ashland, Talent, and Phoenix, including 
  portions of Interstate 5 and Highway 66. 

* Impacts...Gusty winds may make travel difficult, especially 
  for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 25 to 39 mph are expected
with higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

CAZ084-ORZ029-150300-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Klamath Basin-
Including the cities of Dorris, Newell, Macdoel, Tulelake, 
Altamont, and Klamath Falls
102 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

* Winds: South to southwest 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing: Winds will reach a peak this afternoon, and weaken 
  through the evening. 

* Locations include: Klamath Falls, Bonanza, Dorris, Merrill, 
  portions of highways 97, 39, 139 and 140. 

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$
308 
WWUS76 KMFR 142254
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
254 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018


CAZ081-150000-
/O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181214T2300Z/
Central Siskiyou County-
Including the city of Weed
254 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 3 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

Winds have decreased, and no longer pose an immediate threat. 
Therefore, the High Wind Warning for the Shasta Valley will be 
allowed to expire.

$$

ORZ026-150000-
/O.EXP.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181214T2300Z/
Jackson County-
Including the city of Ashland
254 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON...

Winds have decreased, and no longer pose an immediate threat. 
Therefore, the Wind Advisory for the southern Rogue Valley will 
be allowed to expire.

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-150300-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Modoc County-
Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County-
Central and Eastern Lake County-
Including the cities of Adin, Alturas, Canby, Day, Likely, 
Lookout, Beatty, Bly, Chemult, Crescent, Gilchrist, 
Sprague River, Adel, Lakeview, and Valley Falls
254 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

* Winds: South to southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  in the warning area. Winds will be slightly weaker in the 
  advisory area. 

* Timing: Winds will reach a peak this afternoon, and weaken 
  through the evening. 

* Locations in the Warning include: Highway 31 in the vicinity 
  of Paisley to Summer Lake, Highway 299 at Cedar Pass, and the 
  higher terrain of the Fremont Winema National Forest, and the 
  Hart and Warner Ranges. 

* Locations in the Advisory include: All other areas, including 
  Klamath Falls, Lakeview, Alturas, Chiloquin, Tulelake, Bly, 
  Chemult, and Fort Rock. 

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$

CAZ084-ORZ029-150300-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Klamath Basin-
Including the cities of Dorris, Newell, Macdoel, Tulelake, 
Altamont, and Klamath Falls
254 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

* Winds: South to southwest 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Timing: Winds will reach a peak this afternoon, and weaken 
  through the evening. 

* Locations include: Klamath Falls, Bonanza, Dorris, Merrill, 
  portions of highways 97, 39, 139 and 140. 

* Wind impacts: Gusty winds may make travel difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles. Loose items may be blown 
  about. 

* View the hazard area in detail at 
  https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mfr/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 35 mph are expected with
higher gusts possible. Winds this strong can make driving
difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Use extra
caution.

&&

$$
361 
WWUS76 KMFR 150306
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Medford OR
706 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-150415-
/O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0013.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
/O.EXP.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Modoc County-
Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County-
Central and Eastern Lake County-
Including the cities of Adin, Alturas, Canby, Day, Likely, 
Lookout, Beatty, Bly, Chemult, Crescent, Gilchrist, 
Sprague River, Adel, Lakeview, and Valley Falls
706 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds continue to diminish this evening, and all wind warnings 
and advisories have been allowed to expire.

$$

CAZ084-ORZ029-150415-
/O.EXP.KMFR.WI.Y.0033.000000T0000Z-181215T0300Z/
Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Klamath Basin-
Including the cities of Dorris, Newell, Macdoel, Tulelake, 
Altamont, and Klamath Falls
706 PM PST Fri Dec 14 2018

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

Winds continue to diminish this evening, and the wind advisory 
has been allowed to expire.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Dec 13, 10:15 AM PST, 3 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 10:15 AM PST, 3 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
1015 AM PST Thu Dec 13 2018

.Updated Aviation Discussion.

.UPDATE...Fog has developed in several areas this morning, but not
to the extent of previous days. Most oft he areas that have seen
fog this morning are where higher clouds were either absent or not
as thick. These areas should burn off through the morning. Have
added fog to the morning forecast, but no other updates appear
necessary.

Primary forecast concerns today will focus on the next two
upcoming storm systems. Models have come into good agreement this
morning concerning the first, which arrives this evening into
tomorrow. Yesterday, the NAM and other higher resolution models
were showing a significantly stronger system than the GFS and
others, with a deepening surface low forming off the Oregon
coast. This morning, nearly all models are in agreement that there
will be a surface low, but much further north, and winds are now
trending down towards a more typical event. We will be diving
more into this today, along with the next system due in on Sunday,
which is trending wetter than previously. Expect decisions on
upgrading our current High Wind Watch by the afternoon, if not
sooner

For more information on these systems and the rest of the
forecast, see the previous discussion below. -BPN

&&

.AVIATION...For the 13/18Z TAFs...Shallow fog exist in the Rogue
Valley, Including Medford and Grans Pass, and the Umpqua Basin,
including Roseburg this morning. These locations should see
improving conditions around 20z, but it's possible this could be
delayed by an hour. The TAF's at Roseburg and Medford show
conditions improving at 20z, so this will need to be monitored. Also
low clouds and fog exist in the Illinois Valley.

Once the fog and low clouds clear out, VFR conditions will prevail
for the rest of the TAF period. Elsewhere, VFR conditions will
continue for the next 24 hours. However it's possible ceilings could
lower below VFR at North Bend if the incoming from arrives sooner.

Low level wind shear will be a concern at North Bend and Roseburg
this evening into Friday morning and tonight into Friday morning at
Medford and Klamath Falls as a strong front approaches.
-Petrucelli

&&

.MARINE...Updated 800 AM PST Thursday 13 December 2018...Steep to
very steep, mainly swell driven, seas continue this morning. Winds
have already turned southeast and will increase through the day
today as a strong front approaches. Winds reach gale force tonight
and continue into Friday as the front moves through. As mentioned by
previous shifts, one model (the NAM) continues to show strong
surface low pressure forming along the front and moving into our
waters mid-day Friday. This would slow the front down and produce
much stronger winds - probably storm force. The NAM is an outlier
compare to other models which show the low weaker and further north
lessening the threat of higher winds. In addition, the NAM is often
an outlier in this regard, but that does not mean it's wrong this
time. It is notable that the GFS came in with a low slightly farther
south that previous runs. The wind forecast has been adjusted toward
a compromise between these to extremes. The takeaway for mariners is
that the current forecast of gales tonight into Friday is the least
we should expect - it may be stronger. We'll keep a close eye on it.

Whatever the case turns out to be with the winds, this will be
followed quickly by a very powerful west swell, and the combination
of this swell and residual fresh swell (or wind wave, depending on
timing) will drive combined seas to as high as 25 feet by late
Friday.

The next front is expected late Saturday into Sunday, and this is
likely to be AT LEAST gales again. Guidance shows this front to be
slower than the first, and this may produce a more prolonged wind
event over the waters, which means the potential to whip up very
large wind waves. This front will be followed by a large swell, and
guidance still shows the potential for this to be one of the highest
swell events of the season. Needless to say, Sunday could feature
extremely high combined seas. Expect this active pattern to continue
well into next week, so be prepared for additional heavy swell
trains and periods of strong winds with heavy rain. -Wright

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 354 AM PST Thu Dec 13 2018/

SHORT TERM...

Strong winds are the main theme for the weather system arriving
Friday morning into Friday afternoon. The latest round of data
suggests the low pressure center will form farther south than
anticipated resulting in strong winds across southern Oregon. This
has also prompted us to issue a high wind watch along the coast.
We will admit that all the weather model data is not in complete
agreement. Some guidance suggests the stronger winds will persist
later into the afternoon, whereas some suggests it will stop at
noon. Even with some of this inconsistency, we felt how the latest
guidance brought the low farther south warranted a high wind watch
along the coast.

The coast isn't the only area of concern. We are expecting
the Shasta valley will start to see the stronger winds as early as
Thursday evening before ramping up late into Friday morning.
As for the locations east of the Cascades, model guidance still
shows 700 mb winds around 70 to 80 knots. The 80 knots is more of
an outlier, but this is what we would like to see for a high wind
warning east of the Cascades.

Strong winds will also impact the Rogue Valley near Ashland. We
dont think we'll see them that strong in Medford on the other
hand. We usually like to see the south east winds aloft line up
with the valley to see the stronger winds in Medford.

Aside from the wind concerns, we are expecting rain and snow with
this strong cold front arriving Friday. Since this is a quick
moving cold front type system, we're only forecasting about 1
inch of rain along the coast with areas farther inland only seeing
0.25 inches to as low as 0.1 inches east of the Cascades. As a
result, not much snow with this system either. Only 2-4 inches
near popular tourist destinations areas such as Crater Lake and
Mt Ashland. Snow levels will generally be hovering around 4500
feet. Therefore, Siskiyou summit could see 1-2 inches if the road
surfaces remain cold.

After this deep trough moves through, we'll have to watch out for
more weather headlines around Sunday as the next low moves in.
Read the long term discussion issued yesterday for more
information on that system.

-Smith

LONG TERM.../Issued at 3pm Wednesday December 12th 2018/
.Saturday night through Wednesday...
After Saturday's dry interlude another strong front will bear
down on the northwest Saturday night into Sunday morning. Saturday
night will experience mainly increasing clouds and south winds -
probably a Gale Force event for the waters with a low-end high
wind warning event for the south coast and some advisories
possible inland. The majority of precipitation will hold off until
Sunday as the associated upper trough splits coming into the
west, with most energy going north or south of our warning area.
So this should not be a major impact precipitation event as the
front moves through Sunday, plus snow levels will be fairly high -
around 6000 feet. Somewhat lower snow levels are expected for the
next system Monday which will probably remain somewhat benign as
well. Unlike the Sunday event, this system should allow snow to
fall 500 to a thousand feet lower and produce higher accumulations
in the Cascades around Crater Lake.

-Stavish

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...High Surf Advisory until 4 AM PST Saturday for ORZ021-022.
     High Wind Watch from late tonight through Friday afternoon for
     ORZ021-022.
     High Wind Watch from late tonight through Friday evening for
     ORZ030-031.

CA...High Wind Watch from late tonight through Friday evening for
     CAZ085.
     High Wind Watch from 7 PM PST this evening through Friday
     afternoon for CAZ081.

Pacific Coastal Waters...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Friday for
     PZZ350-356-370-376.
     Gale Warning from 10 PM this evening to 1 PM PST Friday for
     PZZ350-356-370-376.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 13, 1:18 PM PSTHigh Wind WarningMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas, Klamath, Lake30 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Oregon, 2018Wind Advisories in California, 2018Every wind advisory in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.